Honest-Poetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$362

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

552

Trades

1,794

lifetime

Volume

$4.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-01 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% -$354

Other

0% 25% -$7

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	92	$187	16,250	14,399	+1,850	No	-$22	04-27 06:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 02:45 UTC	10	$177	219	148	+71	Up	-$2	04-13 02:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:00 UTC	13	$99	182	57	+125	Down	-$36	04-13 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	17	$93	260	90	+169	Up	-$3	05-06 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 03:45 UTC	8	$93	135	61	+73	Up	-$4	04-13 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	23	$88	158	158	+0	Up	+$39	05-05 07:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 13:45 UTC	10	$85	111	69	+43	Up	+$6	04-14 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	14	$73	102	95	+7	Down	+$11	05-05 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	12	$73	142	76	+67	Up	+$9	05-06 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 11:30 UTC	8	$71	66	63	+3	Down	+$33	04-14 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC	11	$69	118	80	+38	Down	+$21	04-14 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	23	$67	154	58	+96	Down	-$3	05-07 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	11	$64	468	53	+415	Down	-$20	04-13 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	5	$62	94	51	+43	Up	+$26	05-05 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	5	$55	85	49	+36	Up	+$5	05-05 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 03:00 UTC	7	$54	60	57	+2	Down	+$5	04-13 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	11	$52	139	128	+11	Down	+$2	05-06 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:00 UTC	2	$46	33	32	+1	Up	+$12	04-06 09:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 01:45 UTC	13	$45	122	40	+82	Up	+$4	04-13 01:59
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	18	$45	1,514	1,514	+0	No	+$1	05-08 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC	7	$44	30	22	+8	Up	-$3	04-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	8	$43	55	53	+2	Down	+$5	05-05 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	8	$42	156	30	+126	Up	-$4	05-06 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$42	74	37	+37	Down	+$0	05-05 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	16	$42	79	44	+35	Down	+$0	05-07 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC	8	$41	126	34	+92	Up	+$11	04-14 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 12:15 UTC	5	$37	55	37	+18	Down	+$1	04-15 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 12:15 UTC	9	$37	65	47	+18	Up	+$15	04-14 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:20 UTC	4	$35	174	23	+151	Up	+$12	04-06 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:05 UTC	6	$33	25	18	+7	Up	$0	04-12 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 07:42:24	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1ec3cf…
10-01 07:37:09	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x52df87…
10-01 07:34:14	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xc68ec9…
10-01 06:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x468d5e…
10-01 06:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca0e1f…
10-01 05:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf415c5…
10-01 05:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x769833…
10-01 05:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5ee26b…
10-01 05:36:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x770911…
10-01 05:36:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x9be07a…
10-01 05:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9ee9ae…
10-01 05:34:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0xff704e…
10-01 05:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x548a74…
08-22 03:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x87f2bb…
08-21 02:50:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x883b4d…
08-21 02:45:36	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6ff7ea…
08-21 02:30:16	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x70a4d7…
08-21 02:28:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xa6d6e5…
08-21 02:25:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xc885b5…
08-21 02:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb73992…
08-21 02:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x52d368…
08-21 02:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xce6697…
08-21 02:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x426b83…
06-05 06:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f6c23…
06-05 06:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd8f4d0…
06-05 05:57:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xe158cb…
06-05 05:52:37	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe9fbce…
06-05 05:52:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x915c5c…
06-05 05:51:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x86a789…
06-05 05:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0d7f3a…
06-05 05:45:30	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x980235…
06-02 00:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e9a38…
06-02 00:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x59cf3e…
05-23 06:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0df733…
05-23 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8f087b…
05-23 06:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x17dea8…
05-23 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b9a06…
05-23 06:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf3141b…
05-23 05:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x472ba8…
05-23 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc81ab5…
05-23 05:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x54e3f3…
05-23 05:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xde53bf…
05-23 05:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0d1e5b…
05-23 05:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x63f415…
05-23 05:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2c2dd2…
05-18 09:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xff49e0…
05-16 12:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6d2bcf…
05-16 12:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4cca8b…
05-16 12:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$2	0x6280a2…
05-16 11:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x942171…
05-16 09:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x046da4…
05-15 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb7d92f…
05-14 19:02:53	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xc9358a…
05-14 08:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5925c7…
05-10 09:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x07c645…
05-10 09:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3af7ef…
05-10 09:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd5b24f…
05-10 09:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5782fc…
05-10 00:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc914a2…
05-09 22:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8bb09f…
05-09 22:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd5798…
05-09 22:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5a171f…
05-09 22:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3d5d17…
05-09 22:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcbf8c9…
05-09 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd2e8ce…
05-09 22:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x574e5c…
05-09 22:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xec8052…
05-09 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x3c4c34…
05-09 22:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x069a79…
05-09 22:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xac0ec9…
05-09 22:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x1f8e89…
05-09 22:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x579b9d…
05-09 22:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6195a8…
05-09 22:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc52d66…
05-09 22:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x613179…
05-08 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x9a4a03…
05-08 09:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8385f…
05-08 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x280939…
05-08 09:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x42deb1…
05-08 09:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc3fc06…
05-08 09:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcfb1f1…
05-08 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x828044…
05-08 02:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6d2285…
05-08 02:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x773397…
05-08 02:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x967e0d…
05-08 02:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x958d2a…
05-08 02:02:10	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	375	1¢	$5	0xa0da18…
05-07 09:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x7b0440…
05-07 09:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x8e3df4…
05-07 09:45:17	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x895862…
05-07 09:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x1efcd0…
05-07 09:43:08	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x79be43…
05-07 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdc98d1…
05-07 09:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x03a3c3…
05-07 09:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x33175b…
05-07 09:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2efbae…
05-07 09:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x48c239…
05-07 09:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdbf425…
05-07 09:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x018395…
05-07 09:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3ecd7d…