Flaky-Ecology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

422

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$5.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-23 11:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

56% 89% -$93

Crypto

34% 93% +$23

Politics

4% 64% -$16

Tech

3% 93% +$13

Sports

3% 83% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+25	$20	84¢	$21	+$1	07-30 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	13	$124	131	129	+2	Elina Avanesyan	+$6	04-07 15:08
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08 game1	6	$96	103	57	+47	EYEBALLERS	-$13	04-08 08:07
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	10	$90	82	81	+1	Rockets	+$1	04-08 05:32
wta badosa tagger 2026 04 07	2	$86	44	44	+0	Lilli Tagger	+$1	04-07 16:28
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:50 UTC	1	$80	81	0	+81	Up	+$1	07-01 14:54
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:55 UTC	1	$80	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	07-02 08:00
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:20 UTC	2	$74	74	0	+74	Up	+$0	07-01 13:24
atp alcaraz vachero 2026 04 11	4	$71	84	82	+1	Carlos Alcaraz	+$2	04-11 15:19
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 11:45 UTC	3	$70	72	31	+41	Down	-$29	07-02 11:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$11	05-27 05:05
atp alcaraz bublik 2026 04 10	8	$68	76	75	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	$0	04-10 15:05
atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	7	$66	73	72	+1	Carlos Alcaraz	+$2	04-09 18:42
BNB Up or Down - August 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$60	60	0	+60	Up	+$0	08-10 05:40
nvda close above 200 on june 30 2026	3	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 20:26
atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	11	$51	54	48	+6	Alexander Zverev	+$1	04-10 11:55
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	2	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	08-09 15:34
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:45 UTC	1	$49	49	0	+49	Up	+$0	07-01 13:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$47	37	37	+0	Yes	-$15	06-16 18:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$45	53	0	+53	Yes	+$8	06-15 12:20
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:25 UTC	2	$44	45	0	+45	Down	+$1	07-01 13:29
wta cristia korpats 2026 04 07	4	$43	74	23	+50	Tamara Korpatsch	+$1	04-07 14:05
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:35 UTC	2	$41	42	0	+42	Down	+$1	07-02 06:39
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 06:45 UTC	2	$41	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	07-01 06:48
atp su sekulic 2026 04 07	2	$40	20	20	+0	Fajing Sun	+$0	04-08 09:25
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:00 UTC	1	$35	35	0	+35	Up	+$0	07-01 15:03
will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 25	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-26 02:52
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:40 UTC	2	$32	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	07-02 06:44
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 07:50 UTC	2	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	07-10 07:55
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 07:45 UTC	2	$31	34	0	+34	Up	+$2	07-10 07:49
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:20 UTC	2	$31	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	08-06 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 11:20:21	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xffa99b…
10-23 11:18:53	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c4ef3…
10-23 11:18:39	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2cee6b…
10-23 11:17:00	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x192d06…
08-20 15:33:39	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbc8322…
08-20 15:32:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1c37d2…
08-20 15:32:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc54821…
08-20 15:31:43	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd94aec…
08-20 15:28:51	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1797a5…
08-18 15:54:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd7772…
08-18 15:53:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc220fe…
08-18 14:34:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb09836…
08-18 14:34:04	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x445b1b…
08-18 11:17:37	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf42cc7…
08-18 11:14:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x811497…
08-18 11:13:54	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x35d2d5…
08-18 11:09:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x953203…
08-18 11:08:42	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1e216c…
08-18 11:08:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x239d91…
08-18 11:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0d42d8…
08-18 11:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5f269a…
08-18 11:04:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d1a86…
08-18 11:03:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3bf03c…
08-18 10:43:01	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc699f8…
08-18 07:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9cf2ee…
08-18 07:12:37	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a9104…
08-18 07:04:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa5fb39…
08-13 06:44:25	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2ed0ec…
08-12 13:19:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62f7d2…
08-12 13:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf71ccd…
08-12 13:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7b0ddc…
08-12 13:17:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdc8a5c…
08-12 13:17:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x84dbf6…
08-12 11:14:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1139b3…
08-12 11:06:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x975e46…
08-10 18:04:40	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b3c78…
08-10 18:04:33	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f6d5e…
08-10 18:04:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd372e6…
08-10 18:04:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2094c…
08-10 17:59:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4f52a6…
08-10 17:59:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4faa83…
08-10 17:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5ec81…
08-10 17:58:42	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6c5d4c…
08-10 17:58:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xadd731…
08-10 10:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x05c908…
08-10 10:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8e67f8…
08-10 10:13:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5d9b9a…
08-10 10:12:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e25ea…
08-10 10:12:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1e98cb…
08-10 10:11:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf99d3e…
08-10 10:09:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a9d2d…
08-10 10:09:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafbb21…
08-10 10:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfcc73f…
08-10 10:08:46	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26575f…
08-10 10:08:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20bd33…
08-10 09:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8352b5…
08-10 09:59:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4c96fb…
08-10 09:59:21	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc004cf…
08-10 09:57:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb73816…
08-10 09:57:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcedf13…
08-10 09:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa21c87…
08-10 09:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x531440…
08-10 09:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf93636…
08-10 09:49:00	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6468b5…
08-10 09:48:43	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x12dc58…
08-10 09:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d084a…
08-10 09:48:15	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5156ab…
08-10 08:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa30e3a…
08-10 08:58:24	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3b76b4…
08-10 08:44:39	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcb862…
08-10 08:44:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2df31…
08-10 07:34:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeeca54…
08-10 07:34:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x614bea…
08-10 07:23:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0134c8…
08-10 07:23:46	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd150c6…
08-10 07:22:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca8c49…
08-10 07:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc91d0c…
08-10 07:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb03354…
08-10 07:14:48	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd6143f…
08-10 07:13:45	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf2c85e…
08-10 07:04:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x626880…
08-10 07:03:45	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f7f8a…
08-10 06:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x388ba0…
08-10 06:58:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xffd607…
08-10 06:54:12	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x50b7f7…
08-10 06:53:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0952e3…
08-10 06:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd38125…
08-10 06:29:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26e779…
08-10 06:28:52	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a3f91…
08-10 06:28:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf3834…
08-10 06:24:57	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb038c8…
08-10 05:54:15	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6b829a…
08-10 05:40:01	BNB Up or Down - August 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xac2119…
08-10 05:39:52	BNB Up or Down - August 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x573f14…
08-10 05:39:31	BNB Up or Down - August 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x92f657…
08-09 19:19:34	BNB Up or Down - August 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5c5e7…
08-09 19:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dfb4f…
08-09 19:14:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe0192e…
08-09 19:14:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa7f82d…
08-09 19:13:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98c689…