Heavy-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

690

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-19 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 35% $-1

Other

5% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1782934200	15	$103	220	186	+33	open	—	07-01 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$78	75	75	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 18:15
btc updown 15m 1782935100	9	$75	258	181	+77	open	—	07-01 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$73	192	192	+0	open	—	05-03 20:34
btc updown 5m 1783449300	7	$63	77	73	+5	open	—	07-07 18:38
btc updown 5m 1783450800	8	$59	43	43	+0	open	—	07-07 19:05
btc updown 15m 1782980100	7	$50	111	65	+45	open	—	07-02 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$45	274	274	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	8	$40	44	44	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	7	$36	46	42	+4	open	—	05-25 15:57
btc updown 15m 1781588700	8	$35	44	44	+0	open	—	06-16 05:54
btc updown 15m 1781642700	8	$35	44	43	+0	open	—	06-16 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$34	34	20	+14	open	—	05-03 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$34	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 18:29
btc updown 15m 1783451700	8	$29	44	44	+0	open	—	07-07 19:27
btc updown 5m 1783451100	6	$27	33	33	+0	open	—	07-07 19:07
btc updown 5m 1782933900	4	$26	39	39	+0	open	—	07-01 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$26	34	19	+16	open	—	05-03 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 21:17
btc updown 15m 1782905400	9	$25	39	33	+6	open	—	07-01 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 17:47
btc updown 15m 1782981000	2	$24	33	33	+0	open	—	07-02 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$23	36	19	+17	open	—	05-25 16:24
btc updown 5m 1782927000	2	$23	29	0	+29	open	—	07-01 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$22	34	34	+0	open	—	05-25 15:14
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 19:05
btc updown 15m 1781645400	8	$21	64	64	+0	open	—	06-16 21:42
btc updown 5m 1782732000	7	$21	25	22	+3	open	—	06-29 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$20	36	28	+8	open	—	05-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$20	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 11:50:03	btc updown 15m 1784461500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x814f32…
07-19 11:48:40	btc updown 5m 1784461500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x241910…
07-19 11:48:21	btc updown 5m 1784461500	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x4ea334…
07-19 11:47:07	btc updown 5m 1784461500	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd44ab9…
07-19 11:00:49	btc updown 5m 1784458800	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbf3d06…
07-19 10:52:24	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x92f5a2…
07-18 22:04:30	btc updown 15m 1784412000	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xba165c…
07-18 21:47:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcdae54…
07-18 21:42:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xf94f34…
07-11 19:52:16	btc updown 5m 1783799400	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x115ae4…
07-09 21:54:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x27ab31…
07-09 21:54:55	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xd78f8f…
07-09 21:48:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x247bec…
07-09 21:43:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xbd04e7…
07-07 22:49:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf4508e…
07-07 22:49:17	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe6ef56…
07-07 19:52:58	btc updown 5m 1783453800	Up	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xeb41ba…
07-07 19:51:38	btc updown 5m 1783453800	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x990b01…
07-07 19:48:32	btc updown 5m 1783453500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb776f3…
07-07 19:47:29	btc updown 5m 1783453500	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc5fd1d…
07-07 19:46:55	btc updown 5m 1783453500	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x122e8a…
07-07 19:46:38	btc updown 5m 1783453500	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x6ff6e2…
07-07 19:45:47	btc updown 5m 1783453500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa3684c…
07-07 19:27:29	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Down	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x8df677…
07-07 19:27:08	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcf4093…
07-07 19:25:58	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xd13e0f…
07-07 19:25:32	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe12a10…
07-07 19:24:55	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Down	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x6ac8df…
07-07 19:24:34	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x33d613…
07-07 19:23:46	btc updown 5m 1783452000	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x4dd460…
07-07 19:21:59	btc updown 5m 1783452000	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4d8090…
07-07 19:21:04	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x2e6145…
07-07 19:20:52	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x42d905…
07-07 19:19:52	btc updown 5m 1783451700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdf123c…
07-07 19:11:11	btc updown 5m 1783451400	Up	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x9c93e3…
07-07 19:10:40	btc updown 5m 1783451400	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6069d6…
07-07 19:07:43	btc updown 5m 1783451100	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x8156e1…
07-07 19:07:08	btc updown 5m 1783451100	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2e6e03…
07-07 19:06:44	btc updown 5m 1783451100	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x26a652…
07-07 19:06:14	btc updown 5m 1783451100	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd16094…
07-07 19:05:50	btc updown 5m 1783451100	Down	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0x18362b…
07-07 19:05:35	btc updown 5m 1783451100	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb1739d…
07-07 19:05:08	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x195150…
07-07 19:04:56	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x487aef…
07-07 19:04:29	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x939d04…
07-07 19:04:11	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x26233a…
07-07 19:03:20	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Up	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xd72a3d…
07-07 19:03:10	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x9af433…
07-07 19:01:29	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x676c84…
07-07 19:01:01	btc updown 5m 1783450800	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd25f54…
07-07 18:57:56	btc updown 5m 1783450500	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x4a4689…
07-07 18:56:37	btc updown 5m 1783450500	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb2fd6b…
07-07 18:50:35	btc updown 15m 1783449900	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xefcc1f…
07-07 18:50:01	btc updown 15m 1783449900	Up	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x8a844b…
07-07 18:49:47	btc updown 15m 1783449900	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x081ce8…
07-07 18:48:58	btc updown 5m 1783449900	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xfe8c77…
07-07 18:48:31	btc updown 5m 1783449900	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9bd780…
07-07 18:48:02	btc updown 5m 1783449900	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x973e0a…
07-07 18:47:19	btc updown 5m 1783449900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe94f4a…
07-07 18:47:02	btc updown 5m 1783449900	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa8b405…
07-07 18:45:46	btc updown 5m 1783449900	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c9a15…
07-07 18:40:22	btc updown 5m 1783449600	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6d2b22…
07-07 18:38:58	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x452376…
07-07 18:37:55	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Down	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0xbe34d7…
07-07 18:37:19	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf2547b…
07-07 18:36:52	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Up	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0xef504d…
07-07 18:36:38	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xae5a52…
07-07 18:36:11	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Down	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0x50c81c…
07-07 18:35:53	btc updown 5m 1783449300	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8099ed…
07-07 18:34:44	btc updown 5m 1783449000	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x182e58…
07-02 08:40:55	btc updown 5m 1782981600	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x43796b…
07-02 08:38:34	btc updown 5m 1782981300	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb06e61…
07-02 08:37:47	btc updown 15m 1782981000	Down	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x7b92ef…
07-02 08:30:49	btc updown 15m 1782981000	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa0ccb7…
07-02 08:28:13	btc updown 5m 1782980700	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7a623f…
07-02 08:25:43	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x35bd8f…
07-02 08:24:29	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x322b4b…
07-02 08:22:23	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xea61cc…
07-02 08:22:01	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x621e50…
07-02 08:21:47	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x95332a…
07-02 08:21:31	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x7d03e0…
07-02 08:19:41	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8369cd…
07-01 22:16:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0x149840…
07-01 22:10:13	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0603f5…
07-01 20:08:32	btc updown 15m 1782936000	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x6c3112…
07-01 20:05:49	btc updown 15m 1782936000	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x216941…
07-01 19:54:50	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0d79f3…
07-01 19:54:28	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xce46f4…
07-01 19:53:41	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x31fd2f…
07-01 19:53:25	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x18a198…
07-01 19:52:20	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0ec4a6…
07-01 19:50:14	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x326675…
07-01 19:49:26	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x891c07…
07-01 19:48:43	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x76b6a2…
07-01 19:48:34	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7fb53a…
07-01 19:47:10	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd0c0a0…
07-01 19:46:32	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd8d959…
07-01 19:46:01	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x9d290e…
07-01 19:45:47	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x967201…
07-01 19:44:13	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa07da9…