Loose-Soybean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

529

Trades

8,177

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-31 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 40% $-58

Other

15% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 485 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes		+15	$1	4¢	$1	$-1	05-31 17:08
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes		+29	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-31 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	4	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	05-24 02:08
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	3	$101	70	70	+0	open	—	05-27 22:47
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	2	$80	70	70	+0	open	—	05-28 01:28
eth updown 5m 1775156700	18	$75	75	75	+0	open	—	04-02 19:09
btc updown 5m 1775160600	23	$55	105	0	+105	open	—	04-02 20:12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$54	50	50	+0	open	—	05-23 20:09
btc updown 5m 1775150400	14	$52	60	58	+2	open	—	04-02 17:23
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 21:05
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	2	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	05-28 04:18
btc updown 5m 1772744100	19	$47	50	45	+5	open	—	03-05 20:56
xrp updown 5m 1773345300	2	$44	87	0	+87	open	—	03-12 19:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 23:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 11c	4	$31	159	152	+7	open	—	04-11 04:37
eth updown 5m 1775156400	11	$29	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 19:01
btc updown 5m 1773353100	2	$27	53	0	+53	open	—	03-12 22:09
btc updown 5m 1775149800	14	$23	65	0	+65	open	—	04-02 17:13
btc updown 5m 1772913000	6	$23	31	0	+31	open	—	03-07 19:51
highest temperature in ankara on april 12 2026 8c	3	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-12 13:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	5	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 06:18
btc updown 5m 1772758500	9	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-06 00:56
btc updown 5m 1772758200	9	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	03-06 00:52
btc updown 5m 1772758800	9	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	03-06 01:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$19	46	46	+0	open	—	05-29 16:31
btc updown 5m 1775158800	8	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	04-02 19:44
btc updown 5m 1775157900	7	$18	35	0	+35	open	—	04-02 19:28
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	5	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 20:29
btc updown 5m 1772741100	6	$17	0	30	-30	open	—	03-05 20:09
btc updown 5m 1773354300	5	$17	52	0	+52	open	—	03-12 22:29
xrp updown 5m 1773355200	6	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	03-12 22:42
btc updown 5m 1772757900	7	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	03-06 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 17:09:28	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x2f958c…
05-31 17:08:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x787ac1…
05-31 17:08:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcac860…
05-31 17:08:28	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x663833…
05-30 17:07:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xa9e46a…
05-30 17:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb068d0…
05-30 17:06:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x59b679…
05-30 17:06:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x4c4b59…
05-29 20:37:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xbe6abc…
05-29 20:37:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xbe857e…
05-29 20:37:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x297a56…
05-29 18:42:09	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x62a2ff…
05-29 18:42:09	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x51221e…
05-29 18:42:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9cda76…
05-29 18:42:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xbd1e7b…
05-29 18:33:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b2539…
05-29 16:31:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	46	29¢	$13	0x20d900…
05-29 05:52:42	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x67cc19…
05-29 05:52:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x631f6c…
05-29 05:51:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x3f7720…
05-29 05:50:57	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbae868…
05-28 19:42:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x6cffad…
05-28 04:18:30	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xa6da36…
05-28 04:18:13	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xf054fc…
05-28 01:28:56	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	30¢	$21	0xda55c0…
05-28 01:28:37	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0xca0fae…
05-27 22:47:21	Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x7e4cb8…
05-27 22:47:02	Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	66¢	$37	0xeaf660…
05-27 22:46:41	Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xb623f5…
05-24 21:05:54	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x5419a2…
05-24 21:04:32	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x253587…
05-24 02:08:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x3e37c4…
05-24 02:05:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x1c926b…
05-24 01:00:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x082a91…
05-24 00:59:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x947b7f…
05-23 20:09:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x1e2030…
05-23 20:07:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xe74add…
05-20 23:02:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x3102ca…
05-20 22:35:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xc9ee04…
05-14 06:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xc6b739…
05-14 06:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xf653d7…
05-14 06:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x729352…
05-14 06:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x4ce46c…
05-14 06:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xe9d922…
05-14 06:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xa7f31b…
05-14 06:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x208d60…
05-14 06:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xa21daf…
05-14 06:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xb47abe…
05-14 05:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x21e451…
05-14 05:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x0c7aa8…
05-14 05:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x9640de…
05-14 05:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd473d8…
05-14 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xacdbbf…
05-14 05:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x915b1b…
05-14 05:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4ce668…
05-14 05:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xdce9a8…
05-14 05:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x464ef0…
05-14 05:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xae02c6…
05-14 04:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x293042…
05-14 04:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x054243…
05-14 04:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xb5f81a…
05-14 04:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x441bb7…
05-14 04:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4ea03d…
05-14 04:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xec66be…
05-14 04:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xab21d3…
05-14 04:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xd21dd1…
05-14 04:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x5b271d…
05-14 03:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x2d39fe…
05-14 03:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x535504…
05-14 03:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x645e2e…
05-14 03:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x284ee9…
05-14 03:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x581bc2…
05-14 03:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x350186…
05-14 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x18e945…
05-14 03:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x6c2612…
05-14 03:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4478e0…
05-14 03:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcf1185…
05-14 03:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1438f1…
05-14 03:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x6f8889…
05-14 02:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xfc8360…
05-14 02:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xce90da…
05-14 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x78f7c8…
05-14 02:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x89f74b…
05-14 02:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xae7ca8…
05-14 02:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xb31ca2…
05-14 02:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x2174d2…
05-14 02:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xc002d3…
05-14 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x6ad577…
05-14 02:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xdca2a4…
05-14 01:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xc60084…
05-14 01:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x287b82…
05-14 01:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x27b483…
05-14 01:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x9886f9…
05-14 01:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x8a152c…
05-14 01:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x4ce267…
05-14 01:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x75d96b…
05-14 01:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x9a6a1c…
05-14 01:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xab9cbd…
05-14 01:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1c9412…
05-14 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd7e44c…