Frightening-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

12,920

Trades

36,515

lifetime

Volume

$802.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-09 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$5,625

Politics

1% 45% +$1,614

Other

0% 47% -$44

Sports

0% 33% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	—	+7	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-09 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$2.9K	3,001	3,001	+0	Yes	+$1,650	06-14 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:05 UTC	2	$2.8K	2,811	0	+2,811	Up	+$28	02-16 21:09
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$2.4K	1,288	1,288	+0	Yes	-$3	02-28 16:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 21:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	+$32	02-28 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:35 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,045	0	+2,045	Down	+$34	02-16 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,088	0	+2,088	Up	+$88	02-15 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:10 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	Up	+$31	02-17 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Down	+$12	02-16 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Up	+$12	02-16 04:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Down	-$1	02-18 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$29	02-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:40 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$31	02-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:05 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-16 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$10	02-19 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:25 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:30 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Down	+$21	02-19 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	Down	+$10	02-17 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$96	02-28 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	Up	+$42	02-15 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-17 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Up	+$22	02-18 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 16:05 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-16 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:50 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-17 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:55 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-18 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xf63fad…
11-09 08:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd56654…
11-09 08:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x661a09…
11-09 08:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc054e9…
11-09 08:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b2ddb…
11-09 08:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x666909…
11-09 07:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0xd6c3af…
11-09 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2510ee…
11-09 07:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xfd49ed…
11-09 06:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x693f60…
11-09 06:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x9b1fda…
11-09 06:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x1ef18f…
11-09 06:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2ce56f…
11-09 06:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf1eb28…
11-09 06:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x544ed2…
11-09 06:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xda9c02…
11-09 06:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x1b8b68…
11-09 06:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xabcbbb…
11-09 06:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x062e68…
11-09 06:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x0a3a64…
11-09 06:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9efb11…
11-09 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x90a1c1…
11-09 05:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6d619c…
11-09 05:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	88	54¢	$48	0xd3c6f3…
11-09 05:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa47ce7…
11-09 05:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x72a810…
11-09 05:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1e9a51…
11-09 05:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0x30e766…
11-09 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	91	52¢	$47	0x983985…
11-09 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x1b2479…
11-09 04:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x3bc5a1…
11-09 04:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xcdea47…
11-09 04:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x2b0617…
11-09 04:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x13565a…
11-09 04:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x5898c2…
11-09 03:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xd498ab…
11-09 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7a6803…
11-09 03:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfbafc7…
11-09 02:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x6051a6…
11-09 02:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb46907…
11-09 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xe61109…
11-09 02:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x2e9966…
11-09 02:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x43e82d…
11-09 02:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5daa32…
11-09 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0x79147d…
11-09 01:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x68a917…
11-09 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x04018c…
11-09 00:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x868eca…
11-09 00:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x512e7a…
11-09 00:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf729f1…
11-09 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x35b7d4…
11-09 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf21199…
11-09 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x951ae9…
11-09 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x611fdd…
11-09 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8cc5e9…
11-08 23:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf2556d…
11-08 23:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xe04e39…
11-08 22:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0cc933…
11-08 22:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8014b3…
11-08 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xd4e53f…
11-08 22:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0417c8…
11-08 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xe0cd0a…
11-08 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xdb87b8…
11-08 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xab5f09…
11-08 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x453be8…
11-08 21:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xffcde4…
11-08 21:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xe95c44…
11-08 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf3b105…
11-08 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa47a7a…
11-08 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x6075c9…
11-08 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd6a0db…
11-08 21:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x641081…
11-08 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa4270a…
11-08 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa8a056…
11-08 20:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x60a227…
11-08 20:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x9894fd…
11-08 20:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x804c57…
11-08 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x943e8f…
11-08 19:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcbf031…
11-08 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x749074…
11-08 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x24949d…
11-08 18:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x619b1b…
11-08 18:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xd9487e…
11-08 18:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xde6434…
11-08 18:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdbdb9f…
11-08 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x538570…
11-08 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x2bcdb5…
11-08 17:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa7f0f7…
11-08 16:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd85f36…
11-08 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdef3bf…
11-08 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x825572…
11-08 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x40401c…
11-08 16:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa3ab05…
11-08 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x909b4b…
11-08 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x051e34…
11-08 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x371c50…
11-08 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x098b9f…
11-08 16:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcbc3de…
11-08 16:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcb52c1…
11-08 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd03323…