Heavy-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-02 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 35% $-1

Other

5% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1782934200	15	$103	220	186	+33	open	—	07-01 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$78	75	75	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 18:15
btc updown 15m 1782935100	9	$75	258	181	+77	open	—	07-01 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$73	192	192	+0	open	—	05-03 20:34
btc updown 15m 1782980100	7	$50	111	65	+45	open	—	07-02 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$45	274	274	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	8	$40	44	44	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	7	$36	46	42	+4	open	—	05-25 15:57
btc updown 15m 1781588700	8	$35	44	44	+0	open	—	06-16 05:54
btc updown 15m 1781642700	8	$35	44	43	+0	open	—	06-16 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$34	34	20	+14	open	—	05-03 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$34	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 18:29
btc updown 5m 1782933900	4	$26	39	39	+0	open	—	07-01 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$26	34	19	+16	open	—	05-03 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 21:17
btc updown 15m 1782905400	9	$25	39	33	+6	open	—	07-01 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 17:47
btc updown 15m 1782981000	2	$24	33	33	+0	open	—	07-02 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$23	36	19	+17	open	—	05-25 16:24
btc updown 5m 1782927000	2	$23	29	0	+29	open	—	07-01 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$22	34	34	+0	open	—	05-25 15:14
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 19:05
btc updown 15m 1781645400	8	$21	64	64	+0	open	—	06-16 21:42
btc updown 5m 1782732000	7	$21	25	22	+3	open	—	06-29 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$20	36	28	+8	open	—	05-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$20	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$20	23	23	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 22:17
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	07-01 22:16
btc updown 5m 1781591400	4	$17	17	16	+0	open	—	06-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	7	$17	23	17	+6	open	—	05-03 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:40:55	btc updown 5m 1782981600	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x43796b…
07-02 08:38:34	btc updown 5m 1782981300	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb06e61…
07-02 08:37:47	btc updown 15m 1782981000	Down	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x7b92ef…
07-02 08:30:49	btc updown 15m 1782981000	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa0ccb7…
07-02 08:28:13	btc updown 5m 1782980700	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7a623f…
07-02 08:25:43	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x35bd8f…
07-02 08:24:29	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x322b4b…
07-02 08:22:23	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xea61cc…
07-02 08:22:01	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x621e50…
07-02 08:21:47	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x95332a…
07-02 08:21:31	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x7d03e0…
07-02 08:19:41	btc updown 15m 1782980100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8369cd…
07-01 22:16:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0x149840…
07-01 22:10:13	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0603f5…
07-01 20:08:32	btc updown 15m 1782936000	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x6c3112…
07-01 20:05:49	btc updown 15m 1782936000	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x216941…
07-01 19:54:50	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0d79f3…
07-01 19:54:28	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xce46f4…
07-01 19:53:41	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x31fd2f…
07-01 19:53:25	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x18a198…
07-01 19:52:20	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0ec4a6…
07-01 19:50:14	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x326675…
07-01 19:49:26	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x891c07…
07-01 19:48:43	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x76b6a2…
07-01 19:48:34	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7fb53a…
07-01 19:47:10	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd0c0a0…
07-01 19:46:32	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd8d959…
07-01 19:46:01	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x9d290e…
07-01 19:45:47	btc updown 5m 1782935100	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x967201…
07-01 19:44:13	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa07da9…
07-01 19:43:34	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xca16fc…
07-01 19:43:26	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xabdb55…
07-01 19:42:34	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xe18b9f…
07-01 19:42:17	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe38752…
07-01 19:41:28	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xd8d37a…
07-01 19:40:04	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x937dd0…
07-01 19:38:55	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x500380…
07-01 19:38:41	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x835718…
07-01 19:36:29	btc updown 5m 1782934500	Up	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xc6d448…
07-01 19:36:10	btc updown 5m 1782934500	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8983fb…
07-01 19:35:14	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	SELL	83	20¢	$17	0x91f160…
07-01 19:34:55	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xbd3827…
07-01 19:32:34	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x604c27…
07-01 19:32:17	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6619a5…
07-01 19:31:46	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Up	SELL	16	65¢	$11	0x322cdd…
07-01 19:30:43	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x655ad5…
07-01 19:26:55	btc updown 5m 1782933900	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xaf77a5…
07-01 19:26:28	btc updown 5m 1782933900	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9002dc…
07-01 19:25:53	btc updown 5m 1782933900	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xf5466a…
07-01 19:25:34	btc updown 5m 1782933900	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7ddfa9…
07-01 19:22:28	btc updown 5m 1782933600	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b5607…
07-01 19:22:25	btc updown 5m 1782933600	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x768e55…
07-01 19:21:41	btc updown 15m 1782933300	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xa1b7d5…
07-01 19:20:26	btc updown 15m 1782933300	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5f71b1…
07-01 19:19:26	btc updown 5m 1782933300	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x1cbbf9…
07-01 19:19:11	btc updown 5m 1782933300	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0f25c1…
07-01 17:37:47	btc updown 5m 1782927300	Down	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xbe9b62…
07-01 17:37:13	btc updown 5m 1782927300	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd58b9c…
07-01 17:33:32	btc updown 5m 1782927000	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xac039c…
07-01 17:31:56	btc updown 5m 1782927000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x510bb1…
07-01 11:50:17	btc updown 5m 1782906600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x496cfa…
07-01 11:48:26	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbd3229…
07-01 11:46:55	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x023d8c…
07-01 11:46:46	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb19947…
07-01 11:45:46	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x15fa5d…
07-01 11:45:38	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x085478…
07-01 11:40:52	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5e81c4…
07-01 11:40:32	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xf289a8…
07-01 11:40:05	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2eadcb…
07-01 11:39:50	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x31f40a…
07-01 11:39:29	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xbce866…
07-01 11:38:32	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Down	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xffb4c0…
07-01 11:38:25	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xc025c4…
07-01 11:37:31	btc updown 5m 1782905700	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x52081f…
07-01 11:37:07	btc updown 5m 1782905700	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x395bb6…
07-01 11:35:20	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Up	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x60d217…
07-01 11:34:49	btc updown 15m 1782905400	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4c1fc2…
07-01 11:33:02	btc updown 5m 1782905400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x63cda3…
07-01 11:32:43	btc updown 5m 1782905400	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x38da12…
07-01 11:32:31	btc updown 5m 1782905400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x391ddc…
07-01 11:29:56	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7533fb…
07-01 11:29:40	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x4c3829…
07-01 11:29:19	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44baf6…
07-01 11:28:49	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xa6cf0a…
07-01 11:28:08	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd06178…
07-01 11:27:02	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x100483…
07-01 11:26:08	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x71f8fb…
07-01 11:22:13	btc updown 5m 1782904800	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xee2c42…
07-01 11:20:38	btc updown 5m 1782904800	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdbc883…
07-01 11:20:01	btc updown 5m 1782904500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb032df…
07-01 11:19:07	btc updown 5m 1782904500	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xb744e5…
07-01 11:17:50	btc updown 5m 1782904500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc72859…
07-01 11:17:29	btc updown 5m 1782904500	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf464db…
07-01 11:16:22	btc updown 5m 1782904500	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcd0c58…
07-01 10:55:46	btc updown 15m 1782902700	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xecfd44…
07-01 10:55:28	btc updown 15m 1782902700	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xc60905…
07-01 10:55:02	btc updown 15m 1782902700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x226b1f…
07-01 10:54:02	btc updown 5m 1782903000	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xdd031e…
07-01 10:53:43	btc updown 5m 1782903000	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb56c97…
06-30 21:47:10	btc updown 5m 1782855900	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xab2995…