Blaring-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved (90d)

7,065

Trades (90d)

32,434

45,572 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$216.8K

$330.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-30 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 59% -$56

Other

4% 66% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 4600 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	+23	$20	100¢	$23	+$3	10-25 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	+22	$20	92¢	$21	+$1	10-26 01:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	Yes	+24	$20	78¢	$18	-$2	10-25 23:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC	25	$536	321	264	+57	Up	+$33	09-16 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	26	$487	289	283	+6	Up	+$48	09-16 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:25 UTC	30	$445	361	176	+186	Down	+$50	09-16 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:35 UTC	38	$429	412	275	+137	Up	+$76	09-16 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:50 UTC	22	$393	229	227	+2	Up	+$23	09-16 23:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:15 UTC	39	$391	435	260	+175	Up	+$236	09-17 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:05 UTC	33	$360	317	238	+79	Down	+$79	09-16 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	43	$344	458	211	+247	Up	+$254	09-16 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	37	$331	472	109	+363	Down	+$21	09-16 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:55 UTC	47	$322	433	174	+259	Up	+$16	09-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC	26	$320	189	177	+12	Up	+$24	09-17 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	35	$311	311	195	+116	Down	+$47	09-16 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC	36	$310	335	218	+117	Up	+$82	09-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:05 UTC	43	$308	693	205	+488	Down	+$201	09-16 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	28	$299	274	176	+98	Down	+$60	09-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	44	$291	254	207	+47	Up	+$110	09-16 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$290	608	0	+608	Up	+$18	05-22 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	24	$276	238	175	+62	Up	+$35	09-16 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	27	$273	529	0	+529	Down	+$12	05-22 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:15 UTC	15	$268	174	149	+25	Up	+$27	09-16 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:05 UTC	27	$268	188	174	+14	Down	+$42	09-16 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:15 UTC	27	$265	245	178	+66	Down	+$85	09-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:55 UTC	23	$259	300	149	+150	Down	+$76	09-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	34	$252	287	162	+125	Down	+$41	09-16 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	30	$251	463	0	+463	Up	+$14	05-23 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:20 UTC	32	$244	291	126	+164	Down	-$10	09-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:05 UTC	35	$243	331	93	+238	Down	-$68	09-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	25	$237	491	0	+491	Down	+$15	05-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	13	$233	656	0	+656	Up	+$245	05-24 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	28	$233	241	142	+99	Up	+$8	09-16 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x34e225…
10-30 03:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3e2f20…
10-30 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9984e…
10-30 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x0ae577…
10-30 02:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x577fea…
10-30 02:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x9455e4…
10-30 01:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x6e1af3…
10-30 01:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc18736…
10-30 01:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x30ddb2…
10-30 01:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	80¢	$24	0xdccdc3…
10-30 01:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	78¢	$24	0xbc8b00…
10-30 01:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x712e99…
10-30 01:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x705368…
10-30 01:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0xfc314e…
10-30 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0xd86672…
10-30 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x67db99…
10-30 01:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xfc71bc…
10-30 01:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x3070a9…
10-30 01:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xea1170…
10-30 01:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x5930bf…
10-30 01:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xfd7856…
10-30 01:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0bd69e…
10-30 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2079cc…
10-30 01:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1526c6…
10-30 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x4f5e9b…
10-30 01:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x79cadd…
10-30 01:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x1ad9b5…
10-30 01:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	68¢	$23	0x78f257…
10-30 01:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xaa168c…
10-30 01:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe8d5af…
10-30 01:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x57ee9f…
10-30 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x1ece86…
10-30 01:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x626e7f…
10-30 01:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x245d5d…
10-30 01:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x9d01e5…
10-30 01:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x93e628…
10-30 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0x009df9…
10-30 01:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x6b5623…
10-30 01:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0xe611af…
10-30 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0x01a7ae…
10-30 01:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xab50a9…
10-30 01:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0x935a49…
10-30 01:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	69¢	$24	0xb3e8d2…
10-30 01:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xf81755…
10-30 01:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xbf683a…
10-30 01:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x806481…
10-30 01:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x18b691…
10-30 01:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x39d93b…
10-30 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x80621c…
10-30 01:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x75c614…
10-30 01:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x35c203…
10-30 01:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x9ef67a…
10-30 01:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xe0c007…
10-30 01:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x924ca6…
10-30 01:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf1eb1b…
10-30 01:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x606ac7…
10-30 01:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x054e33…
10-30 01:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x9153fc…
10-30 01:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7c58d6…
10-30 01:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	68¢	$23	0x965a14…
10-30 01:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x33a8ff…
10-30 01:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x6204e7…
10-30 01:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x89d098…
10-30 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x0de5af…
10-30 00:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x9f8f9b…
10-30 00:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x65f74f…
10-30 00:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x77a0d5…
10-30 00:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x027969…
10-30 00:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0x83f830…
10-30 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x16831c…
10-30 00:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x2de4e3…
10-30 00:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xb54c78…
10-30 00:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0x686410…
10-30 00:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x98043e…
10-30 00:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x1f05f3…
10-30 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x4a0ba1…
10-30 00:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x6fd617…
10-30 00:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x42d803…
10-30 00:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x670d77…
10-30 00:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xa34428…
10-30 00:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	87¢	$24	0x5b9d82…
10-30 00:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0x551ba7…
10-30 00:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xe3ce36…
10-30 00:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd941b3…
10-30 00:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x00964a…
10-30 00:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xa900c0…
10-30 00:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$24	0x5565a2…
10-30 00:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x3dbe79…
10-30 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x7b14d9…
10-30 00:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x14dc41…
10-30 00:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x22bbaa…
10-30 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xad5128…
10-30 00:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xbfea62…
10-30 00:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x911d85…
10-30 00:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x06becc…
10-30 00:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x7d627f…
10-30 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xfcc7f7…
10-30 00:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x32f5c0…
10-30 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x434957…
10-30 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x24704e…