Frivolous-Insurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$217

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$217

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$250	200	200	+0	Down	+$90	05-05 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$199	177	150	+27	Down	$-111	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$100	117	0	+117	Up	+$17	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$85	130	0	+130	open	—	05-05 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$84	0	126	-126	Down	$-41	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$80	151	0	+151	Up	+$71	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$75	137	0	+137	Up	+$62	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$70	136	0	+136	Up	$-70	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$69	119	0	+119	Down	+$50	05-05 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$68	20	76	-57	open	—	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$64	0	95	-95	open	—	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	+$44	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$50	132	0	+132	Down	+$82	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$50	74	0	+74	Down	+$24	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$40	111	0	+111	open	—	05-05 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$38	0	58	-58	Up	+$38	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$30	56	0	+56	Down	$-30	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$26	39	0	+39	open	—	05-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$8	73	0	+73	Down	$-8	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4a5695…
05-05 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	76	80¢	$61	0x6fbdf0…
05-05 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x180e8a…
05-05 16:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x8db6ac…
05-05 15:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	95	68¢	$64	0x2cdf55…
05-05 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xf751c6…
05-05 15:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x496a52…
05-05 13:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	130	65¢	$85	0x3b80d0…
05-05 04:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	126	67¢	$84	0x1ab6d1…
05-05 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0x1e8fa9…
05-05 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xb84171…
05-05 04:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x37ead7…
05-05 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	75	69¢	$52	0xd8a196…
05-05 04:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	177	45¢	$80	0x151034…
05-05 03:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xecd328…
05-05 03:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	136	52¢	$70	0xb7fe73…
05-05 03:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x4c4b3a…
05-05 03:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x6076e9…
05-05 03:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x549b1b…
05-05 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x536d74…
05-05 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x5c4e07…
05-05 00:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58	66¢	$38	0x4c6f68…
05-04 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xf80152…
05-04 23:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	137	55¢	$75	0x58fbb1…
05-04 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x9e965d…
05-04 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xdd56a2…
05-04 20:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x8ae652…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$10.9K	149	05-05 16:29
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	15	$2.32K	92	05-05 17:27
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	14	$1.16K	44	05-05 17:27
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	13	$2.35K	51	05-05 17:27
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	10	$793	46	05-05 16:27
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	9	$911	53	05-05 16:24
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$604	12	05-05 17:27
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	6	$825	52	05-05 15:57