Safe-Thickness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$305

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$110

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-11 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Crypto

36% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+84	$70	84¢	$70	+$0	06-07 04:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+42	$37	86¢	$36	$-1	06-07 04:36
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-3	$-3	93¢	$-3	$-0	05-30 04:17
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	-1	$-1	95¢	$-1	$-0	05-30 04:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$119	69	69	+0	open	—	06-11 13:34
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$70	84	0	+84	open	—	06-07 04:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$37	42	0	+42	open	—	06-07 04:36
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	06-07 04:32
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	06-07 04:33
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	3	$5	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 07:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 21:50
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	05-30 04:17
will opinion launch a token on february 28	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-26 07:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$2	3	0	+3	Pistons	+$1	05-05 21:50
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-30 04:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-05 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:34:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	66	85¢	$56	0xeaa8a8…
06-07 04:36:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x8f430e…
06-07 04:36:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x02a8b2…
06-07 04:35:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0x08c027…
06-07 04:33:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xc9675c…
06-07 04:33:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x963a1a…
06-07 04:32:57	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xd51516…
05-30 04:20:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x1b201b…
05-30 04:18:17	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x23cbaa…
05-30 04:18:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xa9c75f…
05-30 04:17:08	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x3b8b5a…
05-30 04:16:56	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x47de5d…
05-05 21:50:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7a68b9…
05-05 21:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac966e…
05-05 21:50:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6af7cd…
05-05 21:50:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x865ccc…
05-05 21:50:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfb7eb5…
05-05 21:50:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2c2442…
02-26 07:07:38	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x68f16a…
02-26 07:07:20	will opinion launch a token on february 28	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x073dae…
01-31 08:02:40	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd593a0…
01-31 08:02:32	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7d0da3…