Discrete-Criterion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-10 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	5	$109	208	108	+100	Down	+$8	05-10 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$64	94	23	+71	Up	$-53	05-09 14:37
btc updown 5m 1776630300	3	$50	31	30	+1	open	—	04-19 20:30
eth updown 5m 1776643800	2	$50	32	31	+1	open	—	04-20 00:15
btc updown 5m 1776645900	3	$49	30	30	+1	open	—	04-20 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	6	$41	80	68	+12	open	—	05-01 22:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$40	163	0	+163	Down	+$23	05-09 14:27
btc updown 5m 1776645300	4	$39	33	32	+1	open	—	04-20 00:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$37	54	0	+54	Down	+$17	05-09 14:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$36	72	72	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 14:54
eth updown 5m 1776643500	4	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 00:10
btc updown 5m 1776630900	4	$35	27	26	+1	open	—	04-19 20:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$34	31	29	+1	open	—	04-27 22:59
btc updown 5m 1776648000	2	$33	24	23	+1	open	—	04-20 01:25
eth updown 5m 1776635700	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$32	22	16	+6	open	—	05-03 19:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$31	43	43	+0	Up	$-9	05-10 18:48
eth updown 5m 1776632100	2	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-19 21:00
eth updown 5m 1776713700	3	$30	23	23	+1	open	—	04-20 19:38
btc updown 5m 1776648900	4	$29	27	26	+1	open	—	04-20 01:40
eth updown 5m 1776631500	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 20:50
eth updown 5m 1776634200	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 21:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$28	45	39	+6	Up	$-16	05-10 19:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$28	48	24	+24	open	—	05-01 22:55
btc updown 5m 1776645600	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 00:45
btc updown 5m 1776649500	4	$25	20	19	+1	open	—	04-20 01:50
eth updown 5m 1776718500	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-20 21:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$23	99	69	+30	open	—	04-27 22:13
btc updown 5m 1776644700	2	$21	23	22	+1	open	—	04-20 00:28
btc updown 5m 1776648300	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 19:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7e69df…
05-10 19:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc1b426…
05-10 19:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xa150f4…
05-10 19:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6ce37c…
05-10 18:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	43	26¢	$11	0x20b904…
05-10 18:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x477816…
05-10 18:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x01d618…
05-10 18:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xb8223f…
05-10 18:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x5eb155…
05-10 18:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0xdb9976…
05-10 18:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	36¢	$26	0x27115c…
05-09 15:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x931fce…
05-09 14:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	72	23¢	$16	0xcfb6e1…
05-09 14:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xf1d5c7…
05-09 14:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	24¢	$5	0xa54dfb…
05-09 14:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xc373c7…
05-09 14:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0x20d0c1…
05-09 14:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x22f5c5…
05-09 14:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0x5e5952…
05-09 14:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0xaf0c0e…
05-09 11:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5d411b…
05-09 11:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8e7ec3…
05-09 11:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd2448f…
05-09 11:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd42bbb…
05-09 11:20:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc52227…
05-09 02:27:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4d924a…
05-07 21:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x873079…
05-07 21:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf7c716…
05-07 21:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x5f42ec…
05-07 21:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1c32a8…
05-07 20:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x264618…
05-07 20:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x04ce38…
05-07 20:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa86279…
05-04 21:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4ca512…
05-04 21:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe3559d…
05-04 21:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa05e05…
05-04 16:17:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x55608c…
05-03 19:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x56458e…
05-03 19:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x19828c…
05-03 19:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b76d4…
05-03 19:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf73129…
05-03 19:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdfec8f…
05-03 19:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5c98bc…
05-02 20:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xdacca6…
05-02 20:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe5d313…
05-02 20:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x4c2245…
05-02 20:42:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xf40a51…
05-02 20:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2c5e67…
05-02 20:40:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4965bc…
05-02 20:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x42e145…
05-02 17:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x4f63f2…
05-02 17:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb24b38…
05-02 17:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x090372…
05-01 23:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xdc9c97…
05-01 23:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x8c072c…
05-01 23:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x20f431…
05-01 23:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb72744…
05-01 23:33:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x6030d5…
05-01 23:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xebb2de…
05-01 23:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd59bc8…
05-01 23:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x546be0…
05-01 23:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x57d60c…
05-01 23:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc8f96e…
05-01 23:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xbab564…
05-01 23:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x9023e4…
05-01 23:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0a0ff2…
05-01 23:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x560ff7…
05-01 23:01:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfe01a7…
05-01 23:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa90f79…
05-01 22:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xd06bd4…
05-01 22:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x43be43…
05-01 22:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x6c8e96…
05-01 22:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5cad4b…
05-01 22:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x511510…
05-01 22:37:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9c2010…
05-01 22:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc543bf…
05-01 22:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x5f49b8…
05-01 22:22:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1e9aff…
05-01 22:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x45520d…
05-01 22:08:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7fbcea…
05-01 22:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	68	30¢	$20	0x806980…
05-01 22:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa9c208…
05-01 22:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x56f2b3…
05-01 22:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4f9f81…
05-01 22:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xddb810…
04-29 16:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x238883…
04-29 15:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb35658…
04-29 15:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa20516…
04-29 15:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x07f4ea…
04-29 14:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf11c4f…
04-29 14:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x5ad2a5…
04-29 14:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x537a2f…
04-29 14:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x56a910…
04-29 13:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd6ffa7…
04-29 13:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfe0563…
04-28 22:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa46a7c…
04-28 21:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x644444…
04-28 21:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x8222c8…
04-28 21:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7f9576…
04-27 23:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xfc8c46…