Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$782
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
130
lifetime
Volume
$20.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$2.76K
3 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-16 22:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
42%
Tech
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,993 $1,435 84¢ $1.7K +$249 06-07 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2,524 $-1,558 42¢ $-1073 +$485 06-11 21:06
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +8 $-42 79¢ $7 +$48 06-13 12:20