Innocent-Violet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

109

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-04 23:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% -$101

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	5	$86	347	34	+313	Down	-$24	05-04 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	11	$69	66	66	+0	Up	-$1	05-04 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:00 UTC	3	$64	292	40	+252	Down	+$15	04-03 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:30 UTC	6	$61	51	49	+2	Down	+$23	04-02 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:45 UTC	2	$59	41	39	+2	Down	+$20	04-03 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:20 UTC	4	$56	1,040	16	+1,024	Up	-$23	04-02 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:35 UTC	5	$54	157	41	+116	Down	+$5	04-03 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:50 UTC	2	$48	38	37	+1	Down	+$11	04-03 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:40 UTC	4	$47	57	55	+2	Up	-$25	04-03 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:10 UTC	3	$47	39	37	+2	Up	+$29	04-03 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:15 UTC	4	$40	2,115	0	+2,115	Up	-$40	04-03 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:20 UTC	5	$38	116	51	+65	Down	-$6	04-03 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:30 UTC	2	$37	29	27	+1	Down	+$18	04-03 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$35	37	37	+0	Down	+$5	05-02 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 21:03
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$32	104	24	+81	Down	-$4	05-04 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$31	61	61	+0	Down	-$3	05-03 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$31	33	33	+0	Down	+$11	05-03 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:25 UTC	4	$31	26	25	+1	Up	+$5	04-03 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	3	$30	21	20	+1	Down	+$10	04-02 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$28	44	44	+0	Down	-$2	05-04 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:25 UTC	2	$27	18	18	+1	Down	+$8	04-03 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:10 UTC	2	$27	18	17	+1	Down	+$7	04-02 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$27	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	05-02 22:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:00 UTC	2	$26	17	17	+1	Down	+$7	04-02 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	2	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$6	04-02 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:05 UTC	3	$24	647	116	+530	Up	-$6	04-02 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$24	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	05-03 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:40 UTC	2	$24	16	15	+0	Up	+$4	04-02 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x1a7143…
05-04 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf516b9…
05-04 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb78049…
05-04 22:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x73ddd6…
05-04 22:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x7dc195…
05-04 22:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x68b757…
05-04 21:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x30d80f…
05-04 21:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x4cf55a…
05-04 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe4bfad…
05-04 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2bd28b…
05-04 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x765e5f…
05-04 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x484b38…
05-04 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0xda5ba5…
05-04 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x521793…
05-04 21:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x47e25f…
05-04 20:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	128	0¢	$1	0x41f4b2…
05-04 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x1e310c…
05-04 20:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xa88d5a…
05-04 20:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x92130f…
05-04 20:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc146aa…
05-04 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x69f29c…
05-04 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x98d317…
05-04 20:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x11839a…
05-04 20:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc9faba…
05-04 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	57¢	$13	0x15ee62…
05-04 20:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0bd8c0…
05-04 20:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xac13e1…
05-04 20:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x09e323…
05-04 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e3a15…
05-04 20:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfdeed4…
05-04 11:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x4a2ec0…
05-04 11:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4dd015…
05-04 11:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfe6360…
05-04 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xa3ed0c…
05-04 11:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcbf471…
05-04 11:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x25aaf0…
05-04 11:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x20c162…
05-04 10:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x93c676…
05-04 10:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8b53d1…
05-04 10:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xbc93df…
05-04 10:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x79e36f…
05-04 10:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8178be…
05-04 10:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xb36b14…
05-04 10:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1f1a61…
05-04 09:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0xe6c0e0…
05-04 09:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x617162…
05-04 09:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x3fcd1b…
05-04 09:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4be499…
05-04 09:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xcb08a4…
05-04 09:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x3efd0b…
05-04 09:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	151	4¢	$6	0xc6a3f1…
05-04 09:26:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x2532ee…
05-04 09:25:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xda2822…
05-04 09:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x62118c…
05-04 09:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xba3bd8…
05-04 09:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x26c93d…
05-04 08:58:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0xa7cd71…
05-04 08:56:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x20283c…
05-04 08:51:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x872c3d…
05-04 08:51:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x4cda5b…
05-04 08:42:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0xf3e919…
05-04 08:41:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x4dc604…
05-04 08:37:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x5a1818…
05-04 08:36:10	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x952f59…
05-04 08:26:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xbc6079…
05-04 08:23:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0x7318b8…
05-04 08:23:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xf88431…
05-04 08:21:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xae4ee4…
05-04 08:21:44	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x93b86f…
05-04 08:21:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x6793cc…
05-04 08:19:16	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x724ae5…
05-04 05:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6294d6…
05-04 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x281713…
05-04 05:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x96a1fe…
05-04 05:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x62938c…
05-04 05:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x58202b…
05-04 05:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x200317…
05-04 05:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x3c7cff…
05-04 05:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe91434…
05-04 05:18:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x16741e…
05-04 05:15:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x503b9d…
05-04 05:10:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x886d91…
05-04 05:09:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x23154a…
05-04 05:05:24	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd943d5…
05-04 05:05:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb8caec…
05-04 05:02:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa87827…
05-04 05:01:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xcd462a…
05-04 05:00:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x99cc0a…
05-03 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x8d7451…
05-03 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfb83e5…
05-03 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18de87…
05-03 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1be9c7…
05-03 10:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5bc8cc…
05-03 10:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x448459…
05-03 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7070fa…
05-03 10:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x355737…
05-03 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x600a9b…
05-03 10:06:38	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0xdcf7da…
05-03 09:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x70aa6d…
05-03 09:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x3466d0…