Utilized-Flood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$391

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.3%

Resolved

147

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$6.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-13 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

83% 12% -$354

Politics

12% 10% -$27

Crypto

3% 33% -$3

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Sports

1% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	8	$140	115	115	+0	open	—	09-29 17:27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	6	$131	83	83	+0	No	+$0	06-15 01:46
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	4	$117	83	83	+0	Yes	-$6	05-30 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?	2	$99	66	66	+0	No	-$1	06-17 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	2	$96	89	89	+0	Yes	-$2	06-26 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?	2	$93	62	62	+0	No	-$2	06-19 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?	2	$91	111	111	+0	No	-$2	06-27 02:06
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$90	58	58	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 25?	3	$88	60	60	+0	No	$0	06-23 15:30
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-24 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?	2	$86	75	75	+0	No	-$3	07-02 06:12
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	2	$85	52	52	+0	No	-$1	06-23 08:02
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 26, 2026?	2	$85	71	71	+0	No	-$5	06-22 02:31
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	2	$84	58	58	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 22?	2	$83	61	61	+0	No	-$1	06-21 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?	2	$83	86	86	+0	Yes	-$5	06-26 02:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?	2	$81	77	77	+0	Yes	-$8	06-22 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 30?	2	$81	166	166	+0	No	+$1	06-29 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?	3	$80	53	53	+0	Yes	-$2	06-18 05:08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 27?	3	$79	59	59	+0	No	-$5	06-26 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 29?	2	$78	48	48	+0	No	$0	06-28 06:06
Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	4	$77	134	134	+0	Yes	-$21	06-20 06:29
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$77	75	75	+0	No	-$8	06-25 18:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 27?	2	$77	59	59	+0	Yes	-$5	06-26 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?	9	$76	131	131	+0	No	-$7	07-02 04:16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?	3	$76	56	56	+0	No	-$3	07-04 22:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	2	$74	113	113	+0	No	-$5	07-10 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?	2	$73	56	56	+0	Yes	-$3	07-05 07:42
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	3	$72	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?	6	$70	48	48	+0	No	-$4	07-10 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 11:40:11	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x7aa869…
10-13 11:39:25	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x78c8cc…
10-12 20:13:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	Yes	SELL	38	30¢	$12	0x6aa074…
10-12 19:00:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	38	38¢	$15	0x60d589…
10-10 23:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	41	24¢	$10	0xf72d18…
10-10 23:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd3591e…
10-10 23:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc52b2c…
10-10 23:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x767f6d…
10-10 23:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x58239d…
10-03 01:19:59	saudi troops enter taiz governorate by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x03327f…
10-03 01:19:18	Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf6562d…
09-29 17:27:26	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0xc383ec…
09-29 17:13:36	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0x70c9c7…
09-29 17:13:36	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x049e13…
09-28 18:54:51	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x022e46…
09-28 18:46:45	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x6a9c46…
09-28 18:41:03	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x9f1ab7…
09-28 02:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xfce280…
09-28 02:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x57237a…
09-27 14:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xfa5072…
09-27 14:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x990930…
09-27 14:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x50507d…
09-27 14:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb7e82a…
09-27 14:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x6c874d…
09-27 14:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xe91d59…
09-27 14:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xbf1d8f…
09-27 14:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0xc1099f…
09-27 11:09:42	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x1b718b…
09-27 11:09:20	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xc91dab…
09-26 22:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 28?	No	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xa0fa13…
09-26 22:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 28?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x02950e…
09-26 06:59:17	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x2e3341…
09-26 06:58:45	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x56960a…
09-26 06:58:44	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xac7f70…
09-25 00:28:53	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	Yes	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0x5aa556…
09-25 00:28:44	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	Yes	BUY	48	26¢	$13	0xcab03f…
09-24 20:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x46d6d1…
09-24 20:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x8962ac…
09-24 17:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0xd06fab…
09-24 17:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcc53c0…
09-24 17:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5e57c5…
09-24 11:21:09	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of september 28	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x6f28c4…
09-24 11:21:02	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of september 28	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8bfa2f…
09-23 09:15:28	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	52¢	$25	0x0ba7a9…
09-23 09:14:58	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0x78135d…
09-23 05:10:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x714fe0…
09-18 09:55:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0x16c38f…
09-18 09:54:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	27	83¢	$23	0x9c727d…
09-16 05:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?	No	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x45f20a…
09-16 05:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe2edc1…
09-16 05:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x74d548…
09-14 18:42:31	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	66	34¢	$22	0x3e81c7…
09-14 18:28:22	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	66	39¢	$26	0xbaa76f…
09-12 06:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xe51d36…
09-11 13:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xcb5636…
09-11 13:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x927f27…
09-11 13:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0xeb0337…
09-11 13:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x9e923d…
09-11 12:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xcea7f3…
09-10 21:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 12?	No	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0x0c5f07…
09-10 21:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 12?	No	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0x480d8f…
09-09 17:49:55	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0xf69a0d…
09-09 17:35:48	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0x1d4c8d…
09-06 12:19:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x03ce3c…
09-06 00:21:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x5d4e80…
09-05 13:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 7?	No	SELL	55	41¢	$22	0xbc233c…
09-05 13:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 7?	No	BUY	55	43¢	$23	0x19ac65…
09-04 05:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 5?	No	SELL	37	58¢	$21	0xf7d799…
09-04 05:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 5?	No	BUY	37	70¢	$26	0xd8fb9f…
09-04 04:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	74	29¢	$21	0xb631c2…
09-03 19:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0x31e8c3…
09-03 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 5?	No	SELL	42	54¢	$23	0x8ca563…
09-03 06:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x9006ce…
09-02 13:09:07	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0xe01f80…
09-02 12:17:00	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x4a54b9…
09-01 09:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 3?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x7135a5…
09-01 09:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9c2d5e…
08-31 14:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0x6d90c1…
08-31 14:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x235bec…
08-31 04:15:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 1?	No	SELL	44	52¢	$23	0x23623f…
08-31 03:09:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8e51af…
08-31 03:09:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x6fe3e2…
08-31 03:02:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaaea96…
08-31 02:30:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1f5ffe…
08-30 19:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$12	0xa2f7e0…
08-30 19:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	65	40¢	$26	0x83b20e…
08-30 19:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9300bd…
08-30 19:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2fc668…
08-30 19:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf01e97…
08-30 19:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa74431…
08-30 19:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcc9e84…
08-30 19:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe3f0e7…
08-30 19:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4cf56d…
08-30 19:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd28678…
08-30 19:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x40e8a1…
08-30 19:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcc427c…
08-30 19:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd41e9d…
08-30 02:46:18	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	Yes	SELL	42	32¢	$14	0x22092f…
08-30 02:32:39	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	42	39¢	$17	0x7fc375…
08-28 04:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x8aaa6b…