Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$109

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-08 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

68% 58% -$3

Politics

28% 36% -$6

Tech

4% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+9	$2	18¢	$2	-$1	08-11 17:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-19 11:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-10 08:27
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 10:17
will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-10 15:03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:28
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-08 07:15
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 15:51
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-09 12:54
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	08-23 17:08
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$3	08-12 18:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 20:42
will nflx dip to 72 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 21:04
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-16 02:17
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-20 16:25
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 17:18
will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-18 05:04
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-24 21:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 01:17
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 03:43
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-01 18:16
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-24 09:52
will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260809153916669	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	08-10 16:35
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-11 00:45
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	08-12 10:05
will mu dip to 840 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	08-12 02:02
will abnb reach 184 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	08-09 22:54
will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-11 08:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$2	9	+9	open	—	08-11 17:15
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-21 21:38
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-20 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 11:26:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x99646e…
10-08 03:26:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd747ac…
10-05 16:57:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3da39…
10-05 00:40:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x585073…
10-02 06:03:45	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9e033d…
09-26 07:49:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6b1370…
09-21 21:38:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x956a8f…
09-21 13:30:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc3df51…
09-20 16:25:06	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4e0283…
09-19 11:13:41	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x108877…
09-16 20:42:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf3c6ea…
09-16 10:17:19	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x8afd00…
09-16 02:17:06	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9fa23a…
09-10 08:27:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xb6c002…
09-09 23:12:31	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x688290…
09-09 12:54:00	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x85cf68…
09-08 07:15:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x8d852a…
09-07 17:28:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x25c756…
09-03 07:59:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x8935c6…
09-01 18:16:31	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x89d707…
09-01 09:37:09	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2afc7e…
08-31 01:25:54	will xagusd reach 71 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x906056…
08-30 17:18:15	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x476147…
08-29 08:48:52	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd36ab6…
08-24 21:02:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd7a058…
08-24 09:52:27	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x379d54…
08-24 01:17:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x21059e…
08-23 17:08:39	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x574e4f…
08-21 07:44:15	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xfdc233…
08-20 23:14:31	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x33783a…
08-20 13:06:15	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8e6fcd…
08-19 23:29:27	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x608027…
08-19 14:13:13	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xb215ca…
08-19 03:43:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x588274…
08-18 15:51:22	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf302ea…
08-18 05:04:39	will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x39195b…
08-17 21:04:07	will nflx dip to 72 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x0df375…
08-17 12:17:51	will hood dip to 92 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x54ced3…
08-17 04:11:03	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x2ba5b0…
08-13 03:43:48	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9f39da…
08-12 18:29:25	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0df7a6…
08-12 10:05:45	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c3c38…
08-12 02:02:27	will mu dip to 840 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4dd419…
08-11 17:15:06	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x934a74…
08-11 08:45:42	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x640848…
08-11 00:45:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x85f79e…
08-10 16:35:15	will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260809153916669	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x757ddd…
08-10 15:03:15	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x485820…
08-10 06:55:31	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1d2c89…
08-09 22:54:07	will abnb reach 184 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xde4a9b…
08-09 11:22:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xc0fd2b…
08-09 03:16:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x694be4…
08-08 19:13:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x15654a…