Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$390

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

20,451

Trades

32,251

lifetime

Volume

$30.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-16 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 3% -$267

Other

18% 3% +$637

Politics

13% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 0% -$1

Sports

2% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$1	84¢	$0	+$1	09-18 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$7.9K	3,979	3,979	+0	Yes	+$88	09-10 19:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	10-16 14:57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	7	$1.6K	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	09-15 18:32
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	11	$1.5K	2,071	20	+2,051	No	+$560	09-23 21:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	3	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	No	+$5	10-06 05:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	3	$1.0K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$34	10-02 04:59
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	8	$993	500	500	+0	No	+$1	09-15 13:01
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	3	$993	500	500	+0	No	-$1	09-15 23:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$925	500	500	+0	open	—	09-20 05:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 4?	1	$553	554	0	+554	No	+$1	10-04 20:52
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers	3	$479	1,000	0	+1,000	Detroit Tigers	+$21	09-13 17:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 4?	2	$440	441	0	+441	No	+$1	10-04 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6PM ET	2	$392	408	0	+408	Up	+$16	09-20 22:47
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$388	200	200	+0	Yes	+$12	09-10 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	12	$327	300	300	+0	Down	+$21	09-14 09:20
spx up or down on april 17 2026	6	$316	200	200	+0	Up	+$4	04-17 12:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 3?	1	$282	282	0	+282	No	+$0	10-03 18:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 3?	1	$266	267	0	+267	No	+$1	10-03 18:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 3?	1	$256	257	0	+257	No	+$1	10-03 18:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 3?	1	$244	245	0	+245	No	+$0	10-03 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	19	$238	320	310	+10	Down	-$23	09-15 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$228	400	0	+400	Down	-$28	09-14 06:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$224	182	182	+0	No	+$53	10-01 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	8	$201	420	0	+420	Up	+$9	09-13 20:21
cs2 cs1 upgrad 2026 09 13	10	$196	400	0	+400	UPGRADE	+$4	09-13 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET	1	$192	200	0	+200	Up	+$8	09-20 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$188	400	0	+400	Down	+$12	09-14 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	8	$187	400	0	+400	Down	+$13	09-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	14	$187	400	0	+400	Up	+$13	09-13 22:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	09-18 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 14:57:19	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	1,300	72¢	$936	0x7659c3…
10-06 16:47:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	1,300	73¢	$949	0xe3a82f…
10-06 05:02:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14a3b9…
10-06 05:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$697	0x00da5c…
10-06 05:01:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$342	0xf75c0a…
10-04 20:52:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x973d6a…
10-04 20:52:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xb0b488…
10-04 20:52:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0x6df2da…
10-03 18:12:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0x985816…
10-03 18:12:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xa811e1…
10-03 18:12:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x5e3057…
10-03 18:12:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x238719…
10-02 04:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe6b4aa…
10-01 20:11:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	142	85¢	$121	0xd51081…
10-01 20:10:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	182	76¢	$138	0xab5b4f…
10-01 10:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	915	99¢	$902	0x0249a0…
10-01 10:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	182	47¢	$85	0x4dc0fb…
09-23 21:38:56	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	181	36¢	$65	0x265549…
09-23 21:37:46	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xbf5506…
09-23 21:37:04	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x601943…
09-23 21:35:32	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x6014b2…
09-23 21:35:02	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x33d885…
09-22 05:12:21	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x9df296…
09-20 22:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	400	97¢	$386	0xaec87e…
09-20 22:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xf087b5…
09-20 16:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x887455…
09-20 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xa459eb…
09-20 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x25bebb…
09-20 16:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x4b4985…
09-20 15:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x2c10f6…
09-20 05:35:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x9efe2e…
09-18 05:39:46	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x5e5ef8…
09-18 02:22:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x132fe6…
09-17 21:01:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x2ea711…
09-17 20:37:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x29c421…
09-17 17:51:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	78¢	$62	0x355493…
09-15 23:00:58	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	418	99¢	$414	0x6d4435…
09-15 23:00:48	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x8f92ad…
09-15 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x954173…
09-15 20:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xe296d3…
09-15 20:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x2aff34…
09-15 20:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x5ab0fa…
09-15 20:14:15	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B	uralan	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb5fb97…
09-15 19:40:37	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x308f8f…
09-15 18:32:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	690	97¢	$669	0xaa2df7…
09-15 16:48:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	690	86¢	$593	0x3cd6d2…
09-15 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xbb445f…
09-15 16:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x8d0d60…
09-15 16:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8e65ca…
09-15 16:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	78	69¢	$54	0x894ff3…
09-15 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x5bc27b…
09-15 16:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x07f0f9…
09-15 16:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	210	5¢	$10	0x633949…
09-15 16:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xaae320…
09-15 16:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x66bd93…
09-15 16:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x09b426…
09-15 16:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0324cb…
09-15 16:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	110	55¢	$61	0x5cb697…
09-15 16:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfc01b2…
09-15 16:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xd6068c…
09-15 16:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc938d9…
09-15 16:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2bd103…
09-15 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x92fe33…
09-15 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x859c79…
09-15 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x782dc4…
09-15 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3df64f…
09-15 16:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd71e4c…
09-15 16:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb36700…
09-15 16:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6134f0…
09-15 16:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x525636…
09-15 13:01:12	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6068e9…
09-15 12:47:25	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x059e0d…
09-15 12:13:16	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x365957…
09-15 12:04:58	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x817c8b…
09-15 12:04:33	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf401d7…
09-15 11:50:34	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x1eb602…
09-15 10:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xbe261f…
09-15 09:52:48	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf0c5ed…
09-15 03:27:18	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xa9f850…
09-15 00:01:28	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x54f360…
09-14 09:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x0bb8bf…
09-14 09:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x11848b…
09-14 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0xc330c2…
09-14 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	71	58¢	$41	0xacd64b…
09-14 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0x5d44d1…
09-14 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x327bb5…
09-14 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x25bca4…
09-14 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x1db412…
09-14 09:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xb7ffd0…
09-14 09:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x599f20…
09-14 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	52	58¢	$30	0xe5d330…
09-14 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x59f8f1…
09-14 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x4e8236…
09-14 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x1ce1bf…
09-14 09:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x9e2075…
09-14 09:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xa75a45…
09-14 09:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	74	8¢	$6	0x09c4bf…
09-14 09:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xf0b216…
09-14 09:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe402dd…
09-14 09:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x62fe4c…