Fake-Painting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$163

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

127

Trades

535

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-16 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 72% $-163

Politics

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$1.6K	893	893	+0	open	—	04-28 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$744	415	413	+2	open	—	04-29 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$719	614	614	+0	open	—	05-02 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$346	279	279	+0	open	—	05-02 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$308	160	160	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$300	152	152	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$298	214	214	+0	open	—	05-02 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$295	151	151	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$286	147	147	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$283	181	181	+0	open	—	05-02 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$281	143	143	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$274	141	141	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$256	131	131	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 18:05
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$244	165	164	+1	open	—	04-24 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$218	256	194	+62	open	—	05-02 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$210	111	111	+0	open	—	05-02 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 17:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$200	282	282	+0	open	—	04-28 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$198	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	05-02 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$189	167	167	+0	Up	$-125	05-08 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$187	98	98	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	05-03 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$160	81	81	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$147	118	118	+0	open	—	05-02 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$144	85	85	+0	open	—	05-03 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$143	94	94	+0	open	—	05-02 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$143	124	124	+0	open	—	05-02 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd44cfd…
05-14 17:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xfd2ce9…
05-14 17:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x166e7a…
05-14 17:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x099b91…
05-14 17:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x694565…
05-14 16:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xa98b55…
05-14 16:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x856f5f…
05-14 16:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x7a6a6b…
05-14 16:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6e0542…
05-14 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x335c05…
05-14 11:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5f7a98…
05-14 11:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xccf7fe…
05-14 11:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xca4c76…
05-14 10:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2658a5…
05-14 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5a4176…
05-14 07:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x86c12b…
05-14 06:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc46cea…
05-14 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdfc927…
05-14 06:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x41de69…
05-14 06:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x18b476…
05-14 05:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x6af638…
05-14 05:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd7aede…
05-14 05:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35cb45…
05-14 05:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc30a5e…
05-14 05:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cc800…
05-14 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xd1e702…
05-14 05:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6b7b0f…
05-14 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x591984…
05-14 05:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe80a93…
05-14 05:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xf8db3d…
05-14 05:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaac8e9…
05-14 05:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6c12a0…
05-14 05:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1d596d…
05-14 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xd5a995…
05-14 05:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9e7454…
05-14 05:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6aa217…
05-14 05:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4e7259…
05-14 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c8f7d…
05-14 05:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x80b9fe…
05-14 05:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf3e092…
05-14 05:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x53a0a8…
05-14 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8d274…
05-14 05:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x713b4a…
05-14 05:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x3fe2eb…
05-14 05:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2da816…
05-14 05:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf09d57…
05-14 05:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2b4ca2…
05-14 05:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e3deb…
05-14 05:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3124dc…
05-14 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe13df0…
05-14 05:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0c5b2c…
05-14 05:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe346d3…
05-14 05:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x748b06…
05-14 05:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb0790d…
05-13 16:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6b66a9…
05-13 16:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe65320…
05-13 16:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e7d67…
05-13 16:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8ba56c…
05-13 16:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xd6f493…
05-13 16:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xd6c46f…
05-13 16:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf47929…
05-13 16:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9145cd…
05-13 16:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b85f4…
05-13 16:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xdd0719…
05-13 16:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2a848f…
05-13 16:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x929d65…
05-13 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1118f9…
05-13 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb8b0c…
05-13 14:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb1828d…
05-13 14:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x940478…
05-13 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4014cc…
05-13 14:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5b0f56…
05-13 14:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xc0934c…
05-13 14:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x181dc4…
05-13 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc3701c…
05-13 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa1c119…
05-13 14:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc3e8df…
05-13 14:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7421a8…
05-13 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcf665a…
05-13 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x71940b…
05-13 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf65e1d…
05-13 13:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd652fa…
05-13 13:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x77335c…
05-13 13:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x2ccca2…
05-13 13:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdc266b…
05-13 13:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2674c0…
05-13 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa6fbbb…
05-13 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd93168…
05-13 13:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc54c37…
05-13 13:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc09aae…
05-13 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9e28c5…
05-13 13:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x91e979…
05-13 13:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x49121c…
05-13 13:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x16deca…
05-13 13:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x127c50…
05-13 12:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x69b8f1…
05-13 12:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x001670…
05-13 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x342b03…
05-08 18:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	107	27¢	$29	0x6afd5e…
05-08 18:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	167	19¢	$32	0xce8eb2…