Sturdy-Mammoth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

7,980

Trades

11,324

lifetime

Volume

$144.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-02 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$77

Other

0% 0% -$31

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$249	269	0	+269	Down	-$249	09-08 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$249	267	0	+267	Up	-$249	09-09 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$249	268	0	+268	Up	+$19	09-08 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:50 UTC	3	$208	184	80	+104	Up	-$88	07-02 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$205	249	0	+249	Up	-$205	10-19 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$200	220	0	+220	Down	+$20	09-08 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$200	206	0	+206	Down	+$6	09-08 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$200	207	0	+207	Down	+$7	09-07 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$200	208	0	+208	Up	+$8	09-20 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$200	209	0	+209	Up	+$9	09-07 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$200	217	0	+217	Up	+$17	09-07 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$200	214	0	+214	Up	-$200	09-20 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:25 UTC	1	$199	212	0	+212	Up	+$13	09-08 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$199	206	0	+206	Up	+$7	09-07 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$199	208	0	+208	Up	+$9	09-10 20:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 23:15 UTC	3	$173	139	69	+70	Up	+$6	07-03 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 13:15 UTC	3	$172	128	64	+64	Up	-$3	07-04 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 08:30 UTC	3	$172	132	65	+67	Up	-$1	07-04 08:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 02:30 UTC	3	$171	140	70	+70	Up	-$67	07-04 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$170	181	0	+181	Up	+$11	09-09 04:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 21:30 UTC	3	$170	141	70	+71	Down	+$3	07-03 21:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 00:45 UTC	3	$169	140	69	+71	Up	+$3	07-04 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 03:00 UTC	3	$168	150	74	+76	Up	-$72	07-04 03:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:25 UTC	4	$167	185	0	+185	Up	+$18	06-30 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:25 UTC	4	$167	184	0	+184	Up	+$17	06-30 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:35 UTC	4	$167	180	0	+180	Down	+$13	07-01 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 07:55 UTC	4	$167	179	0	+179	Up	+$12	07-01 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:15 UTC	4	$167	188	0	+188	Up	+$21	07-01 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:15 UTC	4	$166	181	0	+181	Down	+$14	06-30 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 07:05 UTC	4	$166	175	0	+175	Down	+$9	07-01 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 08:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x504931…
11-02 08:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1bfd0b…
11-02 07:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x02269a…
11-02 07:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6aba15…
11-02 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xed6f8e…
11-02 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x2eadff…
11-02 07:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf6ba0a…
11-02 07:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92043a…
11-02 07:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb1babf…
11-02 07:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd4ce6a…
11-02 07:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4fedcb…
11-02 07:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x16524e…
11-02 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2ca027…
11-02 06:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72526b…
11-02 06:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2a8cd5…
11-02 06:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3b3a51…
11-02 06:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde7e69…
11-02 06:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x97eb9b…
11-02 06:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xdae8de…
11-02 06:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x40d97b…
11-02 06:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8efc0b…
11-02 00:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x207525…
11-02 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0b4fa2…
11-02 00:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbcf7b6…
11-02 00:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x238616…
11-02 00:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe737cf…
11-02 00:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2b059f…
11-02 00:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd1fa86…
11-02 00:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfc0b85…
11-01 23:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc38a18…
11-01 23:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6acec8…
11-01 23:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x35297d…
11-01 23:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x172be4…
11-01 23:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa5124e…
11-01 23:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x980f68…
11-01 23:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe40b84…
11-01 23:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3bbf2c…
11-01 23:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4ab510…
11-01 23:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x870be3…
11-01 23:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9a8543…
11-01 23:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x49933b…
11-01 23:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x34cb62…
11-01 23:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9dc66c…
11-01 23:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7fd045…
11-01 23:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc50a43…
11-01 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9eceb2…
11-01 23:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa78e31…
11-01 23:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x12e2a8…
11-01 23:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x546869…
11-01 23:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x90ee93…
11-01 23:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x7dd199…
11-01 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xebb48c…
11-01 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc5ee3c…
11-01 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5bc3d7…
11-01 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x501678…
11-01 23:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x329120…
11-01 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5907cb…
11-01 23:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0e2f73…
11-01 23:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x82bbb4…
11-01 23:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcd11ac…
11-01 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x51d394…
11-01 22:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa5c31c…
11-01 22:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8af59e…
11-01 22:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa5a941…
11-01 22:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd22322…
11-01 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x07a726…
11-01 22:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x780826…
11-01 22:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8c51c8…
11-01 22:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x135f89…
11-01 22:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xae1c75…
11-01 22:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x935aa2…
11-01 22:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xacbafc…
11-01 22:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x5bee9c…
11-01 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xf824a1…
11-01 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xab7308…
11-01 22:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaf584e…
11-01 22:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcdc3f2…
11-01 22:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd8e52c…
11-01 22:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53eb3b…
11-01 22:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4ec58b…
11-01 22:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x141cf9…
11-01 22:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x10e0ba…
11-01 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x30aa79…
11-01 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfa489a…
11-01 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5f3991…
11-01 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xccc767…
11-01 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xcb9967…
11-01 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xb9fcf8…
11-01 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa582e1…
11-01 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x8161c0…
11-01 21:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x46690e…
11-01 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x8efc94…
11-01 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2d0270…
11-01 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9c0547…
11-01 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x86b286…
11-01 21:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7c3568…
11-01 21:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf057bc…
11-01 21:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x891dbd…
11-01 21:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3bac56…
11-01 21:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x59ee6f…