Frightening-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

13,014

Trades

36,652

lifetime

Volume

$803.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$57

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-09 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$5,673

Politics

1% 45% +$1,614

Other

0% 47% -$44

Sports

0% 33% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	—	+43	$24	100¢	$43	+$19	11-09 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	—	+14	$5	99¢	$14	+$9	11-09 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	—	+24	$12	1¢	$0	-$12	11-09 23:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$2.9K	3,001	3,001	+0	Yes	+$1,650	06-14 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:05 UTC	2	$2.8K	2,811	0	+2,811	Up	+$28	02-16 21:09
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$2.4K	1,288	1,288	+0	Yes	-$3	02-28 16:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 21:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	+$32	02-28 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:35 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,045	0	+2,045	Down	+$34	02-16 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,088	0	+2,088	Up	+$88	02-15 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:10 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	Up	+$31	02-17 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Down	+$12	02-16 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Up	+$12	02-16 04:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Down	-$1	02-18 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$29	02-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:40 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$31	02-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:05 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-16 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$10	02-19 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:25 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$10	02-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:30 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Down	+$21	02-19 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	Down	+$10	02-17 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$96	02-28 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	Up	+$42	02-15 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-17 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	02-16 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Up	+$22	02-18 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 16:05 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-16 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:50 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-17 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:55 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	02-19 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	02-18 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 23:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x75ae8b…
11-09 23:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xeb272b…
11-09 23:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f606b…
11-09 23:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7bff07…
11-09 23:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x0ca1ea…
11-09 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xffc908…
11-09 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3099ca…
11-09 22:59:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0x815452…
11-09 22:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xa464b2…
11-09 22:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x76fb10…
11-09 22:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb14ad2…
11-09 22:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xef5f13…
11-09 22:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x29e452…
11-09 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd1a9c6…
11-09 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbe018b…
11-09 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x678562…
11-09 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x2b52c2…
11-09 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xfe1afb…
11-09 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa44f4f…
11-09 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfd11b0…
11-09 22:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x524c18…
11-09 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x46ab79…
11-09 22:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8a60c6…
11-09 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7ac8d8…
11-09 22:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa235f5…
11-09 22:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdec89d…
11-09 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa7031e…
11-09 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfc6c2e…
11-09 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc2c470…
11-09 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6b8dcf…
11-09 22:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa3c710…
11-09 22:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x45aa41…
11-09 22:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1a9c67…
11-09 21:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x301799…
11-09 21:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe74a23…
11-09 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdc9b8d…
11-09 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6fcbec…
11-09 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xecc01d…
11-09 21:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfdbfce…
11-09 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0caccf…
11-09 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2519f9…
11-09 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb01846…
11-09 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x642df6…
11-09 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc8771a…
11-09 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1e45cd…
11-09 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x48c3d0…
11-09 21:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2f2904…
11-09 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xad7a37…
11-09 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x96fd52…
11-09 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1d4d57…
11-09 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe5e60f…
11-09 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa45efb…
11-09 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe5a21b…
11-09 20:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0xf5bb7a…
11-09 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x40a029…
11-09 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x06b7e1…
11-09 20:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6940b8…
11-09 20:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x766a13…
11-09 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc62f10…
11-09 20:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x83c075…
11-09 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4f1347…
11-09 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x3ec066…
11-09 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x018045…
11-09 20:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc26e03…
11-09 20:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x57d0b6…
11-09 20:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc12e7a…
11-09 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1949c7…
11-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x611357…
11-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5d1c54…
11-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x3cbeeb…
11-09 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x95053a…
11-09 19:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb0c4eb…
11-09 19:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3b25c9…
11-09 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbee8ad…
11-09 19:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe4e5d8…
11-09 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc5c77d…
11-09 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x536e75…
11-09 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x928a3d…
11-09 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc813ff…
11-09 19:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x87304c…
11-09 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x06d5b1…
11-09 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb2f4e5…
11-09 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x38aa15…
11-09 19:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0762dd…
11-09 19:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x898dd1…
11-09 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x369c27…
11-09 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d5df9…
11-09 19:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcd7adb…
11-09 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x30e2a3…
11-09 19:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeecc53…
11-09 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ef49a…
11-09 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb56e99…
11-09 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0x5866e0…
11-09 18:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x237258…
11-09 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xae7200…
11-09 18:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	48¢	$24	0x5c2d9d…
11-09 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xa5e370…
11-09 17:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$25	0x082422…
11-09 17:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0xf34334…
11-09 17:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x440bf2…