Rough-Minion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-24 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 29% -$14

Other

12% — —

Politics

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$44	34	34	+0	Down	+$24	05-11 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$20	16	13	+3	Up	+$6	05-11 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$20	1,043	0	+1,043	Down	-$20	05-11 09:36
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	2	$19	21	21	+0	cancelled	-$1	05-11 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$8	7	5	+2	Down	+$2	05-11 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$8	132	0	+132	Up	-$8	05-11 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	5	$7	11	6	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	Down	$0	05-11 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$5	5	2	+2	Down	-$1	05-11 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	05-11 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	05-11 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$5	15	0	+15	Down	-$3	05-11 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$5	54	2	+52	Up	-$1	05-11 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$4	20	2	+18	Down	-$1	05-21 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$4	31	0	+31	Down	-$2	05-11 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$4	56	3	+53	Down	-$2	05-11 10:58
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$4	4	4	+0	cancelled	$0	05-21 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:50 UTC	3	$3	17	7	+10	Up	-$1	07-24 14:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$3	27	27	+0	open	—	05-21 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$3	16	2	+14	Up	-$1	05-11 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$3	18	1	+17	Up	-$1	05-11 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$3	101	1	+100	Up	-$1	05-11 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:55 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	07-24 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$2	4	3	+1	Down	-$1	05-11 11:13
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-11 11:33
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-11 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 15:30:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3bb64a…
07-24 14:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x17c3aa…
07-24 14:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x935436…
07-24 14:52:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6fe762…
07-24 14:51:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x5d8c1f…
07-24 14:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6d39a4…
07-24 14:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x1c5570…
07-24 14:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2bfe19…
07-24 14:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x561bbf…
05-21 21:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc87fa2…
05-21 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9accc4…
05-21 21:38:17	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x5c4729…
05-21 21:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3708e9…
05-21 21:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c7843…
05-21 21:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x930724…
05-21 21:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa607fa…
05-21 21:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6cb173…
05-21 21:26:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x37fcef…
05-11 14:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2ee25…
05-11 14:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd7b692…
05-11 14:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2e1a75…
05-11 11:33:59	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x68720c…
05-11 11:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ca929…
05-11 11:19:28	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6e959…
05-11 11:16:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x5d9d45…
05-11 11:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xff73e5…
05-11 11:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x0bd820…
05-11 11:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x656326…
05-11 11:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe34223…
05-11 11:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x5458da…
05-11 11:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf14142…
05-11 10:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa93823…
05-11 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa8b6b…
05-11 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x5f4fad…
05-11 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe32932…
05-11 10:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x18e999…
05-11 10:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe492ab…
05-11 10:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x252ead…
05-11 10:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9fac9f…
05-11 10:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf4f5cb…
05-11 10:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf473a9…
05-11 10:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd66ca4…
05-11 10:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x272990…
05-11 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbed190…
05-11 10:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22ba18…
05-11 10:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4e7969…
05-11 10:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb19eb5…
05-11 10:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfec582…
05-11 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22ba2d…
05-11 10:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x108e93…
05-11 10:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc331cb…
05-11 10:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x159f5f…
05-11 10:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd8d105…
05-11 10:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x627e3c…
05-11 10:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x54a29b…
05-11 10:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xff692b…
05-11 10:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf5da26…
05-11 10:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb74962…
05-11 10:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x408388…
05-11 10:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7049a2…
05-11 10:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x06368e…
05-11 10:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x570d0a…
05-11 10:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x85ee52…
05-11 10:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x946c5b…
05-11 10:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfbf40f…
05-11 10:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x3d258d…
05-11 10:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5754c1…
05-11 10:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b6413…
05-11 09:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6c5407…
05-11 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9e1595…
05-11 09:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd21bd5…
05-11 09:43:11	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xddc812…
05-11 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x913961…
05-11 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x557d3a…
05-11 09:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7da8a0…
05-11 09:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x28f79d…
05-11 09:31:38	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x325a8d…
05-11 09:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x65007a…
05-11 09:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x314dca…
05-11 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4613be…
05-11 09:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7d7da5…
05-11 09:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8cca20…
05-11 09:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x806c8f…
05-11 09:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb95e2c…
05-11 09:16:47	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf4e633…
05-11 09:16:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xde0d16…
05-11 09:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf4bcab…
05-11 09:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5aad5e…
05-11 09:08:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x66720a…