Frightening-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

12,993

Trades

36,632

lifetime

Volume

$803.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-09 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$5,692

Politics

1% 45% +$1,614

Other

0% 47% -$44

Sports

0% 33% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	—	+15	$7	99¢	$15	+$8	11-09 21:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$2.9K	3,001	3,001	+0	Yes	+$1,650	06-14 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:05 UTC	2	$2.8K	2,811	0	+2,811	Up	+$28	02-16 21:09
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$2.4K	1,288	1,288	+0	Yes	-$3	02-28 16:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 21:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	+$32	02-28 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:35 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,045	0	+2,045	Down	+$34	02-16 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,088	0	+2,088	Up	+$88	02-15 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:10 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	Up	+$31	02-17 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Down	+$12	02-16 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Up	+$12	02-16 04:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Down	-$1	02-18 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$29	02-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:40 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$31	02-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:05 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-16 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$10	02-19 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:25 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:30 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Down	+$21	02-19 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	Down	+$10	02-17 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$96	02-28 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	Up	+$42	02-15 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-17 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Up	+$22	02-18 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 16:05 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-16 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:50 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-17 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:55 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-18 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0caccf…
11-09 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2519f9…
11-09 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb01846…
11-09 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x642df6…
11-09 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc8771a…
11-09 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1e45cd…
11-09 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x48c3d0…
11-09 21:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2f2904…
11-09 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xad7a37…
11-09 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x96fd52…
11-09 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1d4d57…
11-09 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe5e60f…
11-09 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa45efb…
11-09 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe5a21b…
11-09 20:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0xf5bb7a…
11-09 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x40a029…
11-09 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x06b7e1…
11-09 20:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6940b8…
11-09 20:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x766a13…
11-09 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc62f10…
11-09 20:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x83c075…
11-09 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4f1347…
11-09 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x3ec066…
11-09 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x018045…
11-09 20:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc26e03…
11-09 20:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x57d0b6…
11-09 20:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc12e7a…
11-09 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1949c7…
11-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x611357…
11-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5d1c54…
11-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x3cbeeb…
11-09 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x95053a…
11-09 19:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb0c4eb…
11-09 19:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3b25c9…
11-09 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbee8ad…
11-09 19:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe4e5d8…
11-09 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc5c77d…
11-09 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x536e75…
11-09 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x928a3d…
11-09 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc813ff…
11-09 19:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x87304c…
11-09 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x06d5b1…
11-09 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb2f4e5…
11-09 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x38aa15…
11-09 19:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0762dd…
11-09 19:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x898dd1…
11-09 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x369c27…
11-09 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d5df9…
11-09 19:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcd7adb…
11-09 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x30e2a3…
11-09 19:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeecc53…
11-09 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ef49a…
11-09 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb56e99…
11-09 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0x5866e0…
11-09 18:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x237258…
11-09 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xae7200…
11-09 18:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	48¢	$24	0x5c2d9d…
11-09 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xa5e370…
11-09 17:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$25	0x082422…
11-09 17:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0xf34334…
11-09 17:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x440bf2…
11-09 16:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x794f8c…
11-09 16:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x0ef64e…
11-09 16:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x66039d…
11-09 16:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x396b13…
11-09 16:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfa3150…
11-09 15:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xb68601…
11-09 15:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4ccdcc…
11-09 15:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x2340fc…
11-09 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x8ff344…
11-09 15:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x80f76f…
11-09 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf8c9e0…
11-09 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x87a694…
11-09 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0b4278…
11-09 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x3f9924…
11-09 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x1ae8a9…
11-09 15:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	69	30¢	$20	0x16160c…
11-09 15:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x75ebde…
11-09 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xda5f29…
11-09 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x3a2f98…
11-09 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x25a190…
11-09 14:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x9ba82e…
11-09 14:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x802f51…
11-09 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x99e5c1…
11-09 14:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	66	36¢	$23	0x424516…
11-09 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x09dd40…
11-09 14:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94c985…
11-09 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3f3ec0…
11-09 14:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x66535e…
11-09 13:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0x08c63c…
11-09 13:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x581e45…
11-09 12:54:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x79a496…
11-09 12:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0xe8ad2d…
11-09 12:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa9703b…
11-09 12:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x88263a…
11-09 12:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x20c2c4…
11-09 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x93de07…
11-09 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x921ecb…
11-09 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x690ad9…
11-09 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x1e73a8…