Royal-Civilization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$976

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-06 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

100% 48% -$976

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	6	$2.5K	2,914	0	+2,914	Yes	+$457	05-31 02:39
will colby donaldson be voted off survivor season 50 this week 474	20	$2.0K	1,652	1,013	+639	Yes	+$567	04-02 04:25
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	1	$1.4K	1,613	0	+1,613	Yes	+$165	04-13 00:21
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	28	$1.2K	770	651	+119	Yes	+$82	05-14 04:46
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	5	$981	9,365	0	+9,365	No	-$981	05-02 04:36
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	5	$975	3,307	3,185	+122	Yes	-$783	04-24 19:42
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	7	$704	1,333	790	+543	No	+$749	05-11 04:35
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	12	$685	1,032	277	+756	Yes	+$575	04-20 17:32
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	2	$631	403	244	+159	Yes	+$16	04-06 22:05
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	4	$628	1,072	0	+1,072	Yes	-$628	06-06 11:17
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	4	$605	709	0	+709	Yes	+$104	05-30 23:22
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 14m and 15m	2	$581	292	292	+0	Yes	+$2	04-11 05:57
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	4	$557	1,688	0	+1,688	Yes	-$557	05-16 10:56
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 5m and 6m	12	$556	380	380	+0	No	+$175	03-31 00:57
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 31m and 34m	7	$550	1,696	415	+1,281	No	+$168	04-20 12:50
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	2	$527	3,016	0	+3,016	No	-$527	04-26 14:33
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$510	270	270	+0	Yes	+$24	05-09 17:57
will charlie davis be voted off survivor season 50 this week 645	20	$464	463	58	+405	No	+$49	03-26 02:57
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	3	$448	775	362	+413	Yes	-$77	04-25 16:31
will angelina keeley be voted off survivor season 50 this week 583	20	$428	434	50	+384	No	+$50	03-25 03:15
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$426	990	0	+990	Yes	+$564	05-21 11:00
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	2	$381	820	0	+820	Yes	-$381	06-06 11:42
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$338	556	26	+530	No	+$242	05-09 14:28
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	1	$312	400	0	+400	Yes	+$88	05-16 02:42
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	1	$304	600	0	+600	Yes	-$304	05-09 15:37
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	4	$257	459	0	+459	Yes	+$201	06-06 11:09
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$241	483	0	+483	Yes	-$241	05-08 15:55
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	2	$240	440	0	+440	No	+$200	05-04 06:40
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	1	$230	1,736	0	+1,736	No	-$230	05-09 14:35
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	9	$216	1,780	0	+1,780	No	-$216	04-11 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 11:42:16	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	No	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x56a436…
06-06 11:41:57	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	No	BUY	740	46¢	$343	0xf1fc46…
06-06 11:38:00	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	BUY	938	3¢	$30	0xd66d9e…
06-06 11:17:39	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	BUY	632	65¢	$410	0xc688d6…
06-06 11:09:51	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x2cdfd4…
06-06 11:09:24	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0xeb20bf…
06-06 10:52:43	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	111	53¢	$59	0xa72d41…
06-06 09:03:15	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x16aac5…
06-06 07:26:10	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	BUY	108	55¢	$59	0x770dc4…
06-06 07:23:09	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	BUY	118	49¢	$58	0xbe3e4a…
06-06 07:14:07	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xa9aa46…
06-06 07:13:57	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	296	58¢	$171	0xc47f09…
06-06 06:44:49	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0xd65a3c…
06-02 22:36:41	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x3f9233…
05-31 02:39:37	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	1,014	76¢	$767	0x704365…
05-31 00:55:19	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x9535f9…
05-31 00:55:04	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	275	84¢	$231	0x85f2d5…
05-30 23:22:50	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x50596b…
05-30 23:22:50	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x3c9f44…
05-30 23:22:50	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	164	85¢	$140	0x004a75…
05-30 23:22:29	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	514	85¢	$439	0x715fb1…
05-30 23:19:57	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2a5d9c…
05-30 23:19:46	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x03f196…
05-30 23:19:34	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	1,500	90¢	$1,350	0xdf01fd…
05-21 11:00:49	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	990	43¢	$426	0xf35e4c…
05-19 18:08:45	Will Andrea del Boca win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe59286…
05-16 10:56:58	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	No	BUY	787	37¢	$290	0x9fe348…
05-16 02:42:41	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x394557…
05-16 01:36:08	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	No	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x187fe2…
05-16 01:35:59	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xeb34ce…
05-16 01:22:39	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	No	BUY	700	30¢	$210	0x0108c6…
05-15 20:14:32	Will Andrea del Boca win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x28ea2f…
05-14 21:34:59	Will Andrea del Boca win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x00592e…
05-14 04:46:51	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x6d323a…
05-14 03:15:38	Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?	Yes	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x1adf31…
05-13 12:07:58	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	199	91¢	$181	0x5ae1b8…
05-13 11:09:38	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x393f63…
05-11 04:35:20	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	790	58¢	$455	0x6e69ec…
05-11 02:40:09	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	119	31¢	$37	0xeea3c2…
05-11 02:35:40	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xda1ed6…
05-11 02:35:31	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x4b8868…
05-11 01:17:12	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	178	19¢	$34	0x84d3c9…
05-11 01:12:11	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x3ed059…
05-11 01:08:11	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x84d5aa…
05-10 19:22:43	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x010b5e…
05-09 17:57:02	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xdcebfe…
05-09 17:53:53	Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	BUY	75	23¢	$17	0x6c6dbb…
05-09 17:52:57	Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$119	0x5a0068…
05-09 17:22:56	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcae8b3…
05-09 17:22:56	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	660	11¢	$71	0xb8783d…
05-09 15:37:12	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x8cd132…
05-09 15:37:02	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	No	BUY	600	51¢	$304	0xf77b2e…
05-09 14:35:05	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	1,736	13¢	$230	0xb3f626…
05-09 14:28:26	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xe4d84c…
05-08 15:55:53	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x8c69e1…
05-08 10:18:04	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	297	35¢	$103	0xc5283a…
05-08 03:59:08	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	183	88¢	$161	0xd90a19…
05-07 21:21:30	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x8f371b…
05-07 15:23:23	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	178	99¢	$176	0x96578f…
05-07 15:07:45	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	75	57¢	$43	0x10b908…
05-07 15:07:35	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x9c9f48…
05-07 15:07:17	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	280	55¢	$154	0x639c93…
05-07 08:02:25	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x492c79…
05-06 13:00:12	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	152	83¢	$126	0x008103…
05-06 05:42:52	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0x66f998…
05-06 05:42:14	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0xb49ac4…
05-06 05:38:38	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7b3bbe…
05-06 05:37:36	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	65	45¢	$29	0x03906b…
05-06 05:29:48	Will Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x2ed078…
05-06 05:29:06	Will Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	Yes	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x25278f…
05-04 07:16:06	Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?	Yes	BUY	903	4¢	$36	0xf0d254…
05-04 06:40:18	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	247	57¢	$141	0xcfe064…
05-04 06:40:14	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	No	BUY	110	55¢	$60	0x1a80fc…
05-04 06:34:14	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	No	BUY	330	54¢	$180	0x88ac29…
05-02 04:36:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	4,065	12¢	$482	0x9f858c…
05-02 04:25:44	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	2,034	10¢	$201	0x6ec532…
05-02 04:23:20	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	747	12¢	$87	0x9cb40d…
05-02 04:06:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	348	7¢	$26	0x3092f3…
05-02 04:05:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	2,171	9¢	$185	0xa9a98e…
04-26 14:33:24	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	2,151	19¢	$400	0x0d99a5…
04-26 13:56:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x806711…
04-25 16:31:56	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	137	19¢	$26	0x570c81…
04-25 16:31:36	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	865	15¢	$127	0xb75c10…
04-25 03:24:14	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	219	5¢	$11	0x0e878d…
04-25 03:18:16	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	SELL	362	51¢	$186	0x8a211d…
04-25 03:11:12	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	230	0¢	$0	0xe20d65…
04-25 03:10:06	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xade3d0…
04-25 02:53:32	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	638	37¢	$237	0x8bd6a8…
04-25 01:33:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x37afc7…
04-24 19:55:10	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xe4183c…
04-24 19:47:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x7b532d…
04-24 19:42:42	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	SELL	3,185	3¢	$96	0xedc148…
04-23 04:02:54	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x170a15…
04-23 04:02:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	No	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x2f9ab8…
04-23 03:47:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x143474…
04-23 03:46:34	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	BUY	243	2¢	$5	0xdb9a7f…
04-23 03:46:00	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	Yes	BUY	900	11¢	$100	0x5b49fb…
04-23 03:39:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	BUY	2,599	24¢	$624	0xef2c70…
04-20 17:32:28	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x5ac73b…
04-20 17:32:22	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x47e507…