(anonymous) 0x226f37…9541e3 Create alert
bot new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
12
Trades
178
lifetime
Volume
$2.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$819
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-06 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63% — —
Politics
19% — —
Tech
13% — —
Crypto
4% 42% -$6
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +191 $86 63¢ $120 +$34 11-04 08:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +99 $70 73¢ $72 +$2 11-03 17:50
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +190 $112 37¢ $71 -$41 11-04 08:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +119 $59 45¢ $54 -$5 11-05 20:58
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? No +92 $47 56¢ $52 +$5 11-05 18:20
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? No +123 $52 38¢ $47 -$5 11-06 00:42
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +141 $38 31¢ $44 +$6 11-05 21:01
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +100 $48 42¢ $42 -$6 11-05 18:52
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $26 58¢ $29 +$3 11-05 22:27
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +50 $31 57¢ $29 -$2 11-04 01:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $31 27¢ $27 -$4 11-03 17:23
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the January meeting? Yes +39 $21 56¢ $22 +$1 11-05 12:25
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +50 $20 43¢ $22 +$1 11-03 20:07
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the January meeting? No +40 $23 44¢ $18 -$5 11-04 15:08
Will Julia Klöckner be the next President of Germany? No +20 $16 83¢ $17 +$1 11-04 07:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 11-03 07:34
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? Yes +20 $11 74¢ $15 +$4 11-02 22:54
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? Yes +19 $14 73¢ $14 $0 11-05 17:32
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? No +20 $14 66¢ $13 -$1 11-02 10:30
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +20 $13 65¢ $13 $0 11-03 05:47
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting? No +20 $13 64¢ $13 $0 11-04 09:24
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? No +20 $14 64¢ $13 -$1 11-02 10:30
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? No +20 $12 52¢ $10 -$2 11-02 10:32
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? Yes +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$0 11-02 10:32
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? Yes +20 $9 36¢ $7 -$2 11-03 03:39
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting? Yes +20 $10 36¢ $7 -$2 11-03 11:55
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +20 $6 35¢ $7 +$1 11-03 16:40
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? Yes +20 $9 34¢ $7 -$3 11-02 20:50
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? No +20 $7 27¢ $5 -$1 11-03 07:05
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +20 $13 26¢ $5 -$7 11-02 22:54