Trained-Counsellor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$326

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.2%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$3.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-03 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

78% 9% -$200

Other

18% 8% -$76

Crypto

4% 18% -$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	3	$860	1,094	1,094	+0	Yes	+$784	04-02 04:04
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	37	$504	200,126	127	+199,999	No	-$256	04-05 22:34
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	13	$262	1,860	697	+1,163	No	-$154	04-21 20:51
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	7	$132	7,604	0	+7,604	No	-$132	04-04 01:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	10	$109	743	743	+0	open	—	05-13 20:45
will trump say transgender this week february 15	2	$98	75	75	+0	No	+$36	02-14 11:05
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	7	$87	1,807	0	+1,807	No	-$87	04-15 10:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$68	27,999	0	+27,999	Yes	-$68	04-10 23:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	17	$58	1,611	1,611	+0	No	-$26	05-23 20:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	7	$57	1,343	1,343	+0	No	$0	05-31 23:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$55	19,999	0	+19,999	Yes	-$55	04-08 23:32
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	7	$54	1,218	0	+1,218	No	-$54	04-12 23:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	9	$52	4,236	2,028	+2,209	No	-$36	05-31 20:54
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	3	$40	86	71	+15	No	-$4	02-23 18:37
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 40 59	1	$40	200	0	+200	No	-$40	02-16 20:58
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$39	977	0	+977	No	-$39	02-09 18:31
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	7	$37	2,130	0	+2,130	No	-$37	04-18 14:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$33	5,856	0	+5,856	No	-$33	06-03 21:49
will russia enter kurylivka by february 28	2	$31	1,089	0	+1,089	Yes	-$31	02-11 01:46
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$29	24	24	+0	Yes	+$19	01-27 16:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$25	25,199	0	+25,199	Yes	-$25	05-31 23:25
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$23	630	0	+630	No	-$23	01-25 21:15
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	6	$21	110	110	+0	No	-$5	02-16 08:46
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	1	$19	173	0	+173	Yes	+$154	02-17 21:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	283	283	+0	Yes	-$1	04-14 00:32
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	7	$16	407	0	+407	No	-$16	02-16 16:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$15	5,197	0	+5,197	No	-$15	04-28 16:31
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	2	$15	354	0	+354	No	-$15	04-09 16:40
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 115 139	3	$15	179	0	+179	No	-$15	02-24 21:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$14	3,430	0	+3,430	Yes	-$14	04-27 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 21:49:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x1dfa11…
06-03 14:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x32a283…
06-03 14:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc54db5…
06-03 14:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x84f9a4…
06-03 14:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xdffd51…
06-03 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcdd40e…
06-03 01:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfd717b…
06-03 01:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x38d452…
06-03 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x040c0d…
06-03 01:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa5825f…
06-03 01:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x1b2eb3…
06-03 01:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa7965b…
06-03 00:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x769f7e…
06-03 00:09:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x74cb2d…
06-02 23:36:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x94c291…
06-02 14:15:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,856	0¢	$14	0x8d3cb0…
05-31 23:25:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	14,200	0¢	$14	0x67b31f…
05-31 23:24:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	648	2¢	$15	0x0d17f4…
05-31 20:54:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,209	0¢	$2	0x89c7a3…
05-31 20:51:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x81eecb…
05-31 18:43:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2cae19…
05-31 18:25:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,549	0¢	$4	0xf21453…
05-31 18:24:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	283	2¢	$5	0x197755…
05-31 03:51:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,460	0¢	$1	0xbf232c…
05-31 03:50:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$2	0x841e38…
05-31 03:37:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,990	0¢	$4	0x2cbe44…
05-31 03:36:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4d0255…
05-31 03:34:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	255	2¢	$5	0xde97d6…
05-29 01:01:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	506	2¢	$10	0xaa569a…
05-23 20:43:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,611	1¢	$16	0x3a2b55…
05-22 09:13:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,028	0¢	$8	0x7ef727…
05-20 20:50:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	837	2¢	$19	0xaa789b…
05-18 17:25:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	371	1¢	$5	0x3e608f…
05-18 00:35:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$5	0x54f15b…
05-18 00:31:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x70f103…
05-14 12:07:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	269	2¢	$5	0x7a1b38…
05-13 20:46:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x94bcb5…
05-13 20:45:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	660	7¢	$47	0xde3a32…
05-11 17:12:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0x146d8b…
05-11 16:58:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x7b3f13…
05-11 16:58:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xf4a7ec…
05-11 16:42:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xeaa92d…
05-10 22:56:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	292	3¢	$9	0xc8e743…
05-10 22:37:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xed90be…
05-10 22:35:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x0bd7a7…
05-10 22:04:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xbca0db…
05-10 21:54:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x83cbb2…
05-10 20:50:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x74c464…
05-10 20:34:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfd0f0b…
05-10 17:40:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	454	2¢	$10	0x445833…
05-10 14:15:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x9fc8aa…
05-10 14:12:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	7¢	$7	0xb35c47…
05-10 14:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xa8a242…
05-10 14:11:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x1ebbd5…
05-10 14:10:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xce7f7e…
05-10 14:10:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x5d77c9…
05-10 14:10:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x01ac59…
05-10 14:09:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x480f21…
05-10 14:09:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0xd42350…
05-10 12:32:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xd750f3…
05-09 16:46:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	8¢	$12	0x455463…
05-08 14:26:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x1e822b…
05-08 14:14:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	236	3¢	$7	0xb3b575…
05-08 14:13:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	9¢	$8	0x7e9e3b…
05-08 13:20:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0x897991…
04-28 16:31:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x89dd01…
04-27 00:44:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0x309840…
04-26 10:42:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	900	0¢	$3	0x06e0c9…
04-25 13:51:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x15d781…
04-24 19:16:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xb071ce…
04-24 18:11:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xb3588c…
04-21 21:22:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8665bc…
04-21 21:06:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xde1dd7…
04-21 20:51:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0x0fa77d…
04-21 20:45:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x47bd0d…
04-21 20:40:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,002	2¢	$25	0x3f4a2c…
04-21 20:23:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xb5fd09…
04-21 20:13:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	697	8¢	$54	0x2aa781…
04-20 16:49:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x725964…
04-20 16:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x134f51…
04-19 12:15:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xf7e8a8…
04-18 14:16:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x3efc81…
04-18 11:41:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0x4c35d4…
04-18 08:54:28	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x677881…
04-18 08:06:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x52dfd5…
04-16 21:25:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	889	2¢	$16	0x8f5ae5…
04-16 21:23:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$7	0xd43d46…
04-15 10:50:42	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$3	0x080156…
04-15 10:50:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xea73f0…
04-15 10:32:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xb2ec67…
04-15 10:17:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xcb4372…
04-14 01:27:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 13 2026	No	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0xdf141e…
04-14 00:32:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	283	3¢	$9	0x55fd63…
04-14 00:29:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7686b5…
04-13 23:23:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9af59a…
04-13 19:59:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x25e8e8…
04-13 19:55:29	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3bd958…
04-13 19:36:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$9	0x80ee45…
04-13 19:04:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	427	11¢	$47	0x842f67…
04-13 18:00:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	173	29¢	$50	0xbc5655…