Murky-Desert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$650

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-17 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% +$27

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	7	$54	44	37	+7	Down	$-1	05-13 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$40	33	29	+4	Down	+$8	05-13 19:23
btc updown 5m 1773428700	3	$19	28	16	+12	open	—	03-13 19:07
btc updown 5m 1773419700	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 16:39
btc updown 5m 1773425400	6	$14	141	9	+132	open	—	03-13 18:14
btc updown 5m 1773436200	3	$14	24	9	+15	open	—	03-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$12	19	0	+19	Down	$-12	05-13 20:04
btc updown 5m 1773425100	2	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	03-13 18:09
btc updown 5m 1773412200	3	$11	66	6	+60	open	—	03-13 14:33
btc updown 5m 1773425700	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 18:19
btc updown 5m 1773424800	4	$11	18	4	+14	open	—	03-13 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 19:31
btc updown 5m 1773414300	5	$10	13	3	+10	open	—	03-13 15:08
btc updown 5m 1773412800	4	$9	207	2	+205	open	—	03-13 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$9	12	0	+12	Up	+$3	05-13 19:46
btc updown 5m 1773433500	4	$8	34	3	+31	open	—	03-13 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-17 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$8	27	0	+27	open	—	05-14 16:17
btc updown 5m 1773427800	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 18:54
btc updown 5m 1773437100	4	$8	131	3	+129	open	—	03-13 21:28
btc updown 5m 1773439500	3	$7	8	4	+4	open	—	03-13 22:09
btc updown 5m 1773476100	3	$7	10	5	+5	open	—	03-14 08:19
btc updown 5m 1773361800	1	$7	43	0	+43	open	—	03-13 00:31
btc updown 5m 1773420900	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-13 16:56
btc updown 5m 1773362100	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	03-13 00:36
btc updown 5m 1773413400	2	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	03-13 14:50
btc updown 5m 1773433200	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$6	24	0	+24	Up	+$18	05-13 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$6	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 13:03
btc updown 5m 1773359400	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 23:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x61ab2a…
05-17 01:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfc5d0d…
05-17 01:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5de10e…
05-17 01:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x971e89…
05-17 01:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf94447…
05-17 01:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x2acddf…
05-17 01:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd6106d…
05-17 01:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x68ef5f…
05-17 01:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0eedc8…
05-17 00:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x23ec36…
05-16 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd87944…
05-16 13:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7c6e04…
05-16 13:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe85d62…
05-16 13:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x888a77…
05-16 13:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xcc6009…
05-15 21:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc814f3…
05-15 21:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x31c461…
05-14 20:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdafb2a…
05-14 16:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x605f56…
05-14 16:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x42e947…
05-14 16:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x63d928…
05-14 16:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xbed0bd…
05-14 16:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xfb0e14…
05-14 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2094f0…
05-13 20:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf30796…
05-13 20:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9e37b7…
05-13 20:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfcb162…
05-13 20:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xea1d5e…
05-13 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ab94c…
05-13 20:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7affab…
05-13 20:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdc0b7f…
05-13 20:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5e0a57…
05-13 20:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd95417…
05-13 20:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xaaaace…
05-13 20:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcace92…
05-13 20:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x995752…
05-13 20:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6dca7a…
05-13 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x981d6b…
05-13 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1126f0…
05-13 19:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7f5490…
05-13 19:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x343764…
05-13 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x65c8eb…
05-13 19:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd5d33d…
05-13 19:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x8dcc9c…
05-13 19:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd7f0b5…
05-13 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7fa12…
05-13 19:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x38f6ea…
05-13 19:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x91ac67…
05-13 19:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf6e14…
05-13 19:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7e7006…
05-13 19:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	81¢	$23	0x79d4ef…
05-13 19:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb54ef1…
05-13 19:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2d10c4…
05-13 19:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xea40ae…
05-13 19:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa6ec5e…
05-13 19:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x91f5ff…
05-13 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x231e30…
05-13 19:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfe697c…
05-13 19:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc625d7…
05-13 19:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x83c141…
05-13 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xac6d71…
05-13 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x84bffd…
05-13 19:13:36	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x174cf8…
05-13 19:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd80175…
05-13 19:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x858d5c…
05-13 19:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x59a374…
05-13 18:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf80b91…
05-13 18:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7e0e4a…
05-13 18:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27e574…
05-13 11:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd70945…
05-13 10:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc1330d…
05-13 10:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xde5b08…
05-13 10:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x08dc8a…
05-13 10:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x616562…
05-13 10:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x675f6d…
05-13 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c8b87…
05-13 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf3e67b…
05-13 00:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe422dc…
05-13 00:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9dfb3a…
05-13 00:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x66b29a…
05-13 00:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd3d04d…
05-13 00:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8019a9…
05-13 00:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd68e42…
05-13 00:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	37	66¢	$24	0x941241…
05-13 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x365164…
05-13 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1a8907…
05-13 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x316967…
05-13 00:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e1ed8…
05-13 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdcf249…
05-13 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7d26cc…
05-13 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x747a4c…
05-13 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ee0e0…
05-12 23:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe69d23…
05-12 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb024cb…
05-12 23:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf1d5b5…
05-12 23:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd61a0d…
05-12 23:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x254ca5…
05-12 23:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcbac1f…
05-12 23:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7ef6a9…
05-12 23:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x582c72…