Entire-Vignette 0x21a3b5…d09e97 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$524
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
1,158
Trades
27,720
lifetime
Volume
$26.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$594
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-19 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
80% 16% +$287
Sports
13% 30% +$75
Tech
4% 25% +$151
Crypto
1% 10% -$6
Politics
1% 16% +$17
Pop-Culture
0% 9% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $127 97¢ $287 +$160 06-18 09:13
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +120 $53 86¢ $103 +$49 06-16 14:24
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +75 $24 53¢ $40 +$16 06-16 09:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +65 $21 55¢ $35 +$14 06-14 05:33
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +75 $12 34¢ $25 +$13 06-16 09:01
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +45 $10 48¢ $22 +$11 06-16 06:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +65 $16 26¢ $17 +$1 06-14 05:33
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +120 $43 8¢ $10 -$33 06-16 14:24
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +45 $28 20¢ $9 -$19 06-16 06:09
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +120 $17 6¢ $7 -$9 06-16 14:24
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes — +10 $2 39¢ $4 +$2 06-18 03:13
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +75 $3 5¢ $4 +$0 06-16 09:01
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +10 $2 36¢ $4 +$1 06-18 03:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +65 $8 5¢ $3 -$4 06-14 05:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? Yes — +65 $4 5¢ $3 -$1 06-14 05:33
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +75 $25 4¢ $3 -$22 06-16 09:01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 $36 1¢ $3 -$34 06-18 09:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Yes +65 $11 3¢ $2 -$9 06-14 05:33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 06-18 09:13
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$1 06-18 03:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 $31 1¢ $2 -$29 06-18 09:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 $39 0¢ $1 -$38 06-18 09:13
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? Yes — +10 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 05-24 15:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 $8 0¢ $1 -$6 06-18 09:13
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? Yes +15 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 06-14 01:44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 $27 0¢ $1 -$26 06-18 09:13
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +45 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 06-16 06:09
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? Yes — +10 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 05-24 15:47
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes +45 $5 1¢ $1 -$5 06-09 05:16
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 05-29 06:28