Weak-Caper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

286

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% -$2

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	1	$19	19	+19	Yes	+$0	10-29 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	1	$18	19	+19	No	+$0	10-28 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-27 12:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-26 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-25 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-22 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-20 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-18 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-17 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-16 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-15 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-14 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-12 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 11?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-11 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-08 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-07 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 5?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-05 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-03 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-02 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-01 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	09-28 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	09-27 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	09-26 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	09-24 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	09-23 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	09-22 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	09-21 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5ab4ab…
10-28 08:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x522810…
10-27 12:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9bc7cf…
10-26 10:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x613a29…
10-25 09:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x523e77…
10-22 10:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf7bf6a…
10-20 08:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa797be…
10-19 10:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf7f72e…
10-18 15:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb93b91…
10-17 16:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x709410…
10-16 16:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x14ae19…
10-15 14:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x048ae1…
10-14 13:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe9063e…
10-13 11:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb5a34a…
10-12 12:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd0f383…
10-11 10:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf9cc54…
10-08 12:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x218902…
10-07 07:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x076b4e…
10-05 13:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfbbaae…
10-03 10:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbfa4b6…
10-02 14:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xccf546…
10-01 13:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7af1fc…
09-30 07:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x036304…
09-28 14:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4d1001…
09-27 11:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb404ad…
09-26 05:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbc2415…
09-24 09:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc087c8…
09-23 10:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9808b2…
09-22 09:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8fa782…
09-21 14:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x017056…
09-20 06:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x580583…
09-19 11:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x608d70…
09-18 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9a443c…
09-17 04:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7dae69…
09-16 09:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x276433…
09-15 14:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1ac8f…
09-13 08:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x34bafb…
09-11 10:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6c74c6…
09-10 10:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4c5617…
09-09 08:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x75a57b…
09-08 13:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x35dca1…
09-07 09:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0060b9…
09-06 12:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x39cf6c…
09-05 09:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd41514…
09-04 03:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc8c77f…
09-02 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x467b01…
08-30 14:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5fed1c…
08-29 10:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7bbc2c…
08-28 10:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x793c6c…
08-27 09:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xec0011…
08-26 08:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9af810…
08-25 09:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ee774…
08-24 15:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb381a1…
08-24 01:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9d3c08…
08-22 10:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xaef65d…
08-21 09:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5f28e1…
08-20 12:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa2f479…
08-18 09:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe7d1bf…
08-17 09:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6e45c5…
08-16 14:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x321cb8…
08-14 07:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8104fa…
08-13 09:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x66ffb7…
08-12 09:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on August 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd0dbc5…
08-11 07:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa8f9cb…
08-10 09:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7be8c9…
08-09 07:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb75bb2…
08-08 08:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc392df…
08-07 10:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x635914…
08-06 08:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7bae38…
08-05 08:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x04b0d9…
08-04 09:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x74ee1b…
08-03 08:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa74296…
08-02 06:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x636834…
08-01 07:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xccee24…
07-30 08:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3aa2de…
07-29 07:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc8746f…
07-28 08:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x96fa75…
07-27 10:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x46e1cf…
07-26 08:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6316f7…
07-25 09:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7951bf…
07-24 14:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc770ca…
07-23 08:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xb477f7…
07-22 02:18:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x19541f…
07-21 06:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x751da2…
07-20 12:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x02b08b…
07-19 05:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xd17631…
07-18 07:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc1cf7f…
07-17 07:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5a36f2…
07-15 22:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8b8646…
07-15 10:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd1022c…
07-14 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c7526…
07-13 09:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x958461…
07-12 07:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaa9348…
07-11 10:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe4fb78…
07-10 16:31:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x92df63…
07-09 09:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x03fe89…
07-08 10:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x34f9d6…
07-07 08:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x317c0a…
07-06 03:10:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1dcfa4…
07-05 15:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcf4364…