Blaring-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$116

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

283

45,377 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$4.77K

$327.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$61

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-29 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 59% +$158

Other

4% 66% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 4600 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	—	+23	$20	98¢	$22	+$2	10-25 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	—	+22	$20	89¢	$20	+$0	10-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down		+18	$18	99¢	$18	+$0	10-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	—	+111	$28	1¢	$1	-$27	10-29 22:48
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	—	+11	$9	1¢	$0	-$9	10-29 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC	25	$536	321	264	+57	Up	+$33	09-16 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	26	$487	289	283	+6	Up	+$48	09-16 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:25 UTC	30	$445	361	176	+186	Down	+$50	09-16 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:35 UTC	38	$429	412	275	+137	Up	+$76	09-16 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:50 UTC	22	$393	229	227	+2	Up	+$23	09-16 23:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:15 UTC	39	$391	435	260	+175	Up	+$236	09-17 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:05 UTC	33	$360	317	238	+79	Down	+$79	09-16 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	43	$344	458	211	+247	Up	+$254	09-16 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	37	$331	472	109	+363	Down	+$21	09-16 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:55 UTC	47	$322	433	174	+259	Up	+$16	09-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC	26	$320	189	177	+12	Up	+$24	09-17 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	35	$311	311	195	+116	Down	+$47	09-16 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC	36	$310	335	218	+117	Up	+$82	09-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:05 UTC	43	$308	693	205	+488	Down	+$201	09-16 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	28	$299	274	176	+98	Down	+$60	09-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	44	$291	254	207	+47	Up	+$110	09-16 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$290	608	0	+608	Up	+$18	05-22 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	24	$276	238	175	+62	Up	+$35	09-16 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	27	$273	529	0	+529	Down	+$12	05-22 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:15 UTC	15	$268	174	149	+25	Up	+$27	09-16 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:05 UTC	27	$268	188	174	+14	Down	+$42	09-16 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:15 UTC	27	$265	245	178	+66	Down	+$85	09-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:55 UTC	23	$259	300	149	+150	Down	+$76	09-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	34	$252	287	162	+125	Down	+$41	09-16 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	30	$251	463	0	+463	Up	+$14	05-23 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:20 UTC	32	$244	291	126	+164	Down	-$10	09-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:05 UTC	35	$243	331	93	+238	Down	-$68	09-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	25	$237	491	0	+491	Down	+$15	05-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	13	$233	656	0	+656	Up	+$245	05-24 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	28	$233	241	142	+99	Up	+$8	09-16 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x105432…
10-29 22:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x87830d…
10-29 22:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xf264f5…
10-29 22:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xcb3115…
10-29 22:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xbb4ca2…
10-29 22:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x8e5a5e…
10-29 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x901077…
10-29 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xe183e8…
10-29 22:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xe12126…
10-29 22:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x1ff40a…
10-29 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb3a9f6…
10-29 22:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xd4eb33…
10-29 22:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	89¢	$24	0x0ed03e…
10-29 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x893570…
10-29 22:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x13e462…
10-29 22:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x7e536c…
10-29 22:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x4bb20a…
10-29 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x710fbc…
10-29 22:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xe3cd3f…
10-29 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x6c2270…
10-29 22:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xe46357…
10-29 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x6a805a…
10-29 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xdf0c73…
10-29 22:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x908927…
10-29 22:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x92c539…
10-29 22:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xac4bcf…
10-29 22:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0x092e5a…
10-29 22:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3309cf…
10-29 22:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x48d172…
10-29 22:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x665878…
10-29 22:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xa4d388…
10-29 22:05:10	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x6c8a56…
10-29 22:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x68f7c6…
10-29 22:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0x543030…
10-29 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb79438…
10-29 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x205a6e…
10-29 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0x2b3357…
10-29 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x257026…
10-29 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	66¢	$23	0x732bf8…
10-29 21:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xcd11ea…
10-29 21:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x855cf4…
10-29 21:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x0bb3c4…
10-29 21:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x6767e3…
10-29 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xd76da2…
10-29 21:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x0cf1d2…
10-29 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x4bb737…
10-29 21:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x02fd29…
10-29 21:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x653645…
10-29 21:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x2d2351…
10-29 21:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	85¢	$23	0x667820…
10-29 21:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0xb33331…
10-29 21:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x1e1470…
10-29 21:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x50e32d…
10-29 21:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x1dcf4b…
10-29 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x4d93f6…
10-29 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$24	0x48e4d1…
10-29 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0xf10064…
10-29 21:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x369f58…
10-29 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0x00c013…
10-29 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xb6f549…
10-29 21:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x23ce9b…
10-29 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x89be97…
10-29 21:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x4f9563…
10-29 21:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x1d1cf1…
10-29 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x3837cf…
10-29 21:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0xa49e41…
10-29 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xb2c987…
10-29 21:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xa38ee0…
10-29 21:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x71e228…
10-29 21:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0x847f21…
10-29 21:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x366072…
10-29 21:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xff1544…
10-29 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	67¢	$24	0xe00fbe…
10-29 21:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xf918b5…
10-29 21:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x946fe3…
10-29 21:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x8f1eb8…
10-29 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x55dd1c…
10-29 21:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9482e0…
10-29 21:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x016eee…
10-29 21:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xf94ad8…
10-29 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x062bcf…
10-29 21:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x0858f6…
10-29 21:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0xbc4e2a…
10-29 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xbfdc4d…
10-29 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7904f2…
10-29 21:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xaf1e44…
10-29 21:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xf3da69…
10-29 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x0d92bd…
10-29 21:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xf36dec…
10-29 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	60¢	$24	0x096504…
10-29 21:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xcf4d69…
10-29 21:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfc3597…
10-29 21:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x67f77c…
10-29 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xe31d35…
10-29 21:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xd03ed2…
10-29 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x861cf6…
10-29 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x812488…
10-29 20:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0x8a07ea…
10-29 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf803ad…
10-29 20:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x926f20…