Fine-Puffin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

112

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-29 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

61% 97% +$3

Politics

29% 78% -$48

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-31 13:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$174	118	59	+59	No	+$0	09-14 17:46
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	08-13 05:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-01 11:02
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-04 23:42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	09-15 18:09
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	09-04 07:57
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$57	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	08-05 10:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-10 22:04
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	1	$53	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	09-23 11:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	06-30 04:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$1	08-13 19:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-21 14:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$49	60	0	+60	No	-$49	10-15 10:14
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	02-28 09:54
meta above 620 on march 31 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	03-30 23:47
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	07-31 16:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	09-30 01:50
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-13 05:01
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	10-29 13:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 14:34
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-01 04:40
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-29 13:40
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-29 06:47
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-25 08:46
will chainlink hit 23 in january	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-15 06:35
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-27 12:10
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-28 17:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	01-24 10:23
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-26 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:19:25	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x80fd76…
10-29 00:32:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd0eab8…
10-24 12:58:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xe53f5a…
10-24 12:58:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	218	0¢	$0	0x566f4c…
10-24 12:57:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x76c03c…
10-24 12:57:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xff48f5…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x887af5…
10-04 23:42:26	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3c55b6…
10-01 04:40:02	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x365e60…
10-01 01:07:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a3b39…
09-30 01:50:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x31260d…
09-27 12:10:27	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4369ac…
09-26 17:53:41	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd3fa9e…
09-23 11:17:52	will xi jinping visit us by september 23	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x1a03a3…
09-23 05:05:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a322e…
09-15 18:09:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x4cbce9…
09-14 17:46:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x5254db…
09-12 02:48:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x085e0a…
09-10 22:54:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0x67a1cb…
09-04 07:57:27	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xcaf237…
09-01 11:02:40	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x437f4a…
08-31 17:01:34	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3c7eba…
08-31 13:39:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x0799c0…
08-30 05:41:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x8991c4…
08-26 16:38:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$49	0x71f971…
08-24 08:05:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd3ae4…
08-24 07:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$49	0x94a91d…
08-21 14:18:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfa64a8…
08-17 21:35:00	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0a2c6…
08-16 18:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	0¢	$0	0x4518a4…
08-16 18:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9a4b42…
08-16 17:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2655fc…
08-16 17:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2baa04…
08-15 00:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 15?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x608d5a…
08-13 19:46:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xd71be8…
08-13 18:41:43	will wti dip to 40 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x55df64…
08-13 05:19:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x431b8d…
08-11 20:03:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xaff8e1…
08-11 17:11:39	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6506d…
08-10 22:04:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xdc1dda…
08-08 03:42:57	will ethereum dip to 1200 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50e73d…
08-05 10:34:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$57	0xbe4278…
07-31 16:09:27	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6c4e60…
07-31 04:21:15	will meta dip to 500 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x243ba8…
07-29 22:42:02	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe3f793…
07-29 19:53:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4680f1…
07-29 11:20:47	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x4f6dbe…
07-26 10:48:01	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x617682…
07-25 04:09:12	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x89b072…
07-25 03:30:27	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfebbe8…
07-24 20:47:30	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8ff72b…
07-24 00:55:24	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cf4c9…
07-23 12:52:43	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc2ef00…
07-22 10:32:31	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52b5d1…
07-21 06:14:45	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x22a76e…
07-20 17:54:58	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0c39e…
07-09 05:14:04	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2c255…
06-30 04:47:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xceb809…
06-27 22:16:58	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xcc31d1…
05-30 14:34:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x21557c…
05-29 06:47:36	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xeb30ae…
05-28 05:25:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5001b4…
05-13 05:01:28	Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0e491d…
05-12 09:37:19	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83e832…
05-09 17:29:35	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x11b518…
05-09 05:19:57	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x05ce71…
05-08 14:23:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xacd680…
05-08 06:15:10	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x201fab…
05-08 01:15:41	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb714d7…
05-07 21:57:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7f56c…
05-06 20:46:15	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x72b39a…
05-05 15:42:58	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b3869…
05-05 07:06:30	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd83af8…
05-05 03:15:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x234cef…
05-05 02:18:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfdc8c8…
04-29 13:40:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xee0f1c…
04-25 23:01:50	Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xdb3f74…
04-25 11:47:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ebe10…
04-23 16:15:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6f4351…
04-23 03:51:48	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b30a6…
04-21 12:59:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x930dc9…
04-19 23:43:08	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x832e45…
04-19 04:20:14	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4521de…
04-18 18:02:10	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6c6f5…
04-18 09:10:28	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd98daa…
04-17 12:06:20	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb21067…
04-16 12:23:56	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbc3436…
04-15 11:36:32	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xac62c1…
04-14 11:21:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf32398…
04-13 12:34:03	Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc85972…
04-05 14:00:49	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x632b40…
03-30 23:47:29	meta above 620 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xe9d04b…
03-29 16:32:28	will chainlink reach 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x555d29…
03-26 18:04:45	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85e080…
03-25 08:11:59	meta above 720 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb50f91…
03-24 18:22:29	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e8c60…
03-20 17:18:17	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x988113…
03-19 18:29:45	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xffced3…
03-18 15:16:21	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3cdf4f…
03-17 08:17:37	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x070985…