Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$638

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

121

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$269.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$720

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-23 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 47% -$420

Other

5% 65% -$270

Politics

5% 33% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	7	$18.2K	9,602	9,602	+0	Yes	-$476	09-18 13:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	21	$12.7K	6,577	6,577	+0	Yes	+$31	09-12 02:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	3	$11.5K	5,779	5,779	+0	Yes	+$35	09-14 11:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?	5	$11.2K	5,747	5,747	+0	No	-$167	09-17 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	3	$11.0K	5,564	5,564	+0	No	+$5	09-18 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?	5	$10.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$43	09-19 13:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	4	$10.0K	5,018	5,018	+0	No	+$45	09-17 10:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	3	$9.8K	4,942	4,942	+0	Yes	+$10	09-21 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?	26	$9.6K	5,064	5,064	+0	Yes	-$219	09-09 15:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	3	$8.1K	4,065	4,065	+0	Yes	+$61	09-20 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	3	$8.0K	3,995	3,995	+0	Yes	+$18	09-20 13:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	5	$7.8K	7,860	0	+7,860	Yes	+$64	09-22 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?	2	$7.4K	3,741	3,741	+0	No	+$36	09-09 14:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	2	$7.3K	3,865	3,865	+0	No	-$220	09-19 14:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?	3	$7.3K	3,661	3,661	+0	No	+$49	09-16 12:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?	2	$6.9K	3,529	3,529	+0	No	+$80	09-16 14:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?	3	$6.9K	3,460	3,460	+0	No	+$27	09-11 15:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$6.8K	3,778	3,778	+0	Yes	+$57	09-30 20:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?	3	$6.6K	3,384	3,384	+0	No	+$74	09-12 14:34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	11	$6.4K	4,122	4,122	+0	open	—	09-29 16:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?	5	$6.4K	3,265	3,265	+0	No	+$87	09-15 09:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?	9	$5.9K	2,995	2,995	+0	No	+$11	09-09 15:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 7?	2	$5.9K	2,979	2,979	+0	No	+$36	09-07 14:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	2	$5.7K	5,826	0	+5,826	Yes	+$115	09-14 11:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	3	$5.6K	5,613	0	+5,613	Yes	+$61	09-15 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?	4	$5.3K	2,759	2,759	+0	Yes	-$29	09-10 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	2	$5.3K	2,743	2,743	+0	Yes	-$12	09-23 08:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	3	$4.6K	2,354	2,354	+0	No	+$19	09-10 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	3	$4.3K	4,352	0	+4,352	Yes	+$46	09-16 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	7	$3.9K	2,028	2,028	+0	No	+$29	09-18 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 15:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	305	98¢	$299	0xe1f22d…
10-23 15:35:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	77	94¢	$73	0x8b71c8…
10-23 15:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	77	92¢	$71	0x1c10e5…
10-23 15:19:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$48	0x0fb5f2…
10-23 15:03:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x64b3c2…
10-23 14:58:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	257	75¢	$193	0xcaa956…
10-23 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	314	98¢	$308	0x02d3c0…
10-23 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	314	95¢	$298	0x52d384…
10-23 14:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xda2133…
10-23 14:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0xbd78dc…
10-21 16:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	383	99¢	$379	0x2f8df2…
10-21 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	187	96¢	$179	0xe99274…
10-21 16:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	196	93¢	$182	0x673b84…
10-20 15:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$212	0x73c095…
10-20 14:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xbf90cc…
10-20 14:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xf37490…
10-20 14:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	213	93¢	$198	0xefbc67…
10-20 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x96d8a2…
10-20 02:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x1d43c6…
10-10 14:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,050	90¢	$944	0xeb4588…
10-10 14:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	99¢	$387	0x6e3c72…
10-10 14:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	99¢	$391	0xa84d15…
10-10 14:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	99¢	$261	0x55cd31…
10-09 09:00:51	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x2e02a5…
10-09 09:00:46	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	1,260	51¢	$647	0xcf7ed3…
10-09 09:00:42	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xc32e62…
10-09 09:00:31	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x70049c…
10-09 09:00:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0x2d7424…
10-09 09:00:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	62	78¢	$49	0x4f8374…
10-09 09:00:03	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf6b9ab…
10-09 08:59:49	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	76	77¢	$59	0x053f78…
10-09 08:59:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x629599…
10-09 08:59:19	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0xc30b21…
10-09 08:59:10	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x87c4e2…
10-09 08:58:58	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x84696b…
10-09 08:58:51	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x970272…
10-09 08:58:45	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x93df8a…
10-09 08:58:37	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x3d4711…
10-09 08:58:27	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x111b3f…
10-09 08:58:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xf94d62…
10-09 08:58:04	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0xa19529…
10-09 08:57:48	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0x2b2102…
10-09 08:57:39	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$29	0xee48c5…
10-09 08:57:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x76d33b…
10-09 08:57:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xca8708…
10-09 08:57:03	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x741db8…
10-09 08:56:46	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0xfc0452…
10-09 08:56:34	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x64304b…
10-09 08:56:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x2d3ebe…
10-09 08:56:04	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0xf4a468…
10-09 08:55:16	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf0c979…
10-09 08:54:31	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xcab60d…
10-08 21:34:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,009	98¢	$988	0x7ba3c1…
10-05 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xc556c7…
10-03 05:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xbb0618…
10-03 05:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xa30e32…
09-30 20:10:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	3,428	99¢	$3,409	0x0bec25…
09-30 07:11:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	351	2¢	$5	0xf0ac1a…
09-29 19:39:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	351	4¢	$12	0xcaf6a2…
09-29 19:38:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,428	98¢	$3,345	0xaac7c8…
09-29 16:31:56	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,661	86¢	$3,139	0x9d0939…
09-29 16:31:54	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	13¢	$60	0x11a586…
09-29 16:24:18	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	87¢	$60	0xb6df30…
09-29 16:23:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x4fde6d…
09-29 16:22:39	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	571	87¢	$496	0xd4973a…
09-29 16:17:24	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x019952…
09-29 16:15:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	571	87¢	$496	0x8e3407…
09-29 16:15:06	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	14¢	$57	0x0be0ea…
09-29 16:13:48	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	799	87¢	$695	0x1b8dab…
09-29 16:13:24	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	799	87¢	$695	0x17623a…
09-29 16:12:54	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	799	87¢	$695	0x14d105…
09-28 01:28:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x2717fb…
09-27 21:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0xf93bef…
09-27 21:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x780882…
09-23 08:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	2,743	96¢	$2,643	0xb68d4f…
09-23 00:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2,743	97¢	$2,655	0xc2c540…
09-22 06:25:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc54140…
09-22 06:25:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	3,312	99¢	$3,288	0x8d3e0f…
09-22 06:24:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,105	99¢	$1,095	0xef3a28…
09-22 05:45:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,469	99¢	$1,458	0x6f4976…
09-22 05:44:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,963	99¢	$1,943	0xec8ed3…
09-21 22:43:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0x4328c2…
09-21 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x5a6785…
09-21 19:41:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	89	1¢	$1	0x4e5832…
09-21 19:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x897c17…
09-21 19:38:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0xfd7763…
09-21 19:36:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x2af4dc…
09-21 19:36:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	152	8¢	$12	0x4b47fd…
09-21 19:34:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	152	6¢	$9	0x7eebde…
09-21 14:40:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	72	34¢	$24	0x7a869f…
09-21 14:34:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	72	48¢	$34	0x82f623…
09-21 13:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x633d22…
09-21 11:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	96¢	$298	0xac9eab…
09-21 11:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	95¢	$298	0xdcf375…
09-21 11:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	95¢	$298	0xd33136…
09-21 10:09:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4a80c1…
09-21 10:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd7934c…
09-21 09:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x773275…
09-21 09:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xf54f1b…
09-21 09:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x6689ae…