Overlooked-Trillion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$233

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

115

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-05 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

88% 32% -$195

Politics

10% 50% -$33

Sports

1% 50% $0

Crypto

1% 20% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on february 24 2026	5	$88	64	64	+0	Up	+$9	02-24 23:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$85	134	134	+0	Yes	+$19	02-02 16:03
spx up or down on february 23 2026	4	$64	46	46	+0	Down	+$4	02-23 22:57
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	6	$40	80	0	+80	Up	-$40	02-13 09:30
spx up or down on february 19 2026	2	$36	46	46	+0	Down	-$4	02-19 13:27
spx up or down on march 5 2026	8	$35	40	40	+0	Down	-$5	03-05 15:37
spx up or down on march 4 2026	6	$33	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 22:43
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	2	$32	22	22	+0	No	+$12	01-30 16:45
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	2	$29	25	25	+0	Up	+$19	03-23 11:32
spx up or down on february 20 2026	2	$29	38	38	+0	Up	-$11	02-20 15:32
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	5	$28	102	102	+0	Up	-$2	03-31 10:40
spx up or down on february 26 2026	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	-$15	02-26 15:14
spx up or down on february 27 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-27 22:01
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 28	1	$20	118	0	+118	Yes	-$20	01-29 14:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	3	$19	45	29	+16	Down	-$1	06-02 06:11
spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	4	$19	21	21	+0	Down	-$1	07-08 07:50
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	04-06 16:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	3	$16	111	38	+72	Up	-$4	05-18 13:07
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	5	$15	33	0	+33	Up	-$15	02-06 09:48
spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	03-26 12:45
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$15	19	0	+19	Up	-$15	03-02 15:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-29 14:09
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	3	$14	20	9	+11	Up	-$5	04-15 11:17
spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	3	$14	23	10	+13	Up	-$6	02-04 10:48
spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	08-05 14:23
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$13	25	25	+0	Yes	-$7	01-30 22:46
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$12	15	15	+0	No	+$2	03-04 05:44
spx up or down on march 11 2026	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 16:48
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	06-12 08:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$11	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 14:23:17	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x16de4f…
08-04 22:20:14	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3a83d4…
07-14 13:30:04	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x194a07…
07-13 22:53:35	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf8d9f4…
07-11 23:36:07	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5f93e9…
07-09 23:43:59	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x70b5c4…
07-09 02:39:38	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x491c5a…
07-08 23:24:50	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xddf9bc…
07-08 07:50:35	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x933bff…
07-08 05:03:59	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7e689f…
07-08 04:35:37	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x6c3d11…
07-08 01:07:43	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x17bca2…
07-07 00:05:04	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x48ed33…
06-29 04:21:59	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x0796ed…
06-28 19:57:20	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x14db2e…
06-26 06:22:52	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x3e8500…
06-26 00:00:14	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5f5034…
06-18 04:43:04	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Down	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xc971d0…
06-18 01:21:59	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x07ff03…
06-17 09:09:49	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x667fcd…
06-17 03:17:48	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x061b0a…
06-15 13:04:33	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3ce1cc…
06-12 08:41:36	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x39fa60…
06-12 07:46:07	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd79825…
06-11 10:37:10	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x677cec…
06-11 04:06:07	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf09331…
06-05 06:30:09	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x0b89f8…
06-04 23:14:22	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xadbf8a…
06-02 06:11:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5521cc…
06-02 05:29:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0x054009…
06-02 03:30:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9300bc…
06-01 13:54:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2b386d…
06-01 13:31:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbd93fc…
06-01 13:03:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x9a162f…
06-01 04:05:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7f3140…
05-29 14:09:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0df3bc…
05-29 03:38:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb54308…
05-28 10:55:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x82060f…
05-28 00:13:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x07348f…
05-22 12:54:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x6260ab…
05-22 05:14:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x053523…
05-19 13:19:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb5bd49…
05-19 03:36:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf477a2…
05-18 13:07:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x18da6c…
05-18 09:31:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0x4e68e8…
05-18 07:11:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8b4319…
04-17 02:43:36	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x46f729…
04-16 09:07:12	spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x4ca659…
04-16 02:31:30	spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1e05d1…
04-15 11:17:02	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1015cb…
04-15 09:23:06	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x4f49b7…
04-15 01:15:00	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x93613d…
04-14 02:44:31	spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x643a35…
04-13 14:16:33	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd8b3f5…
04-13 14:07:51	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x255179…
04-12 03:35:09	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x813bab…
04-09 23:54:39	spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3688f6…
04-09 05:33:11	spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0xb50f20…
04-08 23:50:25	spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7a20ad…
04-08 06:13:49	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Down	SELL	152	1¢	$1	0xeabde1…
04-08 00:08:21	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xf5d3f1…
04-07 22:21:15	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9126b5…
04-07 07:35:59	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xf1ecec…
04-07 00:07:03	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x000623…
04-06 16:06:11	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0ef767…
04-04 04:45:37	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9fb76a…
03-31 23:08:49	spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62ed9c…
03-31 10:40:49	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Down	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x1b8fa4…
03-31 07:25:53	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0b2e07…
03-31 06:42:23	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Down	SELL	76	15¢	$11	0x81e475…
03-31 01:39:53	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x559ccb…
03-31 01:31:45	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x87669b…
03-27 10:55:29	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x75d0fe…
03-27 09:24:07	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd30622…
03-26 12:45:43	spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcd8db7…
03-25 15:44:41	spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x75e48c…
03-24 10:42:39	spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x882460…
03-24 10:03:33	spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1b00a7…
03-23 11:32:57	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x3cd5d9…
03-23 09:32:33	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe5e76a…
03-19 15:09:21	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xc55f8f…
03-19 11:28:23	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9e2f1d…
03-18 14:27:37	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1b679c…
03-17 06:55:43	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9acfbb…
03-16 14:54:37	spx up or down on march 16 2026	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc7e274…
03-13 15:18:45	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x704ae3…
03-12 15:39:57	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1107e…
03-12 14:37:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbf3da1…
03-11 16:48:51	spx up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x4541d9…
03-11 14:18:55	cl up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xd1a02a…
03-11 14:17:59	spx up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x197666…
03-11 04:57:19	cl up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x009efa…
03-05 15:37:49	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xe31c54…
03-05 15:01:27	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x45bd99…
03-05 15:00:55	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0xe310f5…
03-05 14:55:29	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x01c47c…
03-05 14:51:29	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x82f70c…
03-05 14:44:37	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x622bd8…
03-05 14:44:19	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x88d484…
03-05 14:41:19	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbf8cc6…