Worse-Shakedown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$541

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-24 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776284100	5	$19	18	17	+1	open	—	04-15 20:30
btc updown 15m 1776800700	4	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-21 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-25 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	8	$9	23	7	+16	open	—	06-01 21:43
btc updown 15m 1776715200	5	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	04-20 20:14
btc updown 15m 1776285000	9	$9	15	9	+6	open	—	04-15 20:41
btc updown 15m 1776168900	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-14 12:31
btc updown 15m 1782326700	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	06-24 19:00
btc updown 15m 1776068100	5	$7	10	10	+1	open	—	04-13 08:29
btc updown 15m 1780829100	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 13:43
btc updown 15m 1776069900	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	6	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$6	9	4	+5	open	—	04-30 15:58
btc updown 15m 1776951900	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 14:00
btc updown 15m 1776153600	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-14 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 21:56
btc updown 15m 1776113100	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-13 21:00
btc updown 15m 1776276900	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-15 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:13
btc updown 15m 1776086100	3	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-13 13:29
btc updown 15m 1776200400	6	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 21:12
btc updown 15m 1776100500	5	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:41
btc updown 15m 1776804300	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 20:52
btc updown 15m 1776089700	4	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-13 14:30
btc updown 15m 1776265200	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 19:00:22	btc updown 15m 1782326700	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9a0577…
06-24 18:49:37	btc updown 15m 1782326700	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc81b95…
06-24 18:47:08	btc updown 15m 1782326700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x73a1c5…
06-09 19:37:34	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3d3724…
06-09 19:15:24	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xad4b53…
06-09 19:07:36	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe78463…
06-09 18:24:12	btc updown 15m 1781028900	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x698ff9…
06-09 18:22:48	btc updown 15m 1781028900	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdc65e0…
06-09 15:57:25	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x621083…
06-09 15:47:40	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb80e01…
06-09 14:33:00	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbf2481…
06-09 12:38:12	btc updown 15m 1781008200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7b5787…
06-09 12:37:46	btc updown 15m 1781008200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf11567…
06-08 20:56:33	btc updown 15m 1780951500	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x8cb9bd…
06-08 20:49:06	btc updown 15m 1780951500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9199e1…
06-08 20:49:04	btc updown 15m 1780951500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcaa252…
06-08 20:28:24	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xd423e3…
06-08 20:23:57	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2853c2…
06-08 20:21:40	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x94e45f…
06-08 20:21:28	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34bf1a…
06-07 22:53:10	btc updown 15m 1780872300	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x86db22…
06-07 22:47:39	btc updown 15m 1780872300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2bf3a1…
06-07 21:54:09	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbfc7d2…
06-07 21:48:30	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x50608c…
06-07 21:33:58	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6976b1…
06-07 21:33:48	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd73f03…
06-07 20:03:03	btc updown 15m 1780862400	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x112eff…
06-07 20:02:27	btc updown 15m 1780862400	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x08ba79…
06-07 19:48:15	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x24808b…
06-07 19:48:09	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x901b93…
06-07 18:05:37	btc updown 15m 1780855200	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1cbfd6…
06-07 17:33:39	btc updown 15m 1780853400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2ba06f…
06-07 17:30:21	btc updown 15m 1780852500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1ae6e3…
06-07 17:19:06	btc updown 15m 1780852500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x833dd9…
06-07 14:52:39	btc updown 15m 1780843500	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0a130d…
06-07 14:16:34	btc updown 15m 1780841700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x925895…
06-07 11:06:31	btc updown 15m 1780830000	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xbac10f…
06-07 11:03:31	btc updown 15m 1780830000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x40abdf…
06-07 11:00:22	btc updown 15m 1780829100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb4c3c2…
06-07 10:46:37	btc updown 15m 1780829100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc881b8…
06-07 10:46:31	btc updown 15m 1780829100	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf939cb…
06-07 10:24:13	btc updown 15m 1780827300	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd2836f…
06-07 10:22:22	btc updown 15m 1780827300	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd19cbf…
06-07 10:21:49	btc updown 15m 1780827300	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8c56b7…
06-06 22:19:09	btc updown 15m 1780784100	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x08ecaf…
06-06 22:16:46	btc updown 15m 1780784100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x70b643…
06-06 22:09:34	btc updown 15m 1780784100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5bfa9f…
06-06 21:49:40	btc updown 15m 1780782300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x90e306…
06-06 21:22:15	btc updown 15m 1780780500	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xef98f0…
06-06 21:21:39	btc updown 15m 1780780500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8f1aa7…
06-06 21:18:37	btc updown 15m 1780780500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2ca618…
06-06 20:18:42	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf38d60…
06-06 19:08:39	btc updown 15m 1780772400	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x5daaf4…
06-06 19:01:34	btc updown 15m 1780772400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcbdcaa…
06-06 18:27:30	btc updown 15m 1780769700	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x60c699…
06-06 18:21:31	btc updown 15m 1780769700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3dab95…
06-06 18:13:55	btc updown 15m 1780768800	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x064695…
06-06 18:05:06	btc updown 15m 1780768800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9bae2e…
06-06 17:09:43	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x3eb4da…
06-06 17:03:57	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdf1e2a…
06-06 17:01:33	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5c10a6…
06-06 16:39:22	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x51c8b1…
06-06 16:35:43	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9bd0c1…
06-06 16:32:42	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7b144e…
06-06 16:32:33	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe460a4…
06-06 07:47:49	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x64e774…
06-05 13:03:36	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x75135f…
06-05 12:15:36	btc updown 15m 1780661700	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcad905…
06-04 17:21:52	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xa391c8…
06-04 17:18:03	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6afaea…
06-04 16:56:04	btc updown 15m 1780591500	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x59c3ad…
06-04 16:51:21	btc updown 15m 1780591500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce5739…
06-03 20:41:45	btc updown 15m 1780518600	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x48e3d3…
06-03 20:32:28	btc updown 15m 1780518600	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x28d4f1…
06-02 10:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x29e5c4…
06-02 08:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe8e87f…
06-02 06:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf2db55…
06-02 06:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x319ad0…
06-02 06:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xcc3a0f…
06-02 06:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x552c40…
06-02 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfcfe07…
06-02 06:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdda162…
06-01 21:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcd2b9c…
06-01 21:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x390e9e…
06-01 21:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x382b6c…
06-01 21:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2b374a…
06-01 21:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xafab4c…
06-01 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6fba97…
06-01 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xceef15…
06-01 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3b2b52…
06-01 21:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xadedcc…
06-01 21:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x92b204…
06-01 16:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xaed5bc…
06-01 16:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc4003e…
05-31 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xe891f9…
05-31 22:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x29f412…
05-26 19:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xdd5d7e…
05-26 19:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8f9a7a…
05-26 17:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x435ac9…
05-26 15:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xca49b8…