Genuine-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

5,691

Trades

19,528

lifetime

Volume

$455.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$149

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-30 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 76% +$2,032

Sports

2% 85% +$387

Other

2% 78% -$331

Politics

1% 50% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No		+100	$92	100¢	$100	+$8	10-23 16:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No		+50	$36	98¢	$49	+$13	10-26 14:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	28	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$24	05-04 11:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	13	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$2	08-24 13:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:30 UTC	6	$1.7K	1,750	0	+1,750	Up	+$2	08-17 13:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:35 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Down	+$2	08-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:10 UTC	12	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Up	+$7	08-12 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:50 UTC	10	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	+$3	07-14 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:40 UTC	9	$1.6K	1,557	0	+1,557	Up	+$2	08-20 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:35 UTC	10	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	+$2	08-14 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:10 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	+$2	07-20 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	10	$1.5K	1,480	0	+1,480	Down	+$18	05-25 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:25 UTC	2	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$2	07-16 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:20 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,380	0	+1,380	Up	+$1	07-28 15:24
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	31	$1.4K	715	714	+1	Down	+$35	03-06 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$1.3K	1,350	0	+1,350	Down	+$3	10-07 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:40 UTC	8	$1.3K	1,310	0	+1,310	Down	+$3	09-24 13:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	7	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$2	07-30 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$2	07-30 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$3	05-03 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:15 UTC	6	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$6	04-11 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:10 UTC	4	$1.3K	1,290	0	+1,290	Up	+$1	03-31 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:40 UTC	6	$1.3K	1,290	0	+1,290	Up	+$1	03-31 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:45 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,260	0	+1,260	Up	+$3	06-30 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$1	10-07 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$1	03-30 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$1	08-10 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	+$2	05-03 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:05 UTC	5	$1.2K	1,190	0	+1,190	Up	+$3	04-07 13:09
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$69	06-27 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:40 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$1	03-28 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$1	07-21 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x1a5b5c…
10-30 03:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb6e25e…
10-30 03:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x9c9ce0…
10-30 03:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x82c6a5…
10-30 03:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf1bf59…
10-30 03:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7068d5…
10-30 03:20:51	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Packers	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x865644…
10-30 03:20:45	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Packers	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x0a7c4a…
10-30 03:20:30	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Packers	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x68821b…
10-30 03:20:04	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde73e2…
10-30 03:14:37	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc7a511…
10-30 03:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	124	98¢	$122	0xe3ab72…
10-30 03:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x19b872…
10-30 03:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x84b326…
10-30 03:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	140	87¢	$122	0x547afd…
10-30 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x50e033…
10-30 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x48ae63…
10-30 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x41c42c…
10-30 02:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x3fc0dd…
10-30 01:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x931505…
10-30 01:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xabd54c…
10-30 01:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf49e2a…
10-30 01:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe869aa…
10-30 01:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xba09df…
10-30 01:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbfb2ca…
10-30 01:12:40	Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd0ca65…
10-30 00:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xbc72da…
10-30 00:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xaa441d…
10-30 00:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xffaf2b…
10-30 00:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x302cc9…
10-30 00:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf36cdb…
10-30 00:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6a765e…
10-30 00:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xd25ffc…
10-30 00:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xbb5f4a…
10-30 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x87be18…
10-30 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x951749…
10-30 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x541de9…
10-30 00:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xdc6313…
10-30 00:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x41157d…
10-30 00:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xef926d…
10-30 00:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0xd1cf97…
10-30 00:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x161851…
10-30 00:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5a7e57…
10-30 00:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd77724…
10-30 00:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xa399d9…
10-30 00:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x36c24d…
10-30 00:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x06f20b…
10-30 00:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0030f3…
10-29 23:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5e1745…
10-29 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x9b01f5…
10-29 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x645c62…
10-29 23:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x873f35…
10-29 23:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x268639…
10-29 23:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5f037e…
10-29 23:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa54d71…
10-29 23:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8cc0e8…
10-29 23:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x717161…
10-29 16:42:04	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Novak Djokovic	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x878217…
10-29 16:40:19	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Taylor Fritz	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xd20a7b…
10-29 16:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0xe7c12f…
10-29 16:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xbc42a7…
10-29 15:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xc61888…
10-29 15:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb03fb7…
10-29 15:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x61f1ab…
10-29 15:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x14d31e…
10-29 15:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x05cb28…
10-29 15:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x8809b8…
10-29 14:55:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x53178c…
10-29 14:54:59	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x418b92…
10-29 14:54:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x08b57a…
10-29 14:54:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x90b993…
10-29 10:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x4da1ec…
10-29 10:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xabe939…
10-29 10:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x37b4be…
10-29 10:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc0f6d9…
10-29 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x224a41…
10-29 10:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8d2acd…
10-29 10:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x283413…
10-29 10:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xb0bc59…
10-29 10:06:37	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6415ac…
10-29 10:06:26	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3ad66a…
10-29 10:06:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x28ffd0…
10-29 10:06:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb5d393…
10-29 04:22:07	Spread: Kraken (-2.5)	Maple Leafs	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xab9fa6…
10-29 04:13:07	Spread: Kraken (-3.5)	Maple Leafs	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe99e1a…
10-29 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x74d3a8…
10-29 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb11e9d…
10-29 02:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94fd48…
10-29 01:44:11	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x362c39…
10-29 01:23:04	Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1157cf…
10-29 01:21:26	Spread: Heat (-12.5)	Heat	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x309155…
10-29 01:15:38	Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 252.5	Under	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xeb6e2a…
10-29 01:15:37	Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 252.5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x89b66a…
10-29 00:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x7d6bed…
10-29 00:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xbd0b22…
10-29 00:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd80646…
10-28 16:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x855f39…
10-28 16:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x387cd4…
10-28 16:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x01bfc3…
10-28 16:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x1e2918…