Blaring-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved (90d)

7,115

Trades (90d)

32,567

45,729 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$217.6K

$331.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-30 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 59% -$127

Other

4% 66% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 4600 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	—	+47	$33	99¢	$47	+$14	10-30 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	—	+9	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	10-30 17:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC	25	$536	321	264	+57	Up	+$33	09-16 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	26	$487	289	283	+6	Up	+$48	09-16 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:25 UTC	30	$445	361	176	+186	Down	+$50	09-16 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:35 UTC	38	$429	412	275	+137	Up	+$76	09-16 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:50 UTC	22	$393	229	227	+2	Up	+$23	09-16 23:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:15 UTC	39	$391	435	260	+175	Up	+$236	09-17 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:05 UTC	33	$360	317	238	+79	Down	+$79	09-16 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	43	$344	458	211	+247	Up	+$254	09-16 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	37	$331	472	109	+363	Down	+$21	09-16 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:55 UTC	47	$322	433	174	+259	Up	+$16	09-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC	26	$320	189	177	+12	Up	+$24	09-17 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	35	$311	311	195	+116	Down	+$47	09-16 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC	36	$310	335	218	+117	Up	+$82	09-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:05 UTC	43	$308	693	205	+488	Down	+$201	09-16 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	28	$299	274	176	+98	Down	+$60	09-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	44	$291	254	207	+47	Up	+$110	09-16 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$290	608	0	+608	Up	+$18	05-22 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	24	$276	238	175	+62	Up	+$35	09-16 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	27	$273	529	0	+529	Down	+$12	05-22 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:15 UTC	15	$268	174	149	+25	Up	+$27	09-16 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:05 UTC	27	$268	188	174	+14	Down	+$42	09-16 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:15 UTC	27	$265	245	178	+66	Down	+$85	09-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:55 UTC	23	$259	300	149	+150	Down	+$76	09-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	34	$252	287	162	+125	Down	+$41	09-16 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	30	$251	463	0	+463	Up	+$14	05-23 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:20 UTC	32	$244	291	126	+164	Down	-$10	09-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:05 UTC	35	$243	331	93	+238	Down	-$68	09-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	25	$237	491	0	+491	Down	+$15	05-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	13	$233	656	0	+656	Up	+$245	05-24 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	28	$233	241	142	+99	Up	+$8	09-16 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x37f659…
10-30 17:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x11aec8…
10-30 17:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x6ad1c1…
10-30 17:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xfe0467…
10-30 17:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x009395…
10-30 17:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x384bdb…
10-30 17:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xe45f09…
10-30 17:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2946f3…
10-30 17:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xd402b8…
10-30 17:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x205e8c…
10-30 17:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc0d1fc…
10-30 17:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2ece38…
10-30 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x55c36c…
10-30 16:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x027ab9…
10-30 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7eb5df…
10-30 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x2b8cc2…
10-30 16:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xea621d…
10-30 16:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x21e3ac…
10-30 16:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x0aa7d9…
10-30 16:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x374ac2…
10-30 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xaeb998…
10-30 16:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xc69c71…
10-30 16:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x7f2ae8…
10-30 16:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x5eda0e…
10-30 16:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x057323…
10-30 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0x4f4745…
10-30 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x3d0f17…
10-30 16:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbb2c7a…
10-30 16:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x90633c…
10-30 16:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xb8fb6e…
10-30 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	46	36¢	$17	0xb54e9b…
10-30 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xa55f8f…
10-30 16:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x753a8e…
10-30 16:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xe9e784…
10-30 16:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x98f4d8…
10-30 16:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x48939c…
10-30 16:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe42c23…
10-30 16:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x875e79…
10-30 16:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xedea3a…
10-30 16:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x5f21e1…
10-30 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x3b2bd7…
10-30 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xbd302c…
10-30 16:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x2fb709…
10-30 16:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x354efd…
10-30 16:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	137	5¢	$7	0x8dc631…
10-30 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x805601…
10-30 15:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1ea3b1…
10-30 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x76ac45…
10-30 15:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x09445c…
10-30 15:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xee5aa0…
10-30 15:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x168426…
10-30 15:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xa93126…
10-30 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x5e138a…
10-30 15:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x15c8c3…
10-30 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x81c258…
10-30 15:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xb5644b…
10-30 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x04290d…
10-30 15:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x829a01…
10-30 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xe75efb…
10-30 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xb12f3e…
10-30 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	135	5¢	$7	0xddf110…
10-30 15:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xc2ad9f…
10-30 15:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	221	6¢	$13	0x20be48…
10-30 15:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	274	5¢	$14	0x8e70ee…
10-30 15:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x43224a…
10-30 15:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2e3f74…
10-30 15:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0x853b48…
10-30 15:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x6662d3…
10-30 15:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x66e222…
10-30 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa25064…
10-30 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x309131…
10-30 15:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x3b9266…
10-30 15:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x086911…
10-30 15:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xba709d…
10-30 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc2d433…
10-30 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3ec151…
10-30 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x462290…
10-30 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xba5b4c…
10-30 14:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x5df606…
10-30 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$13	0xdd4773…
10-30 14:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x8805ce…
10-30 14:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x169dba…
10-30 14:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x003d93…
10-30 14:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x4574ab…
10-30 14:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1ff3c3…
10-30 14:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x5b5c6b…
10-30 14:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf4a875…
10-30 13:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x02e5d2…
10-30 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2f518a…
10-30 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3b20f1…
10-30 13:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5bb01e…
10-30 13:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d6f94…
10-30 13:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf437c2…
10-30 12:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc0bb36…
10-30 12:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xae6e1e…
10-30 12:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xead2df…
10-30 12:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x45d6fd…
10-30 12:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x90491b…
10-30 12:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x7705ba…
10-30 12:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb128eb…