Numb-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.3%

Resolved

Trades

940

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-18 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 33% $-6

Sports

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772639100	2	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	03-04 15:50
btc updown 5m 1772681700	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	03-05 03:40
btc updown 5m 1772683800	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-05 04:15
btc updown 5m 1772684100	1	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	03-05 04:18
btc updown 5m 1772639700	3	$35	52	51	+1	open	—	03-04 15:58
eth updown 5m 1772679600	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-05 03:05
btc updown 5m 1772683500	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	03-05 04:10
sol updown 5m 1772639400	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-04 15:55
btc updown 5m 1772682900	2	$24	15	14	+0	open	—	03-05 04:00
btc updown 5m 1772685600	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-05 04:45
sol updown 5m 1772682600	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-05 03:55
btc updown 5m 1772680200	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-05 03:15
btc updown 5m 1772680800	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-05 03:26
btc updown 5m 1772682000	2	$21	12	11	+0	open	—	03-05 03:45
btc updown 5m 1774760700	6	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-29 05:10
btc updown 5m 1772686500	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 05:00
btc updown 5m 1772685300	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 04:40
btc updown 5m 1772640000	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	03-04 16:03
eth updown 5m 1772638500	3	$19	16	9	+7	open	—	03-04 15:40
btc updown 5m 1772681100	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	03-05 03:30
btc updown 5m 1772638800	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-04 15:45
eth updown 5m 1772638800	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	03-04 15:45
eth updown 5m 1773198300	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	03-11 03:09
btc updown 5m 1772684700	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	03-05 04:30
eth updown 5m 1773197400	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-11 02:55
eth updown 5m 1772512500	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-03 04:40
btc updown 5m 1772638500	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-04 15:40
will coca cola run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$14	40	40	+0	open	—	02-09 01:29
btc updown 5m 1772677500	2	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	03-05 02:30
btc updown 5m 1772686800	2	$13	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 19:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa29143…
05-13 19:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf9c650…
05-13 19:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7068e4…
05-11 19:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xac9ea1…
05-11 19:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe51ce3…
05-11 19:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3be78a…
05-08 19:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0xf0f6ad…
05-08 19:25:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x9b62fb…
05-08 19:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x42ac28…
05-08 19:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x813537…
05-08 19:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3d7f06…
05-08 19:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x0af3bb…
05-08 19:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xad07f5…
05-08 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8701fa…
05-08 19:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8e8145…
05-08 19:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb05291…
05-06 19:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x9d752a…
05-06 19:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc63e80…
05-06 19:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0078ca…
05-06 19:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x038aaf…
05-06 19:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1b7cd6…
05-06 19:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x9fecec…
05-06 19:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38ef3d…
05-06 19:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x120724…
05-06 18:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x209b8e…
05-06 18:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7d090e…
05-06 18:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x761e44…
05-05 19:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x4706ff…
05-05 19:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9a6faa…
05-05 19:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x460b06…
05-05 04:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5ceb70…
05-05 04:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x5f5d1a…
05-05 04:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x225447…
05-05 04:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3130e1…
05-05 04:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd8225f…
05-05 03:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xca22b4…
05-05 03:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x93e13b…
05-05 03:44:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x18448c…
05-04 19:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x22d951…
05-04 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb01fab…
05-04 19:26:24	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ebe93…
05-04 19:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7fee28…
05-04 19:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x9d7175…
05-04 19:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x803464…
05-04 19:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6603e0…
05-03 21:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x39ec09…
05-03 21:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf18a14…
05-03 21:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xbc7e29…
05-03 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x518849…
05-03 21:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x503fc2…
05-03 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd74399…
05-01 16:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x80cb91…
05-01 16:42:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9eaa08…
05-01 16:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0f2e1a…
05-01 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x035f3a…
05-01 16:21:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x5deced…
05-01 16:20:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x59a413…
05-01 16:20:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc7507c…
05-01 16:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x47942f…
05-01 16:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x963ee1…
05-01 16:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x56b399…
05-01 16:11:10	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xe210a4…
05-01 16:02:50	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x32e860…
05-01 16:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x46d048…
05-01 16:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa993c5…
05-01 14:59:42	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6dd48b…
05-01 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfeb56a…
04-26 12:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x920c51…
04-26 12:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x9adb01…
04-26 12:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc76f6f…
04-26 12:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x87fbf5…
04-26 12:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xab3fc2…
04-26 12:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xee6374…
04-26 12:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x7bf1f6…
04-26 12:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x973254…
04-26 12:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x560138…
04-26 12:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5d1ef2…
04-26 12:32:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7733c7…
04-26 12:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1a5e70…
04-26 12:21:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe9cf4…
04-26 12:21:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa62a7e…
04-26 12:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x1cccc6…
04-26 12:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x539944…
04-26 12:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc5a09…
04-26 12:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x58d92c…
04-26 12:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x39c030…
04-26 12:15:40	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf2128…
04-26 12:04:06	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x66b7b4…
04-26 12:03:32	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7882be…
04-26 12:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xafe872…
04-26 12:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x80051c…
04-26 12:01:30	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x78b60d…
04-26 12:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb87dcb…
04-26 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x93c281…
04-26 11:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdcc308…
04-26 11:48:14	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe0dc96…
04-26 11:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x194a77…
04-25 13:50:18	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x013941…
04-25 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6771a5…
04-24 17:43:28	eth updown 15m 1777051800	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe5df44…