Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
open
Total volume
$2,501
$666 in 24h
Trades
134
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$10,583
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-11-15
First seen
2026-11-14
last 11-15 01:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.3¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 44% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $303 | $1.2K | $935 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $305 | $108 | +$197 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $389 | $46 | +$343 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $90 | $16 | +$73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $243 | $1.2K | $927 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $122 | $36 | +$86 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $39 | $21 | +$19 |
| Median | 1 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| Below median | 7 | $140 | $34 | +$106 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $190 | — | +$190 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $103 | $56 | +$47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $225 | $91 | +$133 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +713 | $185 | $185 | 3 | 11-15 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +641 | $474 | $474 | 3 | 11-15 01:11 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +421 | $211 | $211 | 10 | 11-15 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | +373 | $190 | $190 | 7 | 11-15 01:01 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +297 | $186 | $186 | 3 | 11-15 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | Down | +290 | $121 | $169 | 16 | 11-15 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x51c4…aa06 | Up | +272 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 11-14 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ce7…ee22 | Up | +207 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 11-14 23:24 |
| Gaseous-Mankind 0xdf08…d24a | Up | +179 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-15 01:10 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +149 | $79 | $79 | 4 | 11-15 01:11 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +139 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 11-14 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | +120 | $75 | $75 | 7 | 11-15 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa805…b445 | Up | +120 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 11-14 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +99 | $58 | $58 | 7 | 11-15 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | +80 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 11-15 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x416e…a47f | Down | +74 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 11-14 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fa1…c119 | Up | +64 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-15 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | +58 | $16 | $78 | 15 | 11-15 01:08 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | +43 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 11-15 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +38 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 11-15 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa348…3be3 | Up | +36 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 11-15 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb898…151c | Up | +30 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-15 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe17b…7327 | Up | +25 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-15 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +19 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-15 01:11 |
| Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | Up | +15 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 11-15 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4961…de13 | Down | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-15 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | Down | +15 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-14 23:29 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Down | +13 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 11-15 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xed22…34d0 | Up | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-15 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-15 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa83a…a391 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-15 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd62e…dbef | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-15 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-14 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-15 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cad…345f | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-15 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd62e…dbef | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-15 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-15 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-15 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-15 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x628c…8692 | Up | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-15 01:00 |
| Useless-Subcomponent 0x33c5…c5d2 | Up | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-15 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-15 00:40 |
| Cluttered-Suggestion 0x23ca…d4a2 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x702e…6f42 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1df5…60bd | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-15 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa83a…a391 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 01:00 |
| Peppery-Remnant 0xd7bb…694b | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…9bdb | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-15 00:59 |
| Assured-Missile 0x5daf…7d98 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-15 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-15 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-15 00:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-15 01:11:38 | Useless-Subcomponent 0x33c5…c5d2 | Up | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x364b51… |
| 11-15 01:11:38 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xca1c91… |
| 11-15 01:11:38 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xca1c91… |
| 11-15 01:11:38 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x364b51… |
| 11-15 01:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | BUY | 600 | 74¢ | $444 | 0xd5d3cc… |
| 11-15 01:11:22 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 600 | 26¢ | $156 | 0xd5d3cc… |
| 11-15 01:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | BUY | 37 | 73¢ | $27 | 0x4c4383… |
| 11-15 01:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x6fa1…c119 | Up | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x4c4383… |
| 11-15 01:11:17 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x692f16… |
| 11-15 01:11:17 | Useless-Subcomponent 0x33c5…c5d2 | Up | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x692f16… |
| 11-15 01:10:29 | Phony-Contingency 0xa6e2…fa8f | Up | SELL | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xac335e… |
| 11-15 01:10:29 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xac335e… |
| 11-15 01:10:29 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xac335e… |
| 11-15 01:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x1df5…60bd | Up | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xac335e… |
| 11-15 01:10:07 | Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | BUY | 179 | 72¢ | $129 | 0xe4a329… |
| 11-15 01:10:07 | Gaseous-Mankind 0xdf08…d24a | Up | BUY | 179 | 28¢ | $50 | 0xe4a329… |
| 11-15 01:09:28 | Regal-Sail 0xc748…cdad | Up | SELL | 107 | 26¢ | $28 | 0x68f12a… |
| 11-15 01:09:28 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 107 | 26¢ | $28 | 0x68f12a… |
| 11-15 01:08:14 | Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | Up | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xc1df05… |
| 11-15 01:08:14 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Down | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xc1df05… |
| 11-15 01:08:11 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x77a690… |
| 11-15 01:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x77a690… |
| 11-15 01:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xa348…3be3 | Up | BUY | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x77a690… |
| 11-15 01:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Up | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x77a690… |
| 11-15 01:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | SELL | 9 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x77a690… |
| 11-15 01:08:11 | Phony-Contingency 0xa6e2…fa8f | Up | SELL | 94 | 28¢ | $26 | 0x77a690… |
| 11-15 01:07:05 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | BUY | 27 | 63¢ | $17 | 0xbd2ec8… |
| 11-15 01:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x6fa1…c119 | Up | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0xbd2ec8… |
| 11-15 01:03:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Down | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x28491f… |
| 11-15 01:03:58 | Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | Up | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x28491f… |
| 11-15 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 25 | 69¢ | $18 | 0x8dfcf8… |
| 11-15 01:03:56 | Cluttered-Suggestion 0x23ca…d4a2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x8dfcf8… |
| 11-15 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xa348…3be3 | Up | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x8dfcf8… |
| 11-15 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | SELL | 17 | 69¢ | $11 | 0x8dfcf8… |
| 11-15 01:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | SELL | 12 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x33703f… |
| 11-15 01:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 12 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x33703f… |
| 11-15 01:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 12 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x8d3295… |
| 11-15 01:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 12 | 62¢ | $8 | 0x8d3295… |
| 11-15 01:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0xc500ec… |
| 11-15 01:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0xc500ec… |
| 11-15 01:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xed22…34d0 | Up | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x62c2ca… |
| 11-15 01:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xd62e…dbef | Up | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x62c2ca… |
| 11-15 01:02:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x62c2ca… |
| 11-15 01:02:22 | Assured-Missile 0x5daf…7d98 | Down | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xca702c… |
| 11-15 01:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x702e…6f42 | Up | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xca702c… |
| 11-15 01:02:17 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xbe8e40… |
| 11-15 01:02:17 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xbe8e40… |
| 11-15 01:02:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x792572… |
| 11-15 01:02:02 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x792572… |
| 11-15 01:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x9202…48a5 | Down | SELL | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x792572… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x7af39a… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xa83a…a391 | Up | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x6b9ddb… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x9f8e79… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x9202…48a5 | Down | SELL | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x7af39a… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xa83a…a391 | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x9f8e79… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xa348…3be3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x6b9ddb… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x7af39a… |
| 11-15 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x4961…de13 | Down | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x6b9ddb… |
| 11-15 01:01:41 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 49¢ | $12 | 0xac87b7… |
| 11-15 01:01:41 | (anonymous) 0xe17b…7327 | Up | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $12 | 0xac87b7… |
| 11-15 01:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x88f9ef… |
| 11-15 01:01:40 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x88f9ef… |
| 11-15 01:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x5e4768… |
| 11-15 01:01:38 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x5e4768… |
| 11-15 01:01:37 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x94af23… |
| 11-15 01:01:37 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x94af23… |
| 11-15 01:01:25 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 49 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x70f24b… |
| 11-15 01:01:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 49 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x70f24b… |
| 11-15 01:01:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 49 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x554dc7… |
| 11-15 01:01:25 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 49 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x554dc7… |
| 11-15 01:01:22 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 49 | 51¢ | $25 | 0xc096be… |
| 11-15 01:01:22 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 49 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xc096be… |
| 11-15 01:01:11 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 173 | 49¢ | $85 | 0x02fbc9… |
| 11-15 01:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xefad…41d7 | Up | BUY | 196 | 51¢ | $100 | 0x02fbc9… |
| 11-15 01:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x02fbc9… |
| 11-15 01:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | BUY | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x02fbc9… |
| 11-15 01:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xaf2065… |
| 11-15 01:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x2074cc… |
| 11-15 01:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xaf2065… |
| 11-15 01:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x2074cc… |
| 11-15 01:00:25 | Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | BUY | 16 | 48¢ | $8 | 0x460ccc… |
| 11-15 01:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x460ccc… |
| 11-15 01:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b7a…9bdb | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x460ccc… |
| 11-15 01:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 25 | 52¢ | $13 | 0x460ccc… |
| 11-15 01:00:22 | Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x18daba… |
| 11-15 01:00:22 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x18daba… |
| 11-15 01:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xa348…3be3 | Up | BUY | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xb058a1… |
| 11-15 01:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xb058a1… |
| 11-15 01:00:14 | Phony-Contingency 0xa6e2…fa8f | Up | BUY | 112 | 51¢ | $57 | 0x07dc5b… |
| 11-15 01:00:14 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | BUY | 112 | 49¢ | $55 | 0x07dc5b… |
| 11-15 01:00:11 | Regal-Sail 0xc748…cdad | Up | BUY | 107 | 52¢ | $56 | 0x2b05e6… |
| 11-15 01:00:11 | Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | BUY | 102 | 48¢ | $49 | 0x2b05e6… |
| 11-15 01:00:11 | (anonymous) 0xa83a…a391 | Down | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x2b05e6… |
| 11-15 01:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Down | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x538029… |
| 11-15 01:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x628c…8692 | Up | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x538029… |
| 11-15 01:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x4898bf… |
| 11-15 01:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x4898bf… |
| 11-15 01:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Down | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x4898bf… |
| 11-15 01:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd62e…dbef | Down | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x4898bf… |
| 11-15 00:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 25 | 63¢ | $16 | 0xc43458… |