Frightening-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.26K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

13,087

Trades

36,869

lifetime

Volume

$804.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-10 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$5,733

Politics

1% 45% +$1,614

Other

0% 47% -$44

Sports

0% 33% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	—	+15	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	11-10 05:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$2.9K	3,001	3,001	+0	Yes	+$1,650	06-14 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:05 UTC	2	$2.8K	2,811	0	+2,811	Up	+$28	02-16 21:09
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$2.4K	1,288	1,288	+0	Yes	-$3	02-28 16:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 21:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	+$32	02-28 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:35 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,045	0	+2,045	Down	+$34	02-16 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,088	0	+2,088	Up	+$88	02-15 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:10 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	Up	+$31	02-17 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Down	+$12	02-16 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Up	+$12	02-16 04:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Down	-$1	02-18 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$29	02-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:40 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$31	02-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:05 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-16 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$10	02-19 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:25 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:30 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Down	+$21	02-19 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	Down	+$10	02-17 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$96	02-28 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	Up	+$42	02-15 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-17 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Up	+$22	02-18 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 16:05 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-16 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:50 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-17 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:55 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-18 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 05:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdde8e7…
11-10 05:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa05a08…
11-10 05:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x89716b…
11-10 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x401511…
11-10 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x41dac3…
11-10 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2c648f…
11-10 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a8123…
11-10 05:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x680da4…
11-10 05:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcee3a7…
11-10 05:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf1d86…
11-10 05:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe08237…
11-10 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf14e56…
11-10 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbf0b36…
11-10 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7ff984…
11-10 05:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x841f8f…
11-10 04:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x390437…
11-10 04:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x308bc9…
11-10 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8007ed…
11-10 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7e8c5f…
11-10 04:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5abd8f…
11-10 04:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd21d0c…
11-10 04:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0bc50d…
11-10 04:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x6721bf…
11-10 04:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2143a6…
11-10 04:34:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0f0f1d…
11-10 04:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbc7883…
11-10 04:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbbb72c…
11-10 04:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4a67ed…
11-10 04:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb88191…
11-10 04:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2e80ba…
11-10 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbac030…
11-10 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd55605…
11-10 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdadc0b…
11-10 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x89f4bb…
11-10 04:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa39e0b…
11-10 04:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xa04eb8…
11-10 04:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x5ae47c…
11-10 03:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf7c5dc…
11-10 03:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9119c7…
11-10 03:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3bd5c8…
11-10 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8529cb…
11-10 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x66a070…
11-10 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x242be9…
11-10 03:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb6a4a…
11-10 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x02d4ba…
11-10 03:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe186b4…
11-10 03:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc41733…
11-10 03:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x753c82…
11-10 03:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x3536c7…
11-10 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdf06b4…
11-10 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4fe579…
11-10 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xae93d9…
11-10 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x64e179…
11-10 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4d3df0…
11-10 03:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x718be3…
11-10 03:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xec5631…
11-10 03:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1bfdde…
11-10 03:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x22d088…
11-10 03:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3c70ad…
11-10 03:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x057c69…
11-10 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xa1545d…
11-10 03:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf740d5…
11-10 03:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xef5162…
11-10 03:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x5cbac5…
11-10 02:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x878cf7…
11-10 02:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3eb515…
11-10 02:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x355b53…
11-10 02:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa6c1d3…
11-10 02:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x00afdd…
11-10 02:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe8d250…
11-10 02:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb95fcf…
11-10 02:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x948c2d…
11-10 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc30ee4…
11-10 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x37122b…
11-10 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x857c36…
11-10 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5bce13…
11-10 02:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa2cfa1…
11-10 02:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f431c…
11-10 02:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1b8255…
11-10 02:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1a73f2…
11-10 02:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x78a4c4…
11-10 01:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5740f1…
11-10 01:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x08152e…
11-10 01:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4e6af0…
11-10 01:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd265c6…
11-10 01:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x934715…
11-10 01:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5a5f80…
11-10 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xd01485…
11-10 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0c6dae…
11-10 01:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd187a4…
11-10 01:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3a8d9a…
11-10 01:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf0bc83…
11-10 01:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7178df…
11-10 01:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb01cbc…
11-10 01:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x534ba3…
11-10 01:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x5d2f81…
11-10 01:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x895520…
11-10 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8665e0…
11-10 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6dc33a…
11-10 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xac4a74…