Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$415

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,441

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 10-17 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

63% 13% -$305

Politics

21% 9% -$45

Sports

10% 21% -$18

Tech

3% 8% -$37

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No		+0	$13	86¢	$0	-$13	10-01 03:15
Will Joe Burrow have 4,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No		+0	$0	30¢	$0	$0	09-29 12:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$84	60	60	+0	No	+$0	09-29 14:00
Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$64	59	59	+0	open	—	09-29 22:23
Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$64	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	09-25 04:33
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	4	$53	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-28 19:29
Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	4	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 18:25
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	4	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 10:50
Will Matt Gay finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	4	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 13:59
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	4	$50	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 19:51
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	6	$49	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-28 20:14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	8	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	09-20 04:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	3	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 05:09
Will Joe Burrow have 32.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	5	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	10-01 08:17
will claude opus output price be 25 or above in 2026	2	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	10-01 08:48
Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	6	$44	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-23 21:43
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	09-25 06:51
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	09-17 20:48
Will DK Metcalf have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$41	35	35	+0	open	—	09-30 23:12
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$40	920	920	+0	open	—	09-30 15:47
next astra model 6pt1 released by october 23 2026	5	$40	39	39	+0	No	+$0	09-28 22:01
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	5	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	-$8	09-30 13:43
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	6	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	09-27 01:08
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	2	$39	40	40	+0	No	-$5	10-02 01:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	5	$38	220	220	+0	Yes	$0	09-26 08:48
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?	5	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	-$12	09-30 10:11
GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	09-30 10:50
Will Rome Odunze have 1.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 10:50
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$36	28	28	+0	open	—	09-23 07:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5	$36	115	115	+0	open	—	09-23 07:24
Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	5	$35	40	40	+0	Yes	-$4	09-30 15:18
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	3	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	09-23 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:05:05	Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x4e4eca…
10-17 14:04:32	Will Jeremiyah Love have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0xe89757…
10-17 14:04:05	Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x246d66…
10-17 14:03:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xe55461…
10-17 14:03:05	Will Ladd McConkey have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x3af7c9…
10-17 14:02:41	Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x86e5e1…
10-17 14:02:09	Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xf974a3…
10-17 14:01:45	Will Widad Témara be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xec73c6…
10-10 04:00:12	Will James Cook have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x47e043…
10-08 14:42:17	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xe9fafa…
10-06 01:49:44	Will Dak Prescott have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x9eef3e…
10-06 01:48:58	Will Dak Prescott have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x8327f1…
10-06 01:25:41	Will Dak Prescott have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x89f0b7…
10-04 04:29:26	Will Alex Tuch record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x336a84…
10-04 01:38:34	Will Avispa Fukuoka be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc26cdd…
10-03 14:38:54	Will Dak Prescott have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x60d78a…
10-03 05:48:05	Will Avispa Fukuoka be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xc34b79…
10-02 12:37:33	Will Vålerenga be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?	No	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x81ec94…
10-02 07:01:08	Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xfeec5a…
10-02 04:40:12	Will Tyler Shough have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x0431c2…
10-02 01:31:02	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0xb86e91…
10-01 23:30:56	Will Josh Downs have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xfb49c6…
10-01 23:16:38	Will Parris Todd qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1a5b2e…
10-01 22:35:18	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xfd0512…
10-01 18:54:03	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x55b524…
10-01 16:13:35	Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xf17ae2…
10-01 14:22:03	Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xbb8be4…
10-01 14:22:03	Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x611df4…
10-01 13:25:30	Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xd116ab…
10-01 12:59:20	Will Lamar Jackson have 374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xcfcfd9…
10-01 11:42:05	Will Mali win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x48d220…
10-01 09:14:09	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x34450c…
10-01 08:57:03	Will Ladd McConkey have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xfd08a6…
10-01 08:48:14	will claude opus output price be 25 or above in 2026	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x0bb759…
10-01 08:19:32	Will Trey McBride have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x21f5db…
10-01 08:18:47	Will Trey McBride have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x78706e…
10-01 08:17:15	Will Joe Burrow have 32.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x1c6f39…
10-01 06:48:08	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa3a486…
10-01 04:48:41	Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x5000b8…
10-01 04:23:33	Will Tetairoa McMillan have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xb68fe2…
10-01 03:55:29	Will Dylan Larkin record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x1eb101…
10-01 03:51:05	Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x7529f1…
10-01 03:46:30	Will Raul Rosas Jr. fight Aiemann Zahabi next?	No	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0xa9e973…
10-01 03:15:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x87f505…
10-01 03:14:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xbf3a70…
10-01 02:59:05	Will Jordan Love have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xb793e2…
10-01 02:59:05	Will Jordan Love have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xa27224…
10-01 02:57:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x9bc2bb…
10-01 02:40:50	Will SC Freiburg finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x617054…
10-01 02:33:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x7a7f3e…
10-01 02:25:38	Will David Montgomery have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xc47c1a…
10-01 02:14:36	Will Josh Allen have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x90720d…
10-01 01:49:00	Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x3ab260…
10-01 01:02:42	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x0781e3…
10-01 00:51:17	will ian happ win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x6adb48…
10-01 00:43:41	Will Austria be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa0edfc…
10-01 00:16:24	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?	No	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xb0f2f8…
09-30 23:31:27	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x688c49…
09-30 23:13:09	Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x68781d…
09-30 23:13:03	will matt olson win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x43a672…
09-30 23:12:53	Will DK Metcalf have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xdcaf76…
09-30 23:12:02	Will Kenneth Walker III finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x2f5a64…
09-30 23:11:15	will gpt sol output price be 8 or below in 2026	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xab5c8c…
09-30 23:11:08	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 11?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x23ace7…
09-30 22:46:03	Will Austria be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6955f1…
09-30 21:30:41	Will Kenneth Walker III finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x408f5f…
09-30 21:26:12	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x45a0f7…
09-30 21:21:03	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe9b385…
09-30 20:59:54	will the nashville predators record 90 points	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xef526f…
09-30 20:53:27	Will Jordan Love have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x0729e9…
09-30 20:51:50	Will Javonte Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1fbf26…
09-30 20:46:32	Will SC Freiburg finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x63b37e…
09-30 20:40:44	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xad4a03…
09-30 20:35:05	Will Jalen Hurts have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x773901…
09-30 20:34:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x62333b…
09-30 20:34:50	Will Jalen Hurts have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xaf7772…
09-30 20:31:35	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xaeb68a…
09-30 20:29:57	Will Brock Purdy have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa1adff…
09-30 20:26:45	will verity score at least 42 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x5f028e…
09-30 20:25:38	will verity score at least 42 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a5eb5…
09-30 20:19:14	will sebastian aho record 30 goals in the 2026 27 regular season	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x6efd80…
09-30 20:03:56	Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x0f6621…
09-30 19:58:15	Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x419ac9…
09-30 19:56:26	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x4d9537…
09-30 19:56:14	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeec337…
09-30 19:47:14	Will Bryce Young have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x87665f…
09-30 19:45:20	Will Parris Todd reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x3fc3b6…
09-30 19:41:53	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf6482a…
09-30 19:36:38	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xfb39fd…
09-30 19:28:42	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4068bb…
09-30 19:26:33	Will Parris Todd reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x0c9e4b…
09-30 19:18:03	will ian happ win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x91d735…
09-30 19:13:53	will matt olson win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb47952…
09-30 19:08:21	Jumper listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x006561…
09-30 19:08:11	Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xc8842e…
09-30 19:08:11	Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x39c124…
09-30 19:06:32	Will KA Akureyri be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x5c5e34…
09-30 18:48:18	Will Jordan Love have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x43e4c0…
09-30 18:48:18	Will Jordan Love have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x147e18…
09-30 18:27:54	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcce036…