Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
66
Trades
142
lifetime
Volume
$956
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$365
20 positions
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-06 20:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
44% — —
Crypto
22% 33% -$84
Politics
22% — —
Tech
12% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? Yes +300 $201 57¢ $171 -$30 11-05 11:39
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +30 $26 96¢ $29 +$2 11-05 08:45
244 or fewer votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? No +30 $17 90¢ $27 +$10 11-05 13:15
Will Ann Kao win Hsinchu City and Hsu Hsin-ying win Hsinchu County? No +30 $20 64¢ $19 $0 11-05 11:53
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? Yes +29 $10 64¢ $19 +$9 11-06 00:44
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? Yes +57 $11 25¢ $14 +$3 11-05 12:56
Supreme Court sides with Catholic preschools in Colorado funding case? No +30 $16 44¢ $13 -$2 11-05 06:22
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31? Yes +30 $18 44¢ $13 -$5 11-05 09:31
270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? No +10 $7 99¢ $10 +$3 11-06 01:34
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? No +16 $10 63¢ $10 $0 11-06 20:29
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 44¢ $9 -$3 11-05 12:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $10 42¢ $8 -$1 11-06 00:51
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? Yes +16 $2 37¢ $6 +$4 11-05 23:42
Will the DPP win the New Taipei and Kaohsiung mayoral elections? Yes +10 $8 53¢ $5 -$2 11-06 10:09
Will the DPP win the New Taipei and Kaohsiung mayoral elections? No +10 $3 46¢ $5 +$2 11-06 00:38
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? No +6 $2 43¢ $3 +$1 11-05 11:39
Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? No +3 $4 55¢ $1 -$2 11-05 23:17
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? No +28 $8 4¢ $1 -$7 11-05 06:05
Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? Yes +3 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 11-05 11:18
270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? Yes +10 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 11-06 03:03