Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

147

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 10-29 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 44% -$196

Politics

6% 100% +$22

Other

2% 60% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	—	+68	$30	38¢	$26	-$4	10-29 20:58
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes		+61	$10	5¢	$3	-$7	10-18 20:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	3	$179	167	167	+0	No	+$119	10-24 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 24?	2	$178	250	250	+0	No	+$118	10-24 15:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	2	$126	115	115	+0	Yes	+$66	10-24 15:17
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	2	$100	70	70	+0	Yes	+$40	10-22 17:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	2	$91	61	61	+0	Yes	+$31	10-23 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	2	$77	49	49	+0	No	+$17	10-29 01:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	2	$71	42	42	+0	No	+$11	10-29 14:15
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	2	$69	39	39	+0	No	+$9	10-23 22:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	2	$69	42	42	+0	No	+$9	10-25 23:05
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	2	$67	38	38	+0	No	+$7	10-26 20:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	2	$66	36	36	+0	No	+$6	10-26 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	2	$65	35	35	+0	Yes	+$5	10-25 23:28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	2	$64	40	40	+0	No	+$4	10-25 22:03
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	2	$63	57	57	+0	No	+$43	10-22 19:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	2	$63	34	34	+0	No	+$3	10-25 23:20
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	2	$61	62	62	+0	Yes	+$41	10-24 15:14
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	2	$35	38	38	+0	No	+$11	10-21 17:54
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	2	$32	48	48	+0	No	+$8	10-21 17:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 23?	1	$30	41	0	+41	No	+$11	10-23 11:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	1	$30	88	0	+88	No	-$30	10-26 08:57
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	1	$30	52	0	+52	Yes	-$30	10-27 14:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?	1	$30	48	0	+48	Yes	+$18	10-28 17:06
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 23?	1	$30	103	0	+103	No	-$30	10-23 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$30	96	0	+96	Up	-$30	10-27 22:31
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 29?	1	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	-$30	10-29 08:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 22?	1	$30	119	0	+119	No	-$30	10-22 10:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	1	$30	143	0	+143	No	-$30	10-26 08:11
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	1	$30	226	0	+226	Yes	-$30	10-23 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 29?	1	$30	67	0	+67	No	-$30	10-29 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$30	83	0	+83	Up	-$30	10-23 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:56:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	191	16¢	$30	0xf559ac…
10-29 21:54:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	159	19¢	$30	0xfad85f…
10-29 21:44:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 30?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x35f558…
10-29 21:14:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	170	18¢	$30	0xbc47eb…
10-29 20:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x520a0b…
10-29 20:48:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x69ce03…
10-29 20:41:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	181	17¢	$30	0x261e54…
10-29 20:27:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x5f2844…
10-29 14:15:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x9b93a9…
10-29 09:14:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x4b07ce…
10-29 08:28:47	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x6a8d12…
10-29 07:07:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?	No	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x504ea6…
10-29 06:35:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x28416d…
10-29 06:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x394e7e…
10-29 01:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x6d5d68…
10-28 20:14:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x58664d…
10-28 18:42:11	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xbaf451…
10-28 17:06:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x373919…
10-28 17:01:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x5527d0…
10-28 13:47:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x6b6f60…
10-28 13:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xe26639…
10-28 09:16:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xee6b7f…
10-28 09:01:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 28?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x1ef2d9…
10-28 08:39:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xadfb18…
10-28 03:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x6af9dc…
10-27 22:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x2ae6ba…
10-27 21:41:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x731227…
10-27 18:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x75a61b…
10-27 15:23:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x27d2a1…
10-27 14:39:11	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x35aa22…
10-27 13:07:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x8ea988…
10-27 11:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x7ce916…
10-27 11:38:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x742f34…
10-27 10:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa420bf…
10-27 07:11:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xda8748…
10-27 06:44:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x5dc7db…
10-27 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xf602ce…
10-27 06:02:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x38f7fd…
10-27 05:23:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 27?	No	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xa3a9ea…
10-26 23:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x551029…
10-26 20:43:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x4aed10…
10-26 19:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x96ba6e…
10-26 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x619389…
10-26 15:27:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x01aef8…
10-26 14:27:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	No	BUY	131	23¢	$30	0xd8cb71…
10-26 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x8a7bfc…
10-26 13:50:09	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x4ddea4…
10-26 11:11:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0xe1445f…
10-26 10:26:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x1098b9…
10-26 08:57:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x02ecde…
10-26 08:11:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x379885…
10-26 06:32:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x038901…
10-26 06:25:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 26?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xb244e1…
10-26 06:17:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xdd814b…
10-26 05:30:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x032829…
10-25 23:28:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x17940b…
10-25 23:20:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x549ddf…
10-25 23:05:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0xa61f55…
10-25 22:03:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xd35524…
10-25 20:05:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0xe19ee8…
10-25 19:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xf86552…
10-25 15:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xe26b82…
10-25 10:19:53	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0xeb3af6…
10-25 09:39:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xdd7788…
10-25 06:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x513579…
10-25 05:57:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	147	20¢	$30	0x588c13…
10-25 05:51:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	160	19¢	$30	0xb89f3b…
10-25 03:08:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 25?	No	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x68758f…
10-24 23:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xee9bc1…
10-24 18:17:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x84150a…
10-24 17:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xda0b1c…
10-24 15:24:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	127	24¢	$30	0x70a31d…
10-24 15:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	107	90¢	$96	0x4466b0…
10-24 15:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x51ef4b…
10-24 15:18:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0xa21ae6…
10-24 15:17:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	115	84¢	$96	0xece485…
10-24 15:14:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	62	81¢	$51	0xda41ee…
10-24 15:07:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	250	59¢	$148	0xe8fef9…
10-24 15:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	182	16¢	$30	0x01368b…
10-24 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xa5088f…
10-24 14:44:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xe96f53…
10-24 14:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xda6873…
10-24 14:30:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	135	22¢	$30	0xa2e5b1…
10-24 10:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xcfc3a3…
10-24 09:42:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	259	12¢	$30	0x5016f9…
10-24 05:25:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x857d2c…
10-24 04:49:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf70ba5…
10-23 22:48:53	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xf3c72e…
10-23 22:48:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xd599b1…
10-23 22:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xd62a90…
10-23 16:47:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xc761a7…
10-23 14:51:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x784634…
10-23 13:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xd34b0c…
10-23 12:34:26	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xe22a6a…
10-23 11:10:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x021902…
10-23 10:40:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xd0cc56…
10-23 09:48:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x0318e2…
10-23 09:15:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x1461b8…
10-23 07:51:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	154	20¢	$30	0xc8ddb8…
10-23 07:13:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	226	13¢	$30	0xd94c60…