Puzzling-Doctorate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$491

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.9%

Resolved

321

Trades

1,593

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-13 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

91% 11% -$463

Politics

5% 0% -$28

Pop-Culture

2% 50% +$0

Tech

1% 25% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	12	$1.3K	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	05-16 06:29
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	5	$199	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 10?	18	$148	121	121	+0	No	$0	08-09 20:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	14	$130	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-08 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 11?	10	$121	80	80	+0	No	-$2	08-09 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 11?	13	$121	81	81	+0	No	$0	08-10 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?	18	$119	80	80	+0	No	-$1	08-11 01:59
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	4	$115	69	69	+0	No	$0	05-16 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 12?	5	$109	80	80	+0	No	-$5	08-10 18:56
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	8	$106	83	83	+0	No	-$2	08-12 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 12?	10	$104	67	67	+0	No	-$1	08-11 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?	5	$104	60	60	+0	No	+$0	08-10 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 10?	9	$101	60	60	-0	No	$0	08-09 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 12?	10	$100	60	60	+0	No	+$0	08-11 00:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	17	$96	120	120	+0	No	-$1	08-09 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 9?	7	$96	60	60	+0	No	+$0	08-08 21:14
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	7	$94	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 10?	9	$93	84	84	+0	No	-$1	08-09 16:11
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	7	$92	200	200	+0	Yes	-$3	07-27 19:06
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$86	100	0	+100	Yes	-$86	05-16 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 10?	12	$84	98	98	+0	No	$0	08-09 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 10?	6	$79	80	80	+0	No	$0	08-09 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	11	$77	75	75	+0	No	-$1	08-09 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 13?	10	$77	68	68	+0	No	-$1	08-12 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	9	$76	80	80	+0	No	-$2	08-09 23:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 9?	11	$74	80	80	+0	No	-$4	08-08 20:31
will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	6	$74	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-12 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 11?	6	$72	60	60	+0	No	$0	08-10 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 10?	6	$72	52	52	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?	12	$72	59	59	+0	No	$0	08-10 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 02:34:19	Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x82994d…
08-13 02:29:57	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260804194832575	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd70d3c…
08-13 02:29:46	will smu have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194038805	No	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xb14708…
08-13 02:29:34	will michigan state have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194027425	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xf25bd1…
08-13 02:29:22	Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0xd0d23f…
08-13 02:28:42	will northwestern have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194030114	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x494534…
08-13 02:28:16	Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xfcebb8…
08-13 02:28:04	will minnesota have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025015	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xabff1b…
08-13 02:27:52	will lsu have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022885	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x546ff1…
08-13 02:27:40	Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x759866…
08-13 02:27:30	Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x1d4a86…
08-13 02:27:19	Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?	No	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x743a0d…
08-13 02:27:00	will ole miss have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025485	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xc04e4b…
08-13 02:26:48	will purdue have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194035759	Yes	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0xb127c9…
08-13 02:26:37	will colorado have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015146	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x8a12be…
08-13 02:26:00	will lsu have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022886	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x7c0480…
08-13 02:25:49	will virginia have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050383	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdfc2ff…
08-13 02:25:39	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x22649c…
08-13 02:25:27	Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x389ead…
08-13 02:25:13	will ucf have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194045623	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xc456c2…
08-13 02:24:24	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	No	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0xb89545…
08-13 02:02:16	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xfdbc8d…
08-13 01:20:43	Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x6bdc36…
08-13 01:20:40	Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xab5079…
08-13 01:13:30	will ucf have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194045623	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc8f429…
08-13 01:13:25	will ucf have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194045623	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xccb1b8…
08-13 00:57:24	will colorado have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015146	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x0f4b51…
08-13 00:57:21	will colorado have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015146	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xda000b…
08-13 00:55:39	will colorado have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015143	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xed0095…
08-13 00:55:36	will colorado have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015143	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x7ddafd…
08-13 00:49:52	will ohio state have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194030777	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x781c54…
08-13 00:49:49	will ohio state have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194030777	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x3c0380…
08-13 00:22:46	Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb09951…
08-13 00:06:27	will minnesota have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025015	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9202fb…
08-12 23:58:52	will texas tech have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194044833	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xfa286d…
08-12 23:58:49	will texas tech have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194044833	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8d6cf4…
08-12 23:56:54	will lsu have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022886	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x025091…
08-12 23:46:15	will smu have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194038805	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x4e70e6…
08-12 23:44:40	will louisville have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022493	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xf02835…
08-12 23:44:37	will louisville have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022493	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5fe808…
08-12 23:43:33	Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x063d94…
08-12 23:43:30	Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd05597…
08-12 23:42:28	will utah have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194048753	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe6a429…
08-12 23:13:49	will purdue have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194035758	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xc4e0c8…
08-12 22:56:04	will tcu have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040912	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x94b743…
08-12 22:48:40	will virginia have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050383	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9abce0…
08-12 22:39:24	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xcf41f1…
08-12 22:39:22	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x63d551…
08-12 22:35:07	will tcu have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040912	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd3af41…
08-12 22:28:54	Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x79dbde…
08-12 22:18:52	will notre dame have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194028944	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x8acbf9…
08-12 22:17:31	will houston have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194018834	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x4a0d66…
08-12 22:17:27	will houston have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194018834	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x552f4b…
08-12 22:05:21	will notre dame have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194028944	No	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xe1f962…
08-12 21:31:42	will minnesota have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025016	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xeea344…
08-12 21:31:24	will minnesota have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025016	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8d7afa…
08-12 21:08:34	will tcu have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040911	No	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x5f1dea…
08-12 20:30:15	will nebraska have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194029656	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x5b655a…
08-12 20:28:45	Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xe67df1…
08-12 20:28:42	Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x95ccef…
08-12 20:28:06	will nebraska have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194029656	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x7b8ab0…
08-12 20:10:57	will purdue have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194035759	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x65b484…
08-12 19:51:01	will utah have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194048753	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x418067…
08-12 19:33:40	will ole miss have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025485	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x48a1b8…
08-12 19:16:31	will smu have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194038805	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1d3fc1…
08-12 19:16:21	Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x6b46be…
08-12 19:13:28	Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x1dad26…
08-12 19:13:25	Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7fb7e3…
08-12 19:06:21	will purdue have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194035759	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4803eb…
08-12 19:05:42	will purdue have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194035758	No	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xf445aa…
08-12 19:05:34	will purdue have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194035758	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe129a8…
08-12 18:38:57	will northwestern have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194030114	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x31710a…
08-12 18:36:58	will nebraska have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194029656	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x28d66f…
08-12 18:34:22	will notre dame have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194028944	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x317c21…
08-12 18:33:34	Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xc26f86…
08-12 18:33:27	Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x480a6b…
08-12 18:26:31	will michigan state have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194027425	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1510d5…
08-12 18:16:09	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x0c3c84…
08-12 18:16:06	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7c5e58…
08-12 18:15:43	will minnesota have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025016	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x573870…
08-12 18:03:28	Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xe4d3d4…
08-12 17:55:01	Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x992268…
08-12 17:41:40	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x78bd07…
08-12 17:41:24	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x05cf5d…
08-12 17:41:12	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc37ea4…
08-12 17:40:58	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x21db47…
08-12 17:40:19	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x98aaa7…
08-12 17:15:07	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x3efc05…
08-12 17:15:06	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x329c2b…
08-12 17:08:30	will tcu have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040911	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xdf6e79…
08-12 17:08:25	will tcu have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040911	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd817f4…
08-12 16:59:49	will oregon state have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194033216	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x19b1ec…
08-12 16:46:18	will oregon have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194032765	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf2e8e8…
08-12 16:46:15	will oregon have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194032765	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xaf619d…
08-12 16:44:22	will oregon state have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194033216	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd99ffc…
08-12 16:41:12	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x707d39…
08-12 16:37:21	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xd97728…
08-12 16:37:18	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x813b94…
08-12 16:34:09	will lsu have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022885	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x181ab3…
08-12 16:27:24	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xe84ea2…