Assured-Missile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$724

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

927

Trades

4,132

lifetime

Volume

$97.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-25 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

63% 39% +$1,546

Crypto

25% 49% -$336

Sports

8% 40% -$277

Politics

4% 47% -$209

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 404 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 28?	2	$5.8K	3,299	3,299	+0	Yes	+$796	08-28 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 27?	3	$3.9K	2,475	2,475	+0	Yes	+$1,073	08-27 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 2?	3	$3.8K	2,276	2,276	+0	Yes	+$791	09-02 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 31?	4	$3.4K	2,226	2,226	+0	Yes	+$456	08-31 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 26?	3	$2.3K	1,509	1,509	+0	Yes	+$730	08-26 16:16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 3?	2	$2.3K	2,734	0	+2,734	Yes	+$479	09-03 06:58
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	3	$2.1K	1,217	1,217	+0	No	+$71	09-04 12:32
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	8	$1.9K	1,651	1,651	+0	Knicks	+$183	06-11 03:38
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$1.9K	2,266	1,137	+1,129	Spurs	-$632	06-07 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 8?	38	$1.6K	1,920	1,920	+0	Yes	+$529	09-08 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 25?	4	$1.5K	987	986	+0	Yes	+$222	08-25 14:44
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	4	$1.5K	1,099	1,099	+0	Yes	-$48	08-09 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 5?	2	$1.4K	852	852	+0	Yes	+$250	09-05 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 8?	4	$1.3K	768	768	+0	Yes	+$262	09-08 16:15
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	10	$1.2K	2,123	0	+2,123	Ben Shelton	-$1,240	09-09 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	37	$1.2K	1,060	1,060	+0	Down	+$81	09-05 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 6?	5	$1.2K	2,875	0	+2,875	Yes	+$1,705	09-05 22:34
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	15	$1.1K	1,024	1,024	+0	Yes	+$15	08-04 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?	11	$1.0K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	-$131	07-31 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 31?	2	$998	1,425	1,425	+0	No	-$202	08-30 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7?	2	$967	614	614	+0	Yes	+$255	08-07 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	7	$965	902	902	+0	Yes	+$149	08-04 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 5?	1	$900	1,375	0	+1,375	No	-$900	09-04 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	3	$718	871	134	+738	No	-$521	08-12 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	18	$681	856	574	+281	Up	+$34	09-05 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 31?	7	$671	1,190	1,134	+56	No	-$49	07-31 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	20	$654	503	488	+15	Down	+$114	09-05 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	17	$648	474	474	+0	Up	+$88	09-05 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	22	$638	632	505	+128	Up	+$66	09-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	13	$626	801	681	+120	Up	+$212	09-05 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x535380…
10-25 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbea8c9…
10-25 14:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc9644e…
10-25 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd14959…
10-25 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xc508ad…
10-25 14:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x258b7c…
10-25 14:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x937924…
10-25 14:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd24728…
10-25 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe4bea1…
10-25 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x2cfad5…
10-25 14:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8fe621…
10-25 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc6f3e8…
10-25 14:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x545cbe…
10-25 14:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1d57ec…
10-25 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xef6e44…
10-25 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x46e977…
10-25 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa737f8…
10-25 13:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8a5ba8…
10-25 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x378860…
10-25 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x8a47dc…
10-25 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9159bf…
10-25 12:13:57	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6cc61c…
10-15 14:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x269005…
10-15 14:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x5502f4…
10-15 14:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f5a72…
10-15 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4e2457…
10-15 14:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf1e234…
10-15 14:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe80f32…
10-15 14:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b1bc4…
10-15 14:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x769323…
10-15 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x637a6b…
10-15 14:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd127fb…
10-15 14:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6e7b67…
10-15 14:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x593ab3…
10-15 14:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xc1c559…
10-15 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5c12df…
10-15 14:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5da21c…
10-15 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7cbfe4…
10-15 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x66e64b…
10-15 13:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf3508a…
10-15 13:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9bc5de…
10-14 23:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xe54ea8…
10-14 23:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x379913…
10-14 23:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xccb4ed…
10-14 23:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5b61cd…
10-14 23:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb5520a…
10-14 23:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0c42d0…
10-14 23:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	17	33¢	$5	0x784f3c…
10-14 23:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb3e7ac…
10-14 23:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf80be3…
10-14 23:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd8f75f…
10-14 23:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x0a8124…
10-14 23:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x557e63…
10-14 23:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6f2c7d…
10-14 23:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x9e59a4…
10-14 23:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8e5e7e…
10-14 23:25:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x507e0d…
10-14 23:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5e7ae8…
10-14 23:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xc97829…
10-14 23:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf16690…
10-14 23:21:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x03f761…
10-14 23:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x736032…
10-14 23:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x72d019…
10-14 23:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x692b4c…
10-14 23:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb3f149…
10-14 23:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x45386f…
10-14 23:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xede0a6…
10-14 23:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x313991…
10-14 23:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xdd473d…
10-14 23:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	44¢	$10	0xef9313…
10-14 23:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x27c880…
10-14 23:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x264c22…
10-14 23:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x576635…
10-14 23:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2c2ec5…
10-14 23:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8d1032…
10-14 23:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb7fd93…
10-14 23:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb3cadc…
10-14 23:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb38146…
10-14 23:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x2e0744…
10-14 23:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe27b30…
10-14 23:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x08d44a…
10-14 23:11:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a1172…
10-14 23:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x7306d4…
10-14 23:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc583ff…
10-14 23:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xcf3f62…
10-14 23:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xbd98c8…
10-14 23:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1e69e5…
10-14 23:10:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcb1a9f…
10-14 23:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x67d8d1…
10-14 23:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x9443f9…
10-14 23:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe84a80…
10-14 23:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdb959b…
10-14 23:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfad7eb…
10-14 23:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfd6e12…
10-14 23:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2a7b75…
10-14 23:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x319cf2…
10-14 23:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x7925d1…
10-14 23:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x50f079…
10-14 23:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x252e63…
10-14 23:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x678031…