Thankful-Alfalfa-Warlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-07 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-166

Crypto

37% 49% $-16

Politics

1% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	5	$194	57,452	4,628	+52,825	Yes	$-166	05-02 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	6	$18	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$8	17	5	+12	Up	$-4	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$4	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$7	24	14	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 21:04
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$6	832	832	+0	open	—	05-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$6	6	5	+1	Down	+$2	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$6	10	7	+3	Up	$-2	05-04 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-04 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-04 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-04 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$3	19	11	+8	Up	$-1	05-04 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	3	$3	5	4	+1	Up	+$1	05-04 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$3	18	1	+17	Down	$-1	05-04 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 21:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-04 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:18
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-07 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:38
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 21:17
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-07 22:18
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-07 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Down	$-2	05-04 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 22:18:29	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaa8f5c…
05-07 22:18:22	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x276f5f…
05-07 22:10:54	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4790a4…
05-07 22:10:42	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe7bd91…
05-07 22:09:09	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	802	0¢	$2	0x0be7bd…
05-07 22:05:24	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x5d996f…
05-07 21:35:44	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	305	0¢	$2	0xfe7781…
05-07 21:22:59	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x59368b…
05-07 17:55:02	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0x8049a5…
05-07 17:43:39	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2a0428…
05-05 03:53:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe2f4f9…
05-04 23:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x015f38…
05-04 23:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ceeec…
05-04 23:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc0d504…
05-04 23:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x22ed9c…
05-04 23:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2f729f…
05-04 23:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe4509b…
05-04 23:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x71cee2…
05-04 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x79da78…
05-04 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x16845a…
05-04 23:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x47949d…
05-04 23:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7bfce2…
05-04 23:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xabfdba…
05-04 23:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcdf6d3…
05-04 23:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x0ede0c…
05-04 23:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0a6afc…
05-04 23:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3800cc…
05-04 23:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xda79c8…
05-04 23:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc7d359…
05-04 23:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x66b50a…
05-04 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1e59ed…
05-04 22:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8134aa…
05-04 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8dc75b…
05-04 22:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6f8ea3…
05-04 22:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7fcec0…
05-04 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0aa893…
05-04 22:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xfefceb…
05-04 22:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8dc4c3…
05-04 22:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x502815…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf26783…
05-04 22:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x7d2857…
05-04 22:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa7e294…
05-04 22:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa29224…
05-04 22:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc79e09…
05-04 22:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x928fce…
05-04 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd10ba6…
05-04 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x62dcc8…
05-04 22:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x972ec4…
05-04 22:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7c1c34…
05-04 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa8fd1a…
05-04 21:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1d8095…
05-04 21:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1ab9cb…
05-04 21:51:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x7cf616…
05-04 21:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x215074…
05-04 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5ecc3f…
05-04 21:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4c8946…
05-04 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xe36e78…
05-04 21:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0206db…
05-04 21:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x205d85…
05-04 21:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa176f5…
05-04 21:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x04011a…
05-04 21:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3bb240…
05-04 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6415dc…
05-04 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x33649d…
05-04 21:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x57b30a…
05-04 21:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x560197…
05-04 21:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee02ae…
05-04 21:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0bf2a3…
05-04 21:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9fc7db…
05-04 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa77545…
05-04 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x77db83…
05-04 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x328d84…
05-04 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2c924c…
05-04 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf39e5…
05-04 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbdf8d8…
05-04 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc9aa9c…
05-04 20:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc62d8e…
05-04 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xdaa6ee…
05-04 20:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x440dcc…
05-04 20:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x084b39…
05-04 20:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xd9847e…
05-04 20:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4d404c…
05-04 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x61c7fa…
05-04 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b4bd2…
05-04 20:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x334fba…
05-04 20:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x84ddf5…
05-04 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x445724…
05-04 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc11534…
05-04 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x21cfa9…
05-04 20:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x870f0f…
05-04 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa9476a…
05-04 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf2a534…
05-04 19:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbdb1a7…
05-04 19:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x24d6fb…
05-02 03:22:52	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49,620	0¢	$149	0xc4afee…
05-01 22:53:14	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,955	0¢	$12	0x559b89…
05-01 22:51:36	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x634c99…
05-01 22:50:42	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,628	0¢	$14	0xfa5987…
05-01 22:49:42	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,628	0¢	$19	0xeef479…