Failing-Pioneer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$393

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

805

Trades

1,491

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-19 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% -$383

Sports

0% 23% -$5

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	3	$563	378	378	+0	Yes	+$163	05-01 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 29?	4	$263	156	156	+0	Yes	+$23	04-29 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?	2	$252	153	153	+0	Yes	+$52	05-01 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1?	3	$219	348	348	+0	No	-$173	05-01 09:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	5	$129	76	75	+1	No	+$21	04-24 16:07
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 24c	2	$110	61	60	+1	No	+$11	04-24 16:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	2	$108	59	59	+1	No	+$10	04-23 07:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 23c	3	$108	64	63	+1	No	+$19	04-24 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?	2	$100	258	0	+258	Yes	-$100	04-30 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	2	$94	68	67	+1	No	-$5	04-24 18:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	4	$93	65	64	+1	No	-$1	04-24 18:15
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 24corhigher	4	$91	51	51	+0	No	+$9	04-24 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 2?	2	$86	45	45	+0	No	+$5	06-02 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 2?	2	$85	45	45	+0	No	+$4	06-02 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 3?	2	$84	45	45	+0	No	+$6	06-03 16:43
highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 64 65f	2	$83	52	51	+1	No	+$10	04-24 18:18
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 70 71f	2	$83	62	61	+1	Yes	-$7	04-24 13:38
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 24c	2	$80	142	133	+8	No	-$8	04-24 13:39
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 25c	8	$80	143	141	+2	Yes	-$32	04-24 18:23
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	3	$74	70	69	+1	No	-$25	04-23 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 30?	2	$73	49	49	+0	Yes	+$23	04-30 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 30?	2	$71	47	47	+0	Yes	+$21	04-30 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on April 30?	2	$71	47	47	+0	Yes	+$21	04-30 09:41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 30?	2	$71	46	46	+0	Yes	+$21	04-30 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 30?	3	$68	107	53	+54	No	-$32	04-30 16:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?	3	$67	50	50	+1	Yes	-$11	04-24 18:18
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 13?	2	$66	37	37	+0	No	+$7	07-13 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?	6	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$4	06-01 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9?	2	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$6	06-09 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 19?	2	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$6	07-19 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 12:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x77596e…
07-18 12:15:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x4bcd7a…
07-18 08:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x8d9a40…
07-18 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xedcd6d…
07-17 07:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x347f7e…
07-17 06:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x8918b1…
07-16 20:15:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x7ef1a3…
07-16 10:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x3deb0d…
07-16 05:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xbf5105…
07-16 03:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xd37893…
07-16 00:04:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x325edb…
07-15 22:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0xaa76ad…
07-15 16:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x7206f6…
07-15 16:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x088bbc…
07-15 16:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa688cf…
07-15 07:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd82a02…
07-15 04:45:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd1388…
07-14 18:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?	No	BUY	36	79¢	$28	0x6dfcc4…
07-14 06:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xb4d1d6…
07-13 16:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x227633…
07-13 12:30:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x9c9fa4…
07-13 10:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xcd59f3…
07-13 10:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa98a13…
07-13 06:45:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 13?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x31da56…
07-13 05:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x772e38…
07-12 11:30:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x64f746…
07-11 22:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x95fb1d…
07-11 17:30:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x15abdf…
07-11 16:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x57eb02…
07-11 16:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xccb026…
07-11 16:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xadb042…
07-10 18:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb5360e…
07-10 10:35:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x2d4244…
07-10 06:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 10?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9ee3a5…
07-09 17:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0x81abcd…
07-09 12:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 9?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1b61b3…
07-07 16:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x685306…
07-07 10:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 7?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1e45c8…
07-06 14:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x08e939…
07-06 01:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x60bd55…
07-05 22:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb2a9f2…
07-05 08:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x1f6bd4…
07-05 08:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x39f48c…
07-05 04:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x60ed7d…
07-03 13:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x25df5b…
07-03 05:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x442b0c…
07-02 17:15:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfa30c9…
07-02 04:06:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xb60292…
07-01 11:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc7ad81…
07-01 11:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x35eff2…
07-01 10:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x880aa1…
07-01 05:15:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x167081…
07-01 00:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x8818ec…
06-30 10:45:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7405dc…
06-30 04:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xc83f9f…
06-30 04:06:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x95c65a…
06-29 21:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x7a5d4a…
06-28 11:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdf1144…
06-28 11:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8cda92…
06-28 06:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x27d507…
06-27 07:45:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x29308a…
06-27 05:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x0bb9fe…
06-27 04:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x91308d…
06-27 04:06:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x347430…
06-27 04:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xba01cc…
06-26 10:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xe0b65d…
06-26 06:19:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x244aa3…
06-26 06:14:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x4dd130…
06-26 05:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xf9f0e8…
06-15 05:45:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 15?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb5b7ec…
06-14 21:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 15?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x825bb2…
06-14 18:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xfbcc94…
06-14 15:15:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb61d96…
06-14 08:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 14?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb8ffe5…
06-14 06:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2635da…
06-14 05:45:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9d979d…
06-14 04:45:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 14?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7559b5…
06-14 01:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3a34db…
06-14 00:43:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5ee164…
06-13 22:49:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa1857d…
06-13 21:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbb4760…
06-13 21:16:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3463ad…
06-13 19:36:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb7cde2…
06-13 13:10:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 15?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xc29b00…
06-13 11:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x916734…
06-13 09:45:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 13?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf7bcdf…
06-13 09:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 15?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xd0ee64…
06-13 09:15:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 13?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x176b14…
06-13 09:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xbb0454…
06-13 08:45:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 13?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x625e21…
06-13 08:40:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 13?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x9aee54…
06-13 08:30:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x898a31…
06-13 08:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3d76df…
06-13 07:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x26106b…
06-13 07:10:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 14?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xbefb82…
06-13 06:39:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x467bca…
06-13 06:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf29b4e…
06-13 05:15:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 13?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfa7a74…
06-13 05:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x126fb5…
06-13 03:37:42	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xd5e0d7…