Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

3,797

Trades

8,760

lifetime

Volume

$49.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-29 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 50% +$1,398

Other

37% 44% -$1,314

Politics

14% 30% +$86

Tech

2% 50% -$54

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 453 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	—	+17	$8	96¢	$17	+$8	10-28 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	—	+13	$6	50¢	$6	+$0	10-29 16:40
bitcoin up or down on october 30 2026	Up	—	+15	$7	4¢	$1	-$7	10-29 09:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	252	$2.3K	43,898	37,571	+6,327	No	-$139	04-10 13:25
deepseek v4 released by april 24	6	$2.0K	1,193	1,193	+0	Yes	-$131	04-24 06:11
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	31	$1.6K	3,484	4,665	-1,182	Yes	-$32	04-10 18:12
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	32	$1.5K	1,557	1,635	-78	No	-$14	04-03 15:23
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	18	$1.4K	865	865	+0	Yes	-$84	03-13 21:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 16c	10	$1.1K	2,104	2,026	+78	No	+$38	04-07 19:11
will axiom be accused of insider trading	1	$978	979	0	+979	Yes	+$1	02-26 13:42
2026 us house election republican odds under 15 by march 31	19	$893	616	616	+0	Yes	+$231	02-20 07:15
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$833	853	0	+853	Yes	+$20	02-06 18:44
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	4	$666	364	364	+0	Yes	+$61	02-28 07:09
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	13	$654	1,600	2,400	-800	Yes	+$54	04-10 14:53
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	13	$651	530	530	+0	Yes	+$48	03-26 11:25
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	3	$617	512	512	+0	Yes	-$50	02-09 12:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	30	$467	4,628	4,016	+612	Yes	-$18	04-12 14:11
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	16	$445	3,215	3,220	-5	No	-$27	04-07 06:24
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	9	$422	414	514	-100	Down	+$54	04-02 01:11
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20	1	$412	3,804	0	+3,804	No	-$412	02-21 00:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$393	630	630	+0	No	-$15	04-07 06:13
will minhxdynasty win the legend trade series	24	$364	250	250	-0	No	-$30	04-17 01:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	4	$343	5,973	5,593	+381	No	-$62	04-07 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET	22	$342	384	384	+0	Down	+$43	10-11 18:00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	5	$292	692	0	+692	Yes	-$292	06-27 00:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$286	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	04-11 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET	10	$252	506	0	+506	Down	-$151	10-10 15:59
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	4	$246	281	281	+0	Yes	+$37	04-24 06:05
will trevor win the legend trade series	7	$242	150	150	+0	No	-$38	04-17 03:19
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$236	400	0	+400	No	+$164	06-25 22:53
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	7	$229	229	229	+0	Yes	+$10	02-18 16:26
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	4	$214	480	0	+480	Yes	-$214	06-30 17:41
xauusd up or down on april 13 2026	15	$210	222	241	-19	Down	-$3	04-13 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:55:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa863f5…
10-29 16:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3367a5…
10-29 16:10:07	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdb51e6…
10-29 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x22efc0…
10-29 15:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb61b7d…
10-29 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x70a83a…
10-29 15:59:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5b0978…
10-29 15:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x966bf9…
10-29 15:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xb47171…
10-29 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xae314e…
10-29 15:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x39cc6d…
10-29 15:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x75ad76…
10-29 15:10:07	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x23a4df…
10-29 15:00:08	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3d2bd6…
10-29 14:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa08fdd…
10-29 14:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xc57d00…
10-29 14:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb46974…
10-29 14:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5989e8…
10-29 14:40:05	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x33de90…
10-29 13:58:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x07da26…
10-29 13:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd99ef8…
10-29 13:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8e66be…
10-29 13:43:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x004b01…
10-29 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x83082b…
10-29 11:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa2357e…
10-29 11:38:52	HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x541029…
10-29 10:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x343c33…
10-29 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac7ae4…
10-29 09:58:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc53667…
10-29 09:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x27b51f…
10-29 08:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa6ffa2…
10-29 07:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa306b4…
10-29 07:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x970db6…
10-29 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0ad10e…
10-29 07:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x69d2a5…
10-29 07:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x2a84a3…
10-29 07:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4dab7a…
10-29 07:12:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf4625b…
10-29 06:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x280d30…
10-29 06:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1989d5…
10-29 06:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x53866a…
10-29 06:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x19ec19…
10-29 06:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0fe97e…
10-29 05:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf9ae87…
10-29 05:12:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5453c3…
10-29 05:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa7e1f1…
10-29 05:10:07	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf509e0…
10-29 05:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf26926…
10-29 04:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5b4716…
10-29 03:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb94751…
10-29 03:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x9b389d…
10-29 03:57:52	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1959b0…
10-29 03:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xa17a0a…
10-29 03:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x041fee…
10-29 03:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x8f1f46…
10-29 03:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa12f97…
10-29 03:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x18d83f…
10-29 03:29:50	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7fb138…
10-29 02:59:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x25c857…
10-29 02:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x450be6…
10-29 02:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9265b9…
10-29 02:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x66171b…
10-29 02:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x837d24…
10-29 02:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xda77d4…
10-29 02:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x0de367…
10-29 02:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb38c04…
10-29 02:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x0bbc16…
10-29 02:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9ae587…
10-29 02:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8c3e26…
10-29 02:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xefd428…
10-29 02:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xace585…
10-29 02:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf1237d…
10-29 02:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x68b311…
10-29 02:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x33f7bf…
10-29 01:58:59	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa0b30f…
10-29 01:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x92e8ce…
10-29 01:58:05	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeffa4d…
10-29 01:58:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xb22b5f…
10-29 01:58:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xb686a6…
10-29 01:55:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x14cdbe…
10-29 01:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8abdf3…
10-29 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0xf4861a…
10-29 01:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x0fd36c…
10-29 01:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xff157a…
10-29 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe510a6…
10-29 01:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7935b4…
10-29 01:45:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7583a8…
10-29 01:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x870ccc…
10-29 01:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfcf55f…
10-29 01:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x9860b7…
10-29 01:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4c27ad…
10-29 01:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd0fc8e…
10-29 01:40:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbbd211…
10-29 01:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2bfdd0…
10-29 01:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3836c3…
10-29 01:10:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x41d994…
10-29 01:10:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf41a65…
10-29 01:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x5dc9e1…
10-29 01:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x550aba…
10-29 01:00:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xfa7f1e…