Embellished-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

369

Trades

813

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-03 05:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 44% -$22

Sports

10% 33% +$68

Other

9% 50% +$50

Tech

1% 0% -$26

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	3	$106	90	90	+0	No	-$64	05-28 19:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$101	200	200	+0	No	+$27	07-09 17:27
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$90	205	205	+0	No	+$51	07-19 21:07
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$50	80	0	+80	Yes	+$30	06-11 08:47
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$35	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	07-18 11:34
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	8	$31	400	400	+0	No	+$9	04-18 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:20 UTC	5	$21	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	07-18 02:24
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$21	124	0	+124	Yes	+$103	04-02 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$20	27	27	+0	Down	+$0	09-08 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 04:30 UTC	4	$17	48	48	+0	Down	-$2	07-20 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:40 UTC	4	$17	78	78	+0	Up	-$2	07-23 13:43
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$16	92	0	+92	No	-$16	10-24 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 00:15 UTC	4	$15	20	20	+0	Up	-$3	07-20 00:17
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	12	$15	1,085	1,085	+0	No	-$13	04-10 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:30 UTC	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-17 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	09-08 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$14	21	6	+15	Down	-$5	09-08 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:35 UTC	2	$14	83	83	+0	Down	+$4	07-20 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:05 UTC	4	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-13 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	$0	10-08 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 04:10 UTC	2	$13	35	35	+0	Up	+$4	07-19 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	4	$13	10	10	+0	Up	$0	10-13 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$0	10-08 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-12 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:20 UTC	2	$12	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	07-19 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	10-19 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	07-18 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$0	10-24 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 05:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe43326…
11-03 05:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbbd9ec…
11-03 05:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xfee005…
11-03 05:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7c8a54…
11-03 04:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xea637c…
11-03 04:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x33540f…
11-03 01:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc51d8b…
11-03 01:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xef1dc5…
11-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x1cb330…
11-03 01:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x05840c…
11-03 00:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x51656f…
11-03 00:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd6a7a9…
11-03 00:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0xf75abb…
11-03 00:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa9c4ab…
11-02 23:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x411b3f…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x192a71…
11-02 23:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x8b49f7…
11-02 23:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x2cd247…
11-02 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x6e3488…
11-02 18:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x231ff3…
11-02 17:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x84ff98…
11-02 17:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x75f2ad…
11-02 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x62b0da…
11-02 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x68b484…
11-02 14:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xfc8b2c…
11-02 14:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9689ae…
11-02 14:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x69d2fb…
11-02 13:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x6ad9e9…
11-02 13:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x43e518…
11-02 12:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3f54bc…
11-02 12:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8ecc5c…
11-02 12:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x000165…
11-02 10:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe29b86…
11-02 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe6eeef…
11-02 09:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x70ed90…
11-02 09:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3679b7…
11-02 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x49f5d2…
11-02 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xaf4395…
11-02 01:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x25e5b5…
11-02 01:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1c9ac5…
11-01 23:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x369a2e…
11-01 23:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x2271ae…
11-01 22:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xffe530…
11-01 22:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ccaf6…
11-01 15:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xbe68e7…
11-01 15:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc4ac14…
11-01 14:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xddc0d3…
11-01 14:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x36d630…
11-01 12:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x98bdb5…
11-01 12:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xd7e562…
11-01 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xada38e…
11-01 12:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x585425…
10-29 04:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x366925…
10-29 04:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9b0b18…
10-29 02:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x921a06…
10-29 02:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf5e7c7…
10-29 00:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x2df10b…
10-29 00:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x28dd11…
10-28 20:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x85815e…
10-28 20:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9f71d1…
10-28 19:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xd30c28…
10-28 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa8ceb1…
10-28 19:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x147649…
10-28 19:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbb2d89…
10-28 18:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc8f4fa…
10-28 18:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x79ecc5…
10-28 18:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x64d203…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x0543a6…
10-28 18:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xcf010e…
10-28 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x98ae88…
10-28 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc93229…
10-28 18:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe8f553…
10-28 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xffd7ed…
10-28 16:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9c0e4f…
10-28 09:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x2e348e…
10-28 09:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2c80af…
10-28 02:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x773425…
10-28 01:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xc26f3f…
10-28 01:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1ae71b…
10-27 22:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0910de…
10-27 22:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb05c2…
10-27 20:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x3c379c…
10-27 20:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd41413…
10-27 17:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x0e722c…
10-27 17:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xa3ad95…
10-27 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x866096…
10-27 16:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0e4d43…
10-27 16:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4b8f4a…
10-27 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcb1584…
10-27 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x5d8504…
10-27 16:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x63fe5e…
10-27 16:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x587a3f…
10-27 16:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb69845…
10-27 15:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x777b5b…
10-27 15:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf69554…
10-27 15:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xd9b522…
10-27 15:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x693487…
10-27 14:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd76a56…
10-27 14:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x14152e…
10-27 14:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4c4149…