Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

421

Trades

1,286

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-26 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 76% -$110

Other

20% 53% -$71

Tech

6% 60% -$102

Politics

4% 53% +$11

Sports

0% 60% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	7	$508	307	307	+0	Yes	+$22	07-24 10:57
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$261	150	150	+0	No	+$9	07-23 12:40
bitcoin up or down january 14 10am et	8	$217	190	190	+0	Up	-$37	01-14 15:42
ethereum up or down january 14 9am et	20	$195	139	139	+0	Up	+$7	01-14 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:05 UTC	5	$181	100	99	+1	Up	+$7	04-04 13:09
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	7	$179	376	242	+133	Yes	-$124	07-24 16:42
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	5	$178	186	186	+0	Yes	+$28	07-21 14:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	8	$158	218	109	+109	Down	+$4	02-03 09:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 13:15 UTC	8	$144	88	88	+0	Down	+$3	01-06 13:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:00 UTC	4	$143	96	94	+2	Down	+$20	04-04 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:50 UTC	9	$139	89	87	+2	Up	+$17	04-03 07:55
highest temperature in london on january 31 9c	2	$116	58	58	+0	No	+$0	01-31 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:55 UTC	5	$114	64	63	+1	Down	+$9	04-03 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:55 UTC	3	$110	61	60	+1	Down	+$10	04-04 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:55 UTC	4	$108	59	59	+1	Up	+$7	04-03 08:59
highest temperature in london on january 26 6c	14	$107	67	73	-7	Yes	-$10	01-26 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:45 UTC	7	$107	71	70	+1	Up	-$1	04-03 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:55 UTC	4	$107	81	79	+2	Down	+$4	04-02 18:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 13:00 UTC	2	$106	63	62	+0	Down	+$4	01-14 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 15:15 UTC	4	$102	103	102	+1	Up	+$3	02-03 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:00 UTC	4	$101	102	101	+1	Up	+$4	02-03 21:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:15 UTC	4	$99	102	101	+1	Up	+$2	02-03 08:25
bitcoin up or down january 14 9am et	6	$99	69	69	+0	Up	+$6	01-14 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:40 UTC	4	$99	85	82	+3	Up	+$16	04-02 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:15 UTC	3	$97	124	45	+79	Up	-$77	04-04 13:17
highest temperature in ankara on february 1 8corbelow	2	$97	49	49	+0	No	+$0	02-01 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 10:15 UTC	3	$96	91	48	+42	Down	-$30	01-14 10:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 10:45 UTC	2	$91	65	64	+1	Down	+$19	01-14 10:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:00 UTC	8	$90	139	48	+91	Down	+$2	02-03 11:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:30 UTC	4	$88	95	93	+1	Down	$0	02-03 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 18:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x26f16d…
07-26 18:08:06	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xac3930…
07-24 16:42:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xb6995b…
07-24 16:24:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	229	9¢	$21	0xd06f86…
07-24 14:47:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	57	30¢	$17	0x14b7b6…
07-24 13:37:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xd8a873…
07-24 13:36:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbb2beb…
07-24 12:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5cd2e4…
07-24 12:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x86234d…
07-24 10:57:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	158	88¢	$138	0x87e06f…
07-23 12:41:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	158	85¢	$134	0xef1667…
07-23 12:40:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0x3eb3b8…
07-22 19:37:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xd3537c…
07-22 19:30:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	149	85¢	$127	0x6d0ce4…
07-22 08:07:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x1e64ff…
07-22 08:06:46	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x274b79…
07-22 07:55:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x94754d…
07-22 07:54:52	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xf0b1ac…
07-22 07:53:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	125	75¢	$93	0x58cf3d…
07-22 07:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xb959c4…
07-22 07:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x73eb7a…
07-21 18:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x60b83d…
07-21 18:57:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4ff600…
07-21 14:27:12	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	55¢	$103	0x2e5124…
07-21 13:17:58	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x67e819…
07-21 13:17:13	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1debfc…
07-21 13:12:49	Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x696153…
07-21 13:10:49	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6d8baa…
07-21 13:07:33	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3f1e40…
07-21 12:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xc09396…
07-21 12:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x245e77…
07-21 09:26:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xf415c7…
07-21 09:25:34	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0xc791e9…
07-21 09:16:18	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x77feaa…
07-21 08:37:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x002be5…
07-21 08:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x53f524…
07-21 08:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf614bd…
07-21 08:10:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xed5489…
07-21 08:10:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2206d9…
07-21 07:27:28	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xda0540…
07-21 07:10:51	Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x788516…
07-20 22:48:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5f7fdd…
07-20 20:00:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4655e6…
07-20 19:27:37	Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x96b484…
07-20 19:03:37	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x133dd5…
07-20 19:01:06	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x50c868…
07-20 18:58:37	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcfe6d0…
07-20 18:46:09	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc5027e…
07-20 18:35:37	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	80¢	$45	0x2dafac…
07-20 17:13:01	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	Yes	SELL	36	93¢	$34	0x81af0a…
07-20 12:34:09	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x861cdf…
07-20 12:33:12	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xa9e2e6…
07-20 12:21:49	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x8665f5…
07-20 11:54:07	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x02f172…
07-20 11:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x3d6de0…
07-20 11:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x10bb91…
07-20 09:11:04	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x8dd0dd…
07-20 07:18:27	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf3fa70…
07-20 07:12:22	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2deba6…
07-20 07:02:48	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x76b890…
07-19 23:13:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x85471c…
07-19 22:38:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd65c75…
07-19 22:37:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x97f922…
07-19 22:37:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x55af42…
07-19 22:36:45	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x152329…
07-19 14:20:10	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xc95074…
07-19 14:07:22	Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x048bfe…
07-19 13:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x38119a…
07-19 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 19?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfb8e70…
07-19 10:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 19?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7696fe…
07-19 09:22:13	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x86a8f4…
07-19 09:16:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x52e8fe…
07-19 09:12:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd3d799…
07-18 21:27:36	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd7f7a2…
07-18 19:31:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xdf6b03…
07-18 14:01:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x5dba91…
07-18 14:01:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0xce9b97…
07-18 12:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xfa1bde…
07-18 11:01:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xeb1dc0…
07-18 10:55:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc5d8f1…
07-18 10:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x14e857…
07-18 10:42:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x97fe01…
07-18 10:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd88dca…
07-18 08:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2e1ec5…
07-18 08:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x02a7d5…
07-18 08:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3fea5f…
07-18 08:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7f74e4…
07-18 08:40:55	will putin be in the headlines this week 20260710201146856	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf12811…
07-18 08:36:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x790eef…
07-17 22:20:16	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x375741…
07-17 20:39:15	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x7f6339…
07-17 18:02:57	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x6f211e…
07-17 13:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5d758b…
07-17 13:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f17cd…
07-17 12:05:19	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8d7ed2…
07-17 10:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xbfd79d…
07-17 09:57:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc210ec…
07-17 09:23:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x03f73a…
07-17 07:29:30	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xeae32d…
07-17 07:20:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026 534	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2c7214…