Blaring-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

45,131 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$995

$323.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-29 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 59% +$69

Other

5% 66% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 4600 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	—	+21	$12	1¢	$0	-$12	10-29 16:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC	25	$536	321	264	+57	Up	+$33	09-16 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	26	$487	289	283	+6	Up	+$48	09-16 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:25 UTC	30	$445	361	176	+186	Down	+$50	09-16 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:35 UTC	38	$429	412	275	+137	Up	+$76	09-16 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:50 UTC	22	$393	229	227	+2	Up	+$23	09-16 23:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:15 UTC	39	$391	435	260	+175	Up	+$236	09-17 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:05 UTC	33	$360	317	238	+79	Down	+$79	09-16 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	43	$344	458	211	+247	Up	+$254	09-16 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	37	$331	472	109	+363	Down	+$21	09-16 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:55 UTC	47	$322	433	174	+259	Up	+$16	09-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC	26	$320	189	177	+12	Up	+$24	09-17 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	35	$311	311	195	+116	Down	+$47	09-16 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC	36	$310	335	218	+117	Up	+$82	09-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:05 UTC	43	$308	693	205	+488	Down	+$201	09-16 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	28	$299	274	176	+98	Down	+$60	09-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	44	$291	254	207	+47	Up	+$110	09-16 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$290	608	0	+608	Up	+$18	05-22 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	24	$276	238	175	+62	Up	+$35	09-16 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	27	$273	529	0	+529	Down	+$12	05-22 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:15 UTC	15	$268	174	149	+25	Up	+$27	09-16 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:05 UTC	27	$268	188	174	+14	Down	+$42	09-16 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:15 UTC	27	$265	245	178	+66	Down	+$85	09-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:55 UTC	23	$259	300	149	+150	Down	+$76	09-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	34	$252	287	162	+125	Down	+$41	09-16 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	30	$251	463	0	+463	Up	+$14	05-23 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:20 UTC	32	$244	291	126	+164	Down	-$10	09-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:05 UTC	35	$243	331	93	+238	Down	-$68	09-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	25	$237	491	0	+491	Down	+$15	05-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	13	$233	656	0	+656	Up	+$245	05-24 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	28	$233	241	142	+99	Up	+$8	09-16 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x9663b6…
10-29 16:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xbefeb1…
10-29 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xac4ba5…
10-29 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xb62ff1…
10-29 16:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x35ab6f…
10-29 16:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe601ae…
10-29 16:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8ebeb3…
10-29 16:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x230971…
10-29 16:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x09e328…
10-29 16:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x0e23ce…
10-29 16:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xcbf02a…
10-29 16:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xe99c1d…
10-29 16:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6a7861…
10-29 16:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x4be927…
10-29 16:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x5928e6…
10-29 16:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x276484…
10-29 16:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x72324a…
10-29 16:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x5938af…
10-29 16:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xb979ef…
10-29 16:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xf07647…
10-29 16:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xc679cf…
10-29 16:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xb9e384…
10-29 16:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x40732e…
10-29 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x51eb78…
10-29 16:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x37338a…
10-29 16:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf8aa8d…
10-29 16:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	69¢	$24	0x7cefa6…
10-29 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x88e6b9…
10-29 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0xcb6121…
10-29 16:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x44ac31…
10-29 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x9eeea0…
10-29 16:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x52b466…
10-29 16:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x56aa9e…
10-29 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xe44da2…
10-29 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0x8f87fa…
10-29 15:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0a8f79…
10-29 14:36:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x8578d4…
10-29 14:36:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4e663d…
10-29 14:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x87d942…
10-29 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x54064d…
10-29 11:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc8fcda…
10-29 11:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x73c93f…
10-29 10:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbf0932…
10-29 10:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x44fc59…
10-29 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x16a644…
10-29 10:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf80741…
10-29 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2acf74…
10-29 08:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x219cad…
10-29 06:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x97ddb7…
10-29 06:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x81a12d…
10-29 05:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3ad1b2…
10-29 04:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xcf2351…
10-29 02:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x412128…
10-29 01:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4d4c2c…
10-29 01:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x99c63e…
10-29 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdf1a02…
10-28 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xc8f59b…
10-28 17:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8718e9…
10-28 17:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xce91fb…
10-28 17:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x8e5e30…
10-28 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x7073e7…
10-28 17:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xebc7e8…
10-28 17:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x534ed6…
10-28 17:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x8caf48…
10-28 17:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xc2fac7…
10-28 16:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xaa517b…
10-28 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x070df7…
10-28 16:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x561cb4…
10-28 16:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x562e34…
10-28 16:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x745faf…
10-28 16:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x3814e7…
10-28 16:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0x37928c…
10-28 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x37cfae…
10-28 16:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x23f4ef…
10-28 16:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	63¢	$24	0x355c92…
10-28 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x766d7c…
10-28 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x60a98b…
10-28 16:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xf657be…
10-28 16:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x44356b…
10-28 16:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xaba987…
10-28 16:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xcc6208…
10-28 16:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xf5f9d3…
10-28 16:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x38e95b…
10-28 16:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0x14407a…
10-28 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x7559b2…
10-28 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x91523e…
10-28 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x478776…
10-28 16:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xae59f3…
10-28 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x192838…
10-28 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x63f84c…
10-28 16:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xfd2cd0…
10-28 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0xa3926c…
10-28 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6c087b…
10-28 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xfb5d1c…
10-28 15:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x80e131…
10-28 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x67d8b9…
10-28 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3a2647…
10-28 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x4c4a4b…
10-28 12:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x5a67e9…
10-28 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x0bc24f…