Sizzling-Swath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-08 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

44% 7% -$23

Politics

35% 0% -$4

Crypto

21% 38% +$34

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$282	400	400	+0	No	-$2	05-07 12:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$168	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-06 10:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$145	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 11:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	2	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$6	05-07 12:11
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-08 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:00 UTC	3	$92	74	60	+14	Down	+$26	07-08 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	10	$65	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-08 12:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$62	50	50	+0	Down	-$2	05-04 06:45
tsla up or down on april 16 2026	2	$61	50	49	+1	Down	-$1	04-16 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?	4	$57	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 11:00
aapl up or down on april 16 2026	3	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$0	04-16 07:13
abnb up or down on april 16 2026	2	$48	50	50	+0	Up	$0	04-16 06:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	3	$17	26	26	+0	No	-$6	07-08 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	4	$12	18	17	+1	Up	+$9	04-20 14:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:25 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	06-16 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	3	$3	22	2	+20	Down	-$1	04-18 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:55 UTC	2	$3	11	0	+11	Up	-$3	04-19 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	1	$1	1,259	0	+1,259	No	-$1	06-27 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15?	1	$1	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$1	06-15 13:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?	1	$1	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$1	05-19 19:56
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in May 2026?	1	$1	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$1	05-20 14:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 21?	1	$1	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$1	05-18 14:35
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$1	520	0	+520	No	-$1	05-21 17:35
highest temperature in mexico city on april 22 2026 20c	1	$1	610	0	+610	No	-$1	04-22 13:39
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 8c	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-21 12:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 9c	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-21 12:09
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-06 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 13:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xbf92af…
07-08 13:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xda8575…
07-08 12:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x51cb65…
07-08 12:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xa56a9d…
07-08 12:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x790d92…
07-08 12:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x1328e8…
07-08 12:44:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x94238d…
07-08 12:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x4509e8…
07-08 12:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x4fd146…
07-08 12:37:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x730224…
07-08 12:37:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x4acf9b…
07-08 11:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x21b281…
07-08 10:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?	No	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x2c7f22…
07-08 10:40:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xdd61fb…
07-08 10:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x99e5e2…
07-08 10:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xeff59a…
07-08 10:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x04b711…
07-08 10:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?	No	SELL	27	56¢	$15	0x8d3cdb…
07-08 10:30:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x4630f5…
07-08 10:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd7e3f3…
07-08 10:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x39ffa5…
07-08 10:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x21bf11…
06-27 05:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1,259	0¢	$1	0x438ab7…
06-16 11:21:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeef8d1…
06-15 13:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0x26d5c5…
05-21 17:35:39	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xd26e1c…
05-21 16:23:07	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b8349…
05-21 13:46:54	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x62fb4c…
05-21 11:42:35	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0xae0fbb…
05-20 14:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x92ef67…
05-19 19:56:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x417c5a…
05-18 14:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x4e29b9…
05-07 12:19:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x01372e…
05-07 12:18:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xc4e115…
05-07 12:11:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x5f0448…
05-07 12:10:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x723afe…
05-06 11:59:16	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x54066e…
05-06 11:30:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x5748d3…
05-06 11:28:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x74c028…
05-06 10:57:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x03a0a6…
05-06 10:56:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x608a70…
05-06 10:48:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xc90c36…
05-06 10:46:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x088faa…
05-06 10:46:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x813bea…
05-06 10:09:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xa425ca…
05-06 10:08:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xee447d…
05-04 06:45:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x09791d…
05-04 06:40:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x6aae50…
04-22 13:39:52	highest temperature in mexico city on april 22 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	610	0¢	$1	0xd7b549…
04-21 12:09:42	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc0dacb…
04-21 12:09:12	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb15cde…
04-20 14:09:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xcec768…
04-20 14:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x21103c…
04-20 14:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xd2ce77…
04-20 14:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4f126a…
04-19 12:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0f8097…
04-19 12:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x524a0f…
04-18 13:28:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9ca855…
04-18 13:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x585b06…
04-18 13:26:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f2ddb…
04-16 07:13:18	aapl up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xce995c…
04-16 07:12:48	aapl up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x9a7357…
04-16 07:12:42	aapl up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x8d2749…
04-16 06:57:58	tsla up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0x36c000…
04-16 06:57:20	tsla up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x3198ff…
04-16 06:53:00	abnb up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x4e73b5…
04-16 06:49:56	abnb up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xd961bd…