Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$895
$42,108 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
73¢
Latest NO mid
27¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 20:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.0¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $555
vs crowd: 9% YES on $698)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $58 | $597 | $539 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $4 | $551 | $546 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $36 | $34 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $32 | $18 | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homely-Skyscraper 0x4bec…b8f8 | Down | +510 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Wordy-Dude 0x83b9…0ad4 | Up | +190 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Married-Subconscious 0x2177…de3f | Up | +167 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Ugly-Championship 0x6e92…5f14 | Up | +104 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Wrong-Anyone 0x4f87…420d | Up | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +51 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-04 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x05c4…f346 | Down | +51 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-04 20:29 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Ample-Paw 0x5889…d1d4 | Up | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Noisy-Justification 0xc470…30d9 | Up | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | +27 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Optimal-Eicosanoid 0x17f0…ea12 | Up | +26 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Each-Ambassador 0x8b52…70b9 | Down | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Required-Collector 0x2efb…a0b1 | Up | +20 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Extraneous-Upper 0x5a25…099d | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Down | +15 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Incompatible-Socialist 0x09c9…3c82 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:29 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Robust-Cough 0x3b6b…b46a | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Babyish-Aide 0x8824…d492 | Up | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xce17…6be9 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Memorable-Appropriation 0xac8e…f2fd | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Far-Off-Garlic 0x8244…2db2 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Wilted-Recollection 0x5a11…7a51 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Ill-Bandwidth 0x9b09…3be1 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 20:44:48 | Wordy-Dude 0x83b9…0ad4 | Up | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda5171… |
| 05-04 20:44:48 | Wordy-Dude 0x83b9…0ad4 | Up | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c7082… |
| 05-04 20:44:48 | Wordy-Dude 0x83b9…0ad4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ea860… |
| 05-04 20:44:48 | Wordy-Dude 0x83b9…0ad4 | Up | BUY | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22dd27… |
| 05-04 20:44:36 | Flat-Pancake 0x548f…edbf | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd7f152… |
| 05-04 20:39:46 | Noisy-Justification 0xc470…30d9 | Up | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf0b470… |
| 05-04 20:39:44 | Homely-Skyscraper 0x4bec…b8f8 | Down | BUY | 510 | 98¢ | $500 | 0xae0bf7… |
| 05-04 20:39:42 | Married-Subconscious 0x2177…de3f | Up | BUY | 167 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xbf2fb0… |
| 05-04 20:39:42 | Joint-Entity 0x7bcf…a9c8 | Up | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x304598… |
| 05-04 20:39:40 | Squeaky-Bandana 0x1e8c…6323 | Down | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x69ba4c… |
| 05-04 20:39:40 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xefe4d3… |
| 05-04 20:39:40 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2f257a… |
| 05-04 20:39:40 | Ample-Paw 0x5889…d1d4 | Up | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdd0421… |
| 05-04 20:39:38 | Wrong-Anyone 0x4f87…420d | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc0fd8b… |
| 05-04 20:39:38 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc327a3… |
| 05-04 20:39:38 | Trivial-Slump 0x0cae…568a | Down | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8571bf… |
| 05-04 20:39:38 | Wrong-Anyone 0x4f87…420d | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb58e60… |
| 05-04 20:39:38 | Capital-Panther 0x35fe…cc73 | Down | SELL | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xb0d02d… |
| 05-04 20:39:36 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x870674… |
| 05-04 20:39:36 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xbb8ac8… |
| 05-04 20:39:34 | Wilted-Recollection 0x5a11…7a51 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3aa029… |
| 05-04 20:39:26 | Extraneous-Upper 0x5a25…099d | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x32f05f… |
| 05-04 20:39:24 | Ill-Bandwidth 0x9b09…3be1 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfc4505… |
| 05-04 20:34:50 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x684962… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xf72437… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x25abe3… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x30c4f5… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | Far-Off-Garlic 0x8244…2db2 | Down | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x801de5… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2176cd… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | Each-Ambassador 0x8b52…70b9 | Down | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x9c70e0… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x8b8f61… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | Reflecting-Farmland 0xef78…5194 | Up | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe18e9e… |
| 05-04 20:34:48 | Babyish-Aide 0x8824…d492 | Up | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd8a244… |
| 05-04 20:34:46 | Each-Ambassador 0x8b52…70b9 | Down | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0xcda417… |
| 05-04 20:34:44 | Required-Collector 0x2efb…a0b1 | Up | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xac8dcb… |
| 05-04 20:34:42 | Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Down | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xe4bc49… |
| 05-04 20:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xadeb40… |
| 05-04 20:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc8ccb7… |
| 05-04 20:34:40 | Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Down | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xda62cc… |
| 05-04 20:34:40 | Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Down | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x610661… |
| 05-04 20:34:38 | Trivial-Slump 0x0cae…568a | Down | SELL | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xa0d3b7… |
| 05-04 20:34:38 | Required-Collector 0x2efb…a0b1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2de27d… |
| 05-04 20:34:36 | Agonizing-Webmail 0x783d…af3f | Down | SELL | 189 | 77¢ | $145 | 0x04352a… |
| 05-04 20:34:34 | Memorable-Appropriation 0xac8e…f2fd | Down | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xe6557c… |
| 05-04 20:34:34 | Optimal-Eicosanoid 0x17f0…ea12 | Up | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x2d4055… |
| 05-04 20:34:34 | Optimal-Eicosanoid 0x17f0…ea12 | Up | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x098c71… |
| 05-04 20:34:34 | Robust-Cough 0x3b6b…b46a | Down | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x2b2649… |
| 05-04 20:34:32 | (anonymous) 0xce17…6be9 | Down | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xe84ac6… |
| 05-04 20:34:32 | Optimal-Eicosanoid 0x17f0…ea12 | Up | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x319cb6… |
| 05-04 20:34:30 | Required-Collector 0x2efb…a0b1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xcade34… |
| 05-04 20:34:28 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 44 | 77¢ | $34 | 0xc65ce7… |
| 05-04 20:34:26 | Ugly-Championship 0x6e92…5f14 | Up | BUY | 104 | 24¢ | $25 | 0x895772… |
| 05-04 20:29:46 | Incompatible-Socialist 0x09c9…3c82 | Up | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x359e8e… |
| 05-04 20:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x05c4…f346 | Down | BUY | 51 | 53¢ | $27 | 0xc36b03… |