Ideal-Accomplishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

281

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$11

Politics

5% 90% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	-$21	05-15 04:41
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-14 04:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-30 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-29 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-28 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-25 09:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-24 07:40
highest temperature in seattle on january 23 38 39f	2	$21	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-28 03:39
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 25c	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:33
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-23 00:39
highest temperature in karachi on april 22 2026 33c	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-22 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$1	04-21 15:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-21 07:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 19 2026 70 71f	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:14
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 62 63f	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-19 00:38
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:15
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:32
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:28
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-17 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:56:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14cc24…
10-29 08:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a07f1…
10-28 07:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x062882…
10-27 08:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3b5ad…
10-26 09:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x888f3d…
10-24 10:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93b66a…
10-22 10:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe581d…
10-20 04:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02d158…
10-19 08:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62b5d7…
10-18 08:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c08de…
10-17 09:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2ae5f…
10-16 08:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1154e…
10-15 09:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b9eb4…
10-14 09:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2320bb…
10-13 08:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf78940…
10-12 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x230d9a…
10-11 08:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b6aa9…
10-08 08:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89231f…
10-07 13:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64d853…
10-06 07:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x208b26…
10-04 10:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22741b…
10-03 05:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a5dd3…
10-02 07:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1768b3…
10-01 08:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2a431…
09-30 12:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe33d38…
09-29 11:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0402de…
09-28 09:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22bac3…
09-27 08:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0343d5…
09-25 08:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40a661…
09-24 08:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe824a3…
09-23 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbec61…
09-22 07:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe75820…
09-21 08:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd711fe…
09-20 05:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff3c72…
09-19 07:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x856df3…
09-18 01:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x746e5c…
09-17 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5582ad…
09-16 07:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe81d42…
09-15 08:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdca3aa…
09-14 08:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfffdf3…
09-12 10:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11fc9a…
09-11 07:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5da33…
09-10 02:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1372bc…
09-09 09:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x591feb…
09-09 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6ffe0…
09-08 02:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x989682…
09-07 08:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x734cea…
09-06 17:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67ca21…
09-06 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73a84f…
09-05 09:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb912bb…
09-04 09:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x229823…
09-03 09:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x886420…
09-02 06:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3713e…
08-30 08:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x829ced…
08-29 07:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5da152…
08-28 07:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4460e…
08-27 07:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2abb5…
08-26 08:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x912aae…
08-25 08:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeaf3f3…
08-24 09:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73312d…
08-23 14:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6c1c6…
08-22 07:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46b4e0…
08-21 06:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa15bcc…
08-20 08:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc990d…
08-19 08:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10e5b3…
08-18 06:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ba0c0…
08-17 07:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75548e…
08-16 11:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87616f…
08-15 09:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81ec19…
08-14 06:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe09e42…
08-13 07:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1311a8…
08-12 07:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf51ee3…
08-11 03:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3efc11…
08-10 00:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3b6c3…
08-09 01:14:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8b4fe…
08-08 07:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x731c14…
08-07 00:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x113d7a…
08-06 00:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x027316…
08-05 07:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39c474…
08-04 07:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea71d…
08-03 01:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x879f25…
08-02 01:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x596e1b…
08-01 06:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x368871…
07-31 07:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5961ea…
07-30 06:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x031c81…
07-29 06:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68b262…
07-28 06:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1e9f0…
07-27 07:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x423656…
07-26 06:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33626f…
07-25 01:04:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x099f71…
07-24 09:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b1dea…
07-23 02:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf75d30…
07-22 01:44:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27fdd0…
07-20 23:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x751366…
07-20 02:18:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a71af…
07-18 22:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53f7d7…
07-18 00:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8d5bd…
07-17 06:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78032d…
07-15 21:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae676c…
07-15 06:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17b50e…