Blaring-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

12,921

Trades

45,110

lifetime

Volume

$322.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-28 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 59% +$40

Other

5% 66% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 4600 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC	25	$536	321	264	+57	Up	+$33	09-16 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	26	$487	289	283	+6	Up	+$48	09-16 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:25 UTC	30	$445	361	176	+186	Down	+$50	09-16 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:35 UTC	38	$429	412	275	+137	Up	+$76	09-16 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:50 UTC	22	$393	229	227	+2	Up	+$23	09-16 23:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:15 UTC	39	$391	435	260	+175	Up	+$236	09-17 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:05 UTC	33	$360	317	238	+79	Down	+$79	09-16 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	43	$344	458	211	+247	Up	+$254	09-16 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	37	$331	472	109	+363	Down	+$21	09-16 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:55 UTC	47	$322	433	174	+259	Up	+$16	09-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC	26	$320	189	177	+12	Up	+$24	09-17 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	35	$311	311	195	+116	Down	+$47	09-16 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC	36	$310	335	218	+117	Up	+$82	09-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:05 UTC	43	$308	693	205	+488	Down	+$201	09-16 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	28	$299	274	176	+98	Down	+$60	09-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	44	$291	254	207	+47	Up	+$110	09-16 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$290	608	0	+608	Up	+$18	05-22 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	24	$276	238	175	+62	Up	+$35	09-16 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	27	$273	529	0	+529	Down	+$12	05-22 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:15 UTC	15	$268	174	149	+25	Up	+$27	09-16 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:05 UTC	27	$268	188	174	+14	Down	+$42	09-16 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:15 UTC	27	$265	245	178	+66	Down	+$85	09-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:55 UTC	23	$259	300	149	+150	Down	+$76	09-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	34	$252	287	162	+125	Down	+$41	09-16 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	30	$251	463	0	+463	Up	+$14	05-23 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:20 UTC	32	$244	291	126	+164	Down	-$10	09-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:05 UTC	35	$243	331	93	+238	Down	-$68	09-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	25	$237	491	0	+491	Down	+$15	05-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	13	$233	656	0	+656	Up	+$245	05-24 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	28	$233	241	142	+99	Up	+$8	09-16 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xc8f59b…
10-28 17:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8718e9…
10-28 17:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xce91fb…
10-28 17:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x8e5e30…
10-28 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x7073e7…
10-28 17:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xebc7e8…
10-28 17:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x534ed6…
10-28 17:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x8caf48…
10-28 17:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xc2fac7…
10-28 16:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xaa517b…
10-28 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x070df7…
10-28 16:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x561cb4…
10-28 16:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x562e34…
10-28 16:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x745faf…
10-28 16:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x3814e7…
10-28 16:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0x37928c…
10-28 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x37cfae…
10-28 16:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x23f4ef…
10-28 16:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	63¢	$24	0x355c92…
10-28 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x766d7c…
10-28 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x60a98b…
10-28 16:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xf657be…
10-28 16:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x44356b…
10-28 16:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xaba987…
10-28 16:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xcc6208…
10-28 16:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xf5f9d3…
10-28 16:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x38e95b…
10-28 16:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0x14407a…
10-28 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x7559b2…
10-28 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x91523e…
10-28 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x478776…
10-28 16:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xae59f3…
10-28 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x192838…
10-28 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x63f84c…
10-28 16:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xfd2cd0…
10-28 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0xa3926c…
10-28 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6c087b…
10-28 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xfb5d1c…
10-28 15:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x80e131…
10-28 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x67d8b9…
10-28 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3a2647…
10-28 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x4c4a4b…
10-28 12:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x5a67e9…
10-28 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x0bc24f…
10-28 12:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x269c5f…
10-28 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x569957…
10-28 12:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xbafce7…
10-28 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0x9f6185…
10-28 12:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x6e5be2…
10-28 12:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0x95a287…
10-28 12:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0xcee632…
10-28 12:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x43f8d5…
10-28 12:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0x03d937…
10-28 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xd53cea…
10-28 12:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xac6b2b…
10-28 12:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xdbe4f4…
10-28 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x407b5c…
10-28 12:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x32790c…
10-28 12:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x650d4c…
10-28 12:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x599b7b…
10-28 12:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xa0421f…
10-28 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x11d6f9…
10-28 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x1039a4…
10-28 12:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0xe3fc4e…
10-28 12:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x931d7c…
10-28 12:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xca092b…
10-28 12:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0xbf01a8…
10-28 12:00:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa90ece…
10-28 12:00:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x506200…
10-28 12:00:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 3?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0a1502…
10-28 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0x0b8a58…
10-28 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xca89f7…
10-28 12:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x15acfc…
10-28 11:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	72¢	$23	0x2012db…
10-28 11:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xef0444…
10-28 11:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xa9544a…
10-28 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x045a32…
10-28 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xd3233c…
10-28 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xdce50d…
10-28 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8aa683…
10-28 11:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x39e4d4…
10-28 11:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x9b9081…
10-28 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x43d766…
10-28 11:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x62ad03…
10-28 11:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0x36aacb…
10-28 11:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x0f1850…
10-28 11:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x86d285…
10-28 11:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd77011…
10-28 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x3b3882…
10-28 11:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xead921…
10-28 11:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x59aceb…
10-28 11:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xa59494…
10-28 11:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8222d3…
10-28 11:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x3ce474…
10-28 11:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x6b0985…
10-28 11:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x3963c4…
10-28 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x65658c…
10-28 11:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x77de30…
10-28 11:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0xc0516e…
10-28 11:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1e263e…