Luxurious-Headache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$212

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-16 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 42% $-98

Politics

16% 100% +$33

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-21	$-21	100¢	$-21	$-0	06-16 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$66	115	0	+115	Down	$-66	05-06 19:01
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	06-02 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$21	51	0	+51	Down	$-21	05-06 18:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$21	0	21	-21	open	—	06-16 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Down	$-10	05-06 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-06 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-06 16:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	05-06 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$8	38	0	+38	Down	$-8	05-11 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$7	11	0	+11	Up	+$4	05-06 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-06 11:55
btc updown 15m 1780919100	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-08 11:46
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	39	0	+39	open	—	05-11 12:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	36	0	+36	Yes	+$33	05-06 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	+$4	05-06 16:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-11 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-06 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:14:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x4775e8…
06-08 11:46:10	btc updown 15m 1780919100	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x159838…
06-02 10:55:00	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1de8da…
05-11 12:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xb55492…
05-11 12:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd17bbe…
05-11 12:23:15	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xda803f…
05-06 19:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0x877bee…
05-06 19:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0xbb3e31…
05-06 18:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2e2c30…
05-06 18:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdcc2e6…
05-06 18:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x154f22…
05-06 18:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x34f911…
05-06 18:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x830865…
05-06 18:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x57523e…
05-06 16:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x59b634…
05-06 16:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8bc66d…
05-06 16:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5208ac…
05-06 15:26:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xfc2c32…
05-06 14:59:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x58c294…
05-06 14:00:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8d93af…
05-06 13:50:00	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xee96d9…
05-06 11:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x068246…
05-06 11:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcd9619…