Realized P&L
+$34
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
100
lifetime
Volume
$2.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$240
21 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 11-10 22:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
77% 40% -$1
Tech
14% — —
Politics
5% 50% +$35
Sports
5% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028? No +102 $95 94¢ $96 +$1 10-14 03:25
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +50 $33 91¢ $46 +$13 11-09 09:38
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +72 $29 45¢ $32 +$3 10-16 22:37
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +304 $52 8¢ $26 -$26 10-29 20:01
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +169 $37 7¢ $12 -$25 10-17 17:41
Will Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? No +13 $12 89¢ $12 +$0 10-14 03:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +44 -$18 14¢ $6 +$24 11-10 22:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4 $3 90¢ $4 +$0 10-05 16:48
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +90 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 10-22 04:57
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +27 $2 4¢ $1 $0 10-04 09:48
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +1 -$2 96¢ $1 +$3 10-17 17:40
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? No +1 -$2 91¢ $1 +$3 10-17 18:45
Will Dak Prescott have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +1 -$2 59¢ $1 +$2 11-07 13:13
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? No +1 -$20 86¢ $1 +$21 10-18 19:10
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No +1 -$1 92¢ $0 +$1 10-22 03:38
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +8 $3 4¢ $0 -$2 10-04 09:04
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 11-03 12:09
crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088 No +0 -$1 95¢ $0 +$1 08-05 20:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 -$16 86¢ $0 +$16 10-26 09:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $6 6¢ $0 -$6 10-23 02:08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 $0 08-04 18:19