Defensive-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

1,312

Trades

1,327

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-27 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 98% +$115

Other

7% 98% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 27?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	09-27 15:10
bitcoin above 76k on september 17 2026	1	$20	22	+22	Yes	+$2	09-17 15:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	09-08 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-18 15:11
ethereum above 2700 on september 25 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-25 15:47
ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-21 15:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	10-26 15:29
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 22?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	10-22 15:22
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 22?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-22 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-28 15:09
bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-21 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-28 15:09
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 28?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-28 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-24 15:05
ethereum above 2300 on april 14	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-14 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	10-25 15:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 26?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	08-26 15:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	10-07 15:19
bitcoin above 84k on september 26 2026	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	09-26 15:48
ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-23 15:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-17 15:05
ethereum above 2500 on august 30 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-30 15:03
ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-04 15:03
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-14 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	10-16 15:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	06-02 15:00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-14 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	10-20 15:04
bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	06-27 15:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:27:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdd12d6…
10-27 03:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf3227…
10-27 03:27:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1dbbc3…
10-26 23:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x521708…
10-26 22:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb323e0…
10-26 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x46d978…
10-26 15:29:14	Solana Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb7bb01…
10-26 15:29:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf4440…
10-26 15:29:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4e10d9…
10-26 15:29:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8ed31a…
10-26 15:29:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbc3b7b…
10-26 15:29:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x04939f…
10-26 15:29:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x238bb8…
10-26 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9738b2…
10-26 07:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbc5e2a…
10-26 07:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd0db5d…
10-26 03:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x9293c1…
10-26 03:16:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe17580…
10-26 03:16:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xad628c…
10-25 23:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x024f1e…
10-25 19:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd641f8…
10-25 15:50:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5c28cf…
10-25 15:02:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa587fa…
10-25 15:01:53	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf0a827…
10-25 15:01:51	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa189b8…
10-25 15:01:48	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x86c1f9…
10-25 15:01:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcb68af…
10-25 15:01:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x930544…
10-25 15:01:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a538d…
10-25 15:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x112ab3…
10-25 11:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7cc895…
10-25 11:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x532b1a…
10-25 07:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6f6ae9…
10-25 07:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x951b24…
10-25 04:53:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd79809…
10-25 04:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c208c…
10-25 03:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1c08f1…
10-24 19:02:44	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2e47d…
10-24 19:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x477678…
10-24 19:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x30c8eb…
10-24 18:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3a0485…
10-24 15:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54d2d9…
10-24 15:40:29	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdc2458…
10-24 15:40:27	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 24?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x32182c…
10-24 15:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xae49bd…
10-24 15:40:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7293c2…
10-24 15:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5729c2…
10-24 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4d314a…
10-24 15:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4eb272…
10-24 11:54:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x178057…
10-24 09:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaaf2e7…
10-24 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x48d7b5…
10-24 03:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc946b4…
10-23 23:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xad0c5c…
10-23 23:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3d5c4c…
10-23 19:39:38	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4aa015…
10-23 19:22:57	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0bb768…
10-23 19:22:56	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1d7aa…
10-23 19:22:53	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfbea1b…
10-23 19:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd73020…
10-23 03:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x543b58…
10-23 03:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdae3dd…
10-22 23:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8af56…
10-22 23:36:57	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x39051c…
10-22 22:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6aa3e4…
10-22 21:14:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfab9d5…
10-22 21:14:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5f6a5…
10-22 21:14:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ba6ac…
10-22 19:27:35	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa61d65…
10-22 19:27:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x795729…
10-22 19:11:15	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb94f58…
10-22 19:11:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe1708e…
10-22 19:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0ed06…
10-22 19:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x611d8e…
10-22 15:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1994f7…
10-22 15:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe41e27…
10-22 15:22:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xabc790…
10-22 15:22:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc7e40d…
10-22 11:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcf13e4…
10-22 07:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x143827…
10-22 03:50:29	Will Solana dip to $105 on October 21?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8c30f9…
10-22 03:25:48	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9f2c51…
10-22 03:25:47	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x365365…
10-22 03:25:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2c6330…
10-21 23:08:02	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x6abba5…
10-21 23:07:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xc60e3f…
10-21 19:51:54	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x53b15f…
10-21 19:34:56	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe33377…
10-21 19:18:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4673f4…
10-21 19:17:57	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeeaa3f…
10-21 19:17:54	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2f445a…
10-21 19:17:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa12701…
10-21 19:16:11	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbd000c…
10-21 19:16:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98069a…
10-21 19:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8b76f0…
10-21 15:47:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 21?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x72d767…
10-21 15:34:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xec2e82…
10-21 15:34:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x06826d…
10-21 15:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd024e3…
10-21 06:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x639f3b…