Rotating-Peony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-17 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 73% +$50

Other

8% 0% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$104	89	89	+0	open	—	05-15 06:48
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	2	$99	54	54	+0	Yes	$-1	05-09 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$83	1,080	80	+1,000	open	—	05-14 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$80	46	46	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 13:02
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-14 18:03
btc updown 5m 1776872100	5	$68	39	39	+1	open	—	04-22 15:39
btc updown 5m 1776166800	3	$66	43	42	+1	open	—	04-14 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$62	43	43	+0	open	—	05-16 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$61	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$58	47	47	+0	open	—	05-15 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$52	63	43	+20	open	—	05-15 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$49	44	44	+0	open	—	05-14 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$42	35	35	+0	open	—	05-15 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 05:02
cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	2	$37	23	23	+0	open	—	04-15 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	05-16 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$29	38	22	+16	open	—	05-17 17:38
eth updown 15m 1768821300	2	$29	30	29	+0	open	—	01-19 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 09:00
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$26	25	25	+0	open	—	02-28 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 18:06
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$25	48	48	+0	open	—	01-09 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$24	28	28	+0	open	—	05-16 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	05-14 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$22	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x25e520…
05-17 17:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x082713…
05-17 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6bb230…
05-17 10:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x7423ed…
05-17 10:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x478648…
05-17 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4d29a6…
05-17 10:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xba3d91…
05-17 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xbfd860…
05-17 09:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x668313…
05-17 09:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e5a30…
05-17 09:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xae7086…
05-17 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5272c5…
05-17 05:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xa0007f…
05-17 05:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xd13d45…
05-17 05:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdac6c6…
05-17 05:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe47d78…
05-17 05:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x3ae44d…
05-17 05:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf5471a…
05-16 18:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x88f07f…
05-16 18:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfabeb8…
05-16 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x263aa4…
05-16 18:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x772992…
05-16 16:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x705e88…
05-16 16:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x985f29…
05-16 16:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe09734…
05-16 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa5a401…
05-16 15:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x044495…
05-16 15:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcc79b7…
05-16 15:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x5be45a…
05-16 15:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6e1158…
05-16 05:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x3f0e1a…
05-16 05:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xd55020…
05-16 05:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1b9a90…
05-16 05:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xbfdd88…
05-16 05:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xda7aad…
05-15 19:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x81b38c…
05-15 19:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x27d5b8…
05-15 19:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x53eed0…
05-15 19:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x742277…
05-15 19:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2d7309…
05-15 19:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xa451d4…
05-15 19:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xad2edc…
05-15 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x35f575…
05-15 19:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5c9dac…
05-15 19:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x9228fa…
05-15 19:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xc46963…
05-15 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	41¢	$10	0xec2280…
05-15 18:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x98c585…
05-15 18:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0x37c154…
05-15 18:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xcfc9a0…
05-15 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xc334bf…
05-15 16:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2e46f3…
05-15 16:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xd65765…
05-15 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xabd456…
05-15 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3f48b2…
05-15 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x33b954…
05-15 16:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x5c524e…
05-15 16:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7b1bd3…
05-15 16:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0xcac87a…
05-15 16:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfdbbe5…
05-15 15:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x2be476…
05-15 15:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xabadb0…
05-15 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xad1828…
05-15 15:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x220ead…
05-15 15:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x6624aa…
05-15 15:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4b7d7…
05-15 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x8e1a2f…
05-15 14:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x06f3d4…
05-15 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xff2ad2…
05-15 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc21f9f…
05-15 10:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x4ee4cb…
05-15 10:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x54943e…
05-15 10:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x8f0b44…
05-15 10:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x353019…
05-15 10:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x15b324…
05-15 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc2a497…
05-15 10:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xa98a9d…
05-15 10:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x07fee6…
05-15 09:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3a15a0…
05-15 09:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x43d124…
05-15 09:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x28005e…
05-15 09:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x77836b…
05-15 09:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa68b41…
05-15 06:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xcb291e…
05-15 06:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x55a999…
05-15 06:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x94592f…
05-15 06:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x76e0e7…
05-15 06:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x9fadab…
05-15 06:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf39f35…
05-15 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	39	50¢	$19	0x19b325…
05-15 06:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x755b8e…
05-15 06:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xf29d16…
05-15 06:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0070c8…
05-15 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xd46f15…
05-15 06:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1419b7…
05-15 06:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xc468c7…
05-15 06:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2757f6…
05-15 06:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xb07e0a…
05-15 06:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfdbcc8…
05-15 06:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x926dab…