Hearty-Warren — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

458

Trades

922

lifetime

Volume

$72.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-10 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 32% -$873

Other

30% 35% -$1,123

Sports

1% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	20	$8.7K	7,508	7,126	+382	No	+$4,715	04-10 20:04
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	9	$4.7K	3,561	3,561	+0	No	+$431	04-16 17:23
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	11	$3.5K	3,455	3,455	+0	Yes	+$137	05-01 10:45
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$3.3K	5,594	0	+5,594	Yes	-$1,921	04-14 03:55
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	29	$2.9K	4,095	3,970	+125	Yes	-$1,755	04-13 16:11
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$2.6K	2,868	1,938	+930	Yes	+$316	05-05 09:55
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	4	$2.6K	1,895	1,859	+35	Yes	+$1,176	04-14 23:50
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	11	$2.1K	2,403	2,310	+94	Yes	-$110	04-15 07:50
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	934	934	+0	No	+$409	04-30 20:00
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$1.2K	843	827	+16	No	+$6	04-09 09:32
epl not ast 2026 04 12 ast	4	$1.2K	1,642	1,000	+642	No	+$8	04-12 13:33
epl che mac 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	5	$1.1K	869	850	+19	Manchester City FC	+$618	04-12 17:36
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 3pt5	3	$960	615	607	+8	Under	+$261	04-14 23:50
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$960	772	772	+0	Yes	-$55	04-22 01:42
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?	4	$913	880	880	+0	Yes	-$110	04-14 03:40
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$912	1,526	1,526	+0	Yes	-$755	05-04 11:53
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 12pm et	45	$893	722	694	+28	Up	+$217	04-12 16:57
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$709	470	470	+0	No	+$110	04-30 13:14
megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	6	$674	692	685	+7	No	-$52	04-30 01:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	5	$635	457	454	+2	Yes	+$275	04-28 22:53
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	2	$625	559	526	+33	Yes	+$458	04-13 22:24
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$593	626	626	+0	Yes	-$65	05-04 11:55
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$590	2,804	2,631	+173	Yes	-$221	04-13 15:40
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$567	660	651	+9	Yes	-$511	04-13 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:40 UTC	54	$565	452	452	+0	Up	+$267	04-13 14:43
will ethereum reach 2300 on april 13	2	$554	463	438	+25	Yes	+$347	04-13 22:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	7	$532	562	479	+83	Yes	+$235	05-01 15:01
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$521	630	630	+0	Yes	-$79	04-08 03:50
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$518	323	318	+5	No	+$123	04-29 23:14
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	7	$516	1,753	914	+839	Yes	-$151	04-30 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 07:40:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	904	5¢	$43	0x4526a9…
10-10 05:19:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	186	8¢	$15	0xc05d56…
10-10 05:18:37	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd066a3…
10-10 00:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x6d859a…
10-09 23:07:44	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xabee71…
10-09 23:06:35	Instituto AC Córdoba leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4db1ab…
10-09 15:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1b018e…
10-09 15:37:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc41029…
10-09 15:36:07	bitcoin up or down on october 10 2026	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x638fa7…
10-09 14:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd264e3…
10-09 14:01:12	Will Pendikspor win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x51a6b5…
10-09 13:59:40	Bodrum FK leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x066d3f…
10-09 11:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xe7e588…
10-09 11:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	130	45¢	$59	0x33cdcf…
10-09 11:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x0984a9…
10-09 11:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe2247c…
10-09 11:12:10	Czechia vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xde24c4…
10-09 11:10:30	Hungary vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x62b932…
10-09 11:10:19	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1bfc3a…
10-09 11:06:37	Spread: Italy (-2.5)	Belarus	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe627a2…
10-09 11:06:18	Spread: Sweden (-3.5)	Lithuania	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xaba315…
10-09 03:17:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8e7c12…
10-09 03:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb54d55…
10-09 01:10:14	Finland vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x12d0de…
10-09 01:10:03	Will Serbia win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x58fc35…
10-09 01:09:36	Will Seinajoen JK win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb39272…
10-09 01:09:00	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5b03c2…
10-09 01:08:48	Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6fd8aa…
10-09 01:08:38	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x547977…
10-09 01:08:29	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc95446…
10-09 01:08:14	Will Simal win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x22ac80…
10-09 01:08:06	Will Energetik Mingechevir win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc1a419…
10-09 01:07:56	Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2b5f14…
10-09 01:07:48	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0830c8…
10-09 01:07:39	Will Rans Nusantara win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x542b29…
10-09 01:07:29	Will Madura United win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8e7c48…
10-09 01:07:20	Will Chungbuk Cheongju FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8a00ce…
10-09 01:07:09	Will Gimpo FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfbbbd1…
10-09 01:07:02	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0c9831…
10-09 01:06:53	Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb446bd…
10-09 01:06:44	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf3e8f6…
10-09 01:06:33	Will Hwaseong FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1e0bb6…
10-09 01:06:23	Will Fortaleza FC win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x38ae75…
10-09 01:05:36	Will Antigua GFC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5b70b4…
10-09 00:32:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x2986c7…
10-09 00:32:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xf6a2eb…
10-09 00:31:48	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4fdc7f…
10-09 00:31:38	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xddd206…
05-31 11:56:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	242	43¢	$105	0x602527…
05-31 11:42:06	Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xc76b10…
05-31 00:27:46	Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0x42c993…
05-30 19:05:33	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x690758…
05-30 01:58:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x14e096…
05-30 01:57:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	43	32¢	$14	0xf1184b…
05-30 01:56:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x918833…
05-30 01:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$19	0xad0ab2…
05-30 01:50:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x6a9e53…
05-30 01:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0xe57db2…
05-30 01:43:38	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x2e7752…
05-30 01:43:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x0d8c1f…
05-30 01:43:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x390d83…
05-15 04:16:40	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xff6dfa…
05-15 04:16:19	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	3,092	3¢	$87	0x3ca7a6…
05-10 06:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	645	41¢	$263	0xdea31b…
05-10 06:04:11	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	3,528	3¢	$106	0x9f4cbc…
05-10 06:04:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	333	16¢	$55	0x5ec864…
05-10 06:03:57	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0x9efe83…
05-09 23:16:26	Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x28660a…
05-09 15:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x3fc68b…
05-09 15:27:38	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	SELL	81	40¢	$32	0x6e7a7d…
05-09 14:19:29	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	81	67¢	$54	0xa8f8db…
05-09 13:34:44	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xf5fd98…
05-09 13:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x567cc0…
05-09 13:28:21	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0f654c…
05-09 13:18:00	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xc8a459…
05-09 12:43:01	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Brentford FC	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd6810f…
05-09 12:42:40	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb8db2c…
05-09 12:42:14	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x657d21…
05-09 10:34:10	Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd1e0d9…
05-09 10:33:59	Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xe7a87b…
05-09 07:25:47	Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd4fa56…
05-09 07:25:36	Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x475213…
05-09 06:30:34	Will Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7d302f…
05-09 06:30:20	Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x33d378…
05-09 05:01:36	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb95eba…
05-09 05:00:58	Brentford FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb60e49…
05-09 05:00:40	Chelsea FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9953cf…
05-09 05:00:30	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x753afb…
05-09 05:00:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x001b0e…
05-09 04:59:53	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x92b565…
05-09 04:59:34	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x50b34e…
05-09 04:59:27	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x53d652…
05-09 04:59:16	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd29004…
05-09 03:27:52	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	21¢	$71	0xae67c2…
05-09 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xdeeef5…
05-09 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xa49287…
05-09 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x7c6299…
05-09 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x52cc4e…
05-09 00:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xeb5377…
05-09 00:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	52	92¢	$48	0x25f3c8…